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Stocks - I’m out!


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2020 Jun 18, 9:57am   9,905 views  165 comments

by Shaman   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  

Bad shit coming down the pipe. Get ready for Great Depression Part II.
Those of you who know me a bit from my history know that I don’t pull this trigger lightly. I didn’t fall for all the bear schemes in the last five years. I’ve been a bullish investor for the past 10 years.

The last time I did this (everything to bonds) was in December of 2007.

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144   just_passing_through   2020 Jul 12, 7:34pm  

I forgot to mention... What I'm hoping for is some sort of major pull back for the retirement account. Then I figure I'd try out Rin's suggestion and select some dividend aristocrats then evaluate them each year, pruning / buying. There is a fund I like too come to think of it: ARKK

I mentioned that over Valentines day weekend not expecting him to buy it buy my Dad has made out great!

I haven't bought a tech stock since the 90s.
145   ignoreme   2020 Jul 13, 8:44am  

Wow, call me a moron, refute none of my points, admit you don’t even know if you beat the market, then admit you haven’t bought a tech stock since the 90s... whatever dude.
146   just_passing_through   2020 Jul 13, 9:13am  

ignoreme says
Wow, call me a moron, refute none of my points


You refuted your own damn point when you called me an insufferable code monkey. If any code monkey can beat your strategy simply by buying Amazon your strategy is shit. Yes, I beat the market over the last decade can't you even read? Moron.
147   Eric Holder   2020 Jul 13, 9:28am  

ignoreme says
code monkeys who understand nothing about investing


Time to reveal what kind of monkey you are.
148   just_passing_through   2020 Jul 13, 9:31am  

A black one. The white ones are racist. Duh.
149   Hircus   2020 Jul 13, 9:45am  

I'm getting antsy to short TSLA.... its at 1715 today. Holy shit, look at that 1yr

150   Dholliday126   2020 Jul 13, 10:26am  

From my understanding TSLA all depends on its next Q earnings and whether those earnings (3rd straight positive) will qualify them for the SP500 and therefore must be bought be indices/ETFs. Seems a little too binary to short.
151   Shaman   2020 Oct 28, 1:08pm  

I’m back in. Trump is gonna win and it’s gonna bump stocks up as people know the devastating lockdowns are done for good. Good day for investing!
152   WookieMan   2020 Oct 28, 1:49pm  

Shaman says
I’m back in. Trump is gonna win and it’s gonna bump stocks up as people know the devastating lockdowns are done for good. Good day for investing!

Just my take, but I think we go sideways for a Trump 2nd term. This Covid BS is an issue for sure. It's unavoidable. Money usually spent wasn't and cannot be made up regardless of the business and personal bailout.
153   BayArea   2020 Oct 28, 2:26pm  

Shaman says
I’m back in. Trump is gonna win and it’s gonna bump stocks up as people know the devastating lockdowns are done for good. Good day for investing!


Reading the original post and now this. How much did you lose?
154   ignoreme   2020 Oct 28, 3:04pm  

Shaman says
I’m back in. Trump is gonna win and it’s gonna bump stocks up as people know the devastating lockdowns are done for good. Good day for investing!


And it’s just as likely that he’ll lose or something else and it will go down tomorrow and you’re getting back in at exactly the wrong time.

I took a lot of crap in this thread previously for saying just to let it ride in index funds. Hope this real life example illustrates why that is correct advice.
155   B.A.C.A.H.   2020 Oct 28, 3:06pm  

Shaman says
Trump is gonna win and it’s gonna bump stocks up

I hope you're right, homie.

156   Shaman   2020 Oct 28, 4:20pm  

BayArea says
Reading the original post and now this. How much did you lose?


Got out at DoW 26,000, not much change from today’s result.
157   Eman   2020 Oct 28, 4:58pm  

Hircus says
I'm getting antsy to short TSLA.... its at 1715 today. Holy shit, look at that 1yr



Hope you didn’t short it. From one happy Tesla owner and shareholder. I’ve been taking money from the TSLA shorts. Long TSLA.
158   BayArea   2020 Oct 28, 5:59pm  

Shaman says
BayArea says
Reading the original post and now this. How much did you lose?


Got out at DoW 26,000, not much change from today’s result.


Lucky man. You could have really been fucked with that selling and buying... trying to time markets
159   Dholliday126   2020 Oct 28, 6:28pm  

You can't time assets, you just need to be in them. Unless you like getting fucked by inflation...
160   mell   2020 Oct 28, 6:40pm  

Dholliday126 says
You can't time assets, you just need to be in them. Unless you like getting fucked by inflation...


Depends, for the regular side/hobby trader that is likely true. However if you're willing to invest most of the full 10 hours (incl. AH) into the market action (since everyone is WFH anyways) or you can automate certain patterns then you can make a lot of money every day, esp. in a volatile market as right now. In the past weeks there have been numerous days where one could turn a few k loss into a few k green for select stocks within minutes. I expect volatility to continue or even grow in the current climate.
161   just_passing_through   2020 Oct 28, 6:44pm  

mell says
you can automate certain patterns then you can make a lot of money every day, esp. in a volatile market as right now.


Swing trading weather baby!
162   Patrick   2020 Oct 28, 7:46pm  

Hircus says
I'm getting antsy to short TSLA.... its at 1715 today. Holy shit, look at that 1yr


How about buying puts instead of shorting? Then your downside is limited to what you buy them at, but the upside is the same.

I tripled my money on TSLA and got out because I thought it was overvalued, then it doubled. I really don't understand it, but shouldn't complain.
163   SunnyvaleCA   2020 Oct 28, 7:59pm  

Patrick says
Hircus says
I'm getting antsy to short TSLA.... its at 1715 today. Holy shit, look at that 1yr


How about buying puts instead of shorting? Then your downside is limited to what you buy them at, but the upside is the same.

I tripled my money on TSLA and got out because I thought it was overvalued, then it freaking quadrupled. I really don't understand it, but shouldn't complain.
I made some money on TSLA puts after the "funding secured" $420 tweet. The basic problem is that the puts are very expensive — put writers know there's a reasonable danger of a crash. If a $400 strike costs you $100, the company needs to go down to $300 before you even just recoup the purchase price. To justify the risk of expiring worthless, you want to believe the company will go to $100 or $200 in short order.
164   Dholliday126   2020 Oct 28, 8:27pm  

mell says
Dholliday126 says
You can't time assets, you just need to be in them. Unless you like getting fucked by inflation...


Depends, for the regular side/hobby trader that is likely true. However if you're willing to invest most of the full 10 hours (incl. AH) into the market action (since everyone is WFH anyways) or you can automate certain patterns then you can make a lot of money every day, esp. in a volatile market as right now. In the past weeks there have been numerous days where one could turn a few k loss into a few k green for select stocks within minutes. I expect volatility to continue or even grow in the current climate.


I pay a money guy, I don't have the time nor discipline to do it myself.
165   Patrick   2020 Oct 28, 9:31pm  

SunnyvaleCA says
If a $400 strike costs you $100, the company needs to go down to $300 before you even just recoup the purchase price.


True. Options is a tough game played by smart people, but at least the downside is capped. When you short, you can really get taken to the cleaners.

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