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When the next great stock crash will happen
When it happens obama deficits will be fondly remembered as being small and quaint . It's going to take some time for all the tax cut money to roll through the system. Without a black swan (keep an eye on the corporate bond bubble) there should be enough momentum to carry through the 2020 election. But that was the whole point of the tax cut, a giant pump and dump to carry trump to a second term.
Already happened in 2017.
DASKAA saysAlready happened in 2017.
Interesting, please elaborate. Do you think it has already bottomed? Or is it the first shock?
HeadSet saysDASKAA saysAlready happened in 2017.
Interesting, please elaborate. Do you think it has already bottomed? Or is it the first shock?
Sigh. You must be new here.
HeadSet saysDASKAA saysAlready happened in 2017.
Interesting, please elaborate. Do you think it has already bottomed? Or is it the first shock?
Sigh. You must be new here.
Yeah, not seeing it to be honest. Until job numbers start declining, things will be fine. No need to say age, but we're entering a baby boom right now for millennials. Kids need shit. That shit creates jobs on a massive scale that are sustainable. Call me out later, but I think we're entering a post WW2 era of expansion if there's a period to compare to.
Boomers are skeptical of anything positive it seems now, which is why I mentioned age. Not a knock, I just think there's some jealousy. I'd be surprised if there's anything close to a 20% "correction" in the next 8 years or so. Call me out if I'm wrong, which I probably will be, but there's too much money going to be sunk into family creation over the next decade.
No need to say age, but we're entering a baby boom right now for millennials.
Yeah, not seeing it to be honest. Until job numbers start declining, things will be fine. No need to say age, but we're entering a baby boom right now for millennials. Kids need shit. That shit creates jobs on a massive scale that are sustainable. Call me out later, but I think we're entering a post WW2 era of expansion if there's a period to compare to.
Boomers are skeptical of anything positive it seems now, which is why I mentioned age. Not a knock, I just think there's some jealousy. I'd be surprised if there's anything close to a 20% "correction" in the next 8 years or so. Call me out if I'm wrong, which I probably will be, but there's too much money going to be sunk into family creation over the next decade.
population growth
The 80 million millennials needing shit is going to be considerably offset by 70 million baby boomers dying and not needing shit. There is going to be a shitload of boomer houses for sale. Lots of them in the wrong places. Be very interesting to watch the markets.
There will be a correction/recession. There always is. It's never different this time.
Nobody knows nothing.
No need to say age, but we're entering a baby boom right now for millennials. Kids need shit. That shit creates jobs on a massive scale that are sustainable.
Call me out if I'm wrong, which I probably will be, but there's too much money going to be sunk into family creation over the next decade.
You should consider investing in pet products instead of cannabis.
Millennials Aren't Having Kids. Here's Why That's A Problem For Baby Boomer Real Estate & Retirement
Fewer babies, but more ‘fur babies’
There's a nice movie about this here:www.youtube.com/embed/4ILoXhrLbO8 (murdered/"suicided")
Almost every couple I know right now around my age is pregnant. If things were soooooo bad, they wouldn't be having kids.
Also heard something today that was interesting: on average, over the past 116 years, the US stock markets lost 14% on average every year, for about a two month period -- almost a seasonal thing. (Yearly stock sale lol)
Well jeez, if it's true for everyone you know, it must be true for everyone else!
Forbes isn't perfect, but the article is borne out of actual data, not one person's personal experience.
What data? Where did it come from? Who did it come from? Do birth rates account for women currently pregnant (my point)?
Stop believing everything you read. I live by a municipal airport. What do you think that place looked like in 2010? Versus now? On the way to your job, keep an eye out for trucks carrying lumber. I'm 1/3 mile from a train (fucking annoying). Track the frequency (horns).
Trump polls!
Hello,look up margin of error. Trump won within the margin of error of all major polls. People wanting to believe is a different story. I told people trump was very likely to win based on margin of error and they thought I was crazy.
The CDC. Is says so right in the article.
WTF? 2010 was the bottom. There have been 8 years of growing economy. Who says the economy hasn't grown since 2010 that your anecdotal evidence contradicts?
You trust this government (or any)? CDC?
d. Some say shit is bad and some say it's good.
I understand what you're saying with margin of error. The problem is that people take the data (in most cases flawed) and create a narrative. X candidate is ahead and will MOST certainly win. People are idiots and will believe that "news" story.
The data and polls themselves also wrong though.
Dodging the question. Who says the economy is bad?
it can be biased or at least the sources presenting said data.
Should the CEO's of major corporations be using anecdotal also since there is no good data.
WookieMan saysit can be biased or at least the sources presenting said data.
The methods will always be biased to the assumptions of the polling group. Once a polling group proves itself to be biased, ignore their numbers. CNN polls, for ex. haha what garbage.
bob2356 saysShould the CEO's of major corporations be using anecdotal also since there is no good data.
Yes. They should. I spoke with an executive of a mexican market chain in Texas. He told me when choosing a new location, they do slow drive by's of the local elementary schools and literally count the number of brown kids to white/black kids.
When the next great stock crash will happen - and how it will look
bob2356 saysShould the CEO's of major corporations be using anecdotal also since there is no good data.
Yes. They should. I spoke with an executive of a mexican market chain in Texas. He told me when choosing a new location, they do slow drive by's of the local elementary schools and literally count the number of brown kids to white/black kids.
Jesus, I don't know, not me. Not dodging anything. I'm not saying you or anyone here is saying the economy is bad. What I'm saying is smart people, can see for themselves if the economy is good or bad without getting buried in data that very likely is intended to be misleading.
The data is visible around us everyday. This is what good CEO's do in major corporations. Critical thinking. Not just rely on data sets, but anticipating future outcomes ahead of what the data is showing.
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2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
After 2022
Backdrop: we're in the 4th turning, 10 years after 2008, 17 years after 9-11 FF, in a mid-term election cycle (who cares?), more student/auto/corporate debt, private central bank interest rates going up (we all care), long in tooth economic (debt fueled) expansion, tariff trade wars coming on (for show or not), continued US military war maintenance globally... we also had a "scare" in February or so of 2018 when stocks dropped 10% or so? Then there's bitcoin, no pets.com or webvan this time, but probably lots of similar angel investment; talk of the US Dollar giving way to a RMB-RBL-RUPEE-ETC "SDR" basket... energy prices are lower but maybe EROEI is lower too and the miracle shale "oil" milkshake is nearly all sucked out
This time more businesses seem to be run smartly than last time. But there are likely other mistakes, and cheap debt again.
Maybe the crash this time is more of a 50% of 2008? (Split into a "2019" -20% and a "2025" -20% to make it all seem less disastrous/epic vs 2008?)
Or maybe it's 200% of 2008 due to USD losing its status? (our military is still Murika Strong)
Or maybe Venezuela, China, Ethiopia, Haiti (always), and EMs are taking it on the chin for us?
FRACTIONS OF PENNIES FOR YOUR THOUGHTS