Does macroeconomic data finally foretell a hard landing in US housing prices?
by Randy H
on 26 Mar 2006
261 comments, latest 18 years ago
The US edition of the weekend Financial Times ran the following front-page headline: Plunge in sales of new homes stokes fear of a hard landing. The on-line edition headlines ...
Randy H
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authored 4,599 comments and 44 threads
Randy H's threads
Get comfortable until Spring '08 (Bay Area)
by Randy H on 11 Sep 2007 262 comments, latest 17 years ago
I know other markets have already started correcting at a healthy clip. Others might even be nearing the end of the cycle. But much of coastal California, and especially ...
by Randy H on 11 Sep 2007 262 comments, latest 17 years ago
I know other markets have already started correcting at a healthy clip. Others might even be nearing the end of the cycle. But much of coastal California, and especially ...
Ridiculous Realtor Quotes
by Randy H on 23 Apr 2007 392 comments, latest 13 years ago
As Suggested by Muggy: Post your most ridiculous realtor quotes. Even better if they're from the web and you can post a link. (It's a good chance to practice ...
by Randy H on 23 Apr 2007 392 comments, latest 13 years ago
As Suggested by Muggy: Post your most ridiculous realtor quotes. Even better if they're from the web and you can post a link. (It's a good chance to practice ...
Someone Please Explain "Pocket Listings"
by Randy H on 11 Apr 2007 507 comments, latest 17 years ago
We've talked about so called "pocket listings" and the reasons this happens. But this is the first time I've witnessed one occurring first-hand, and I'm a bit confused. There's ...
by Randy H on 11 Apr 2007 507 comments, latest 17 years ago
We've talked about so called "pocket listings" and the reasons this happens. But this is the first time I've witnessed one occurring first-hand, and I'm a bit confused. There's ...
Inflexion
by Randy H on 5 Aug 2007 276 comments, latest 17 years ago
I believe we are now at what will be seen as the inflexion point. It took a long time to get here, but the housing bubble is finally recognized ...
by Randy H on 5 Aug 2007 276 comments, latest 17 years ago
I believe we are now at what will be seen as the inflexion point. It took a long time to get here, but the housing bubble is finally recognized ...
by Randy H on 12 Aug 2007 326 comments, latest 17 years ago
What do you think comes next. Let this stand as a record of your incredible intuition and insight. Or let it just be a scratch pad for your musings. ...
by Randy H on 25 Mar 2008 271 comments, latest 16 years ago
It's been quite a while since I authored any threads. I've been very busy lately and have fallen behind on most of my blogging. Damned need to make a ...
by Randy H on 21 Jun 2006 280 comments, latest 15 years ago
Here's your chance, have at it. The grumpiness level is rising. Longtime readers probably have sensed the subtle shift in discourse here at Patrick.net. We do have a lot ...
by Randy H on 10 Aug 2006 274 comments, latest 9 years ago
The housing bubble brought us together. A few brave blogs like Patrick.net provided a forum where we were able to find others like ourselves: people who dared to question ...
Barack Obama Wants to Reward FBs
by Randy H on 29 Aug 2007 270 comments, latest 16 years ago
I don't follow politics for myriad reasons. I know that pretty much every Congressman and every Presidential hopeful is falling all over themselves to buy as many votes as ...
by Randy H on 29 Aug 2007 270 comments, latest 16 years ago
I don't follow politics for myriad reasons. I know that pretty much every Congressman and every Presidential hopeful is falling all over themselves to buy as many votes as ...
Election '06
by Randy H on 7 Nov 2006 331 comments, latest 17 years ago
Election 2006 is underway. I'd like to ask for how people think the outcome will affect housing. But I know better, so ... have at it. I do request ...
by Randy H on 7 Nov 2006 331 comments, latest 17 years ago
Election 2006 is underway. I'd like to ask for how people think the outcome will affect housing. But I know better, so ... have at it. I do request ...
Mail in the Keys
by Randy H on 14 Mar 2007 264 comments, latest 17 years ago
This came up as a good sub-thread in the last: what are the rules regarding default, foreclosure, deficiency judgment and bankruptcy (mainly in California)? I'm starting this so our ...
by Randy H on 14 Mar 2007 264 comments, latest 17 years ago
This came up as a good sub-thread in the last: what are the rules regarding default, foreclosure, deficiency judgment and bankruptcy (mainly in California)? I'm starting this so our ...
by Randy H on 3 Nov 2006 265 comments, latest 16 years ago
Patrick.net was featured in a SFGate.com article today. We all saw Ben Jones' blog featured in Business Week. According to author Carol Lloyd, NPR has been snooping around here ...
Subprime!
by Randy H on 13 Mar 2007 331 comments, latest 17 years ago
Subprimes selling off again. Lots of pundits feigning astonishment that there might actually be a 2nd leg to the correction. Heaven forfend. I'm not a full time investment professional, ...
by Randy H on 13 Mar 2007 331 comments, latest 17 years ago
Subprimes selling off again. Lots of pundits feigning astonishment that there might actually be a 2nd leg to the correction. Heaven forfend. I'm not a full time investment professional, ...
by Randy H on 22 May 2007 74 comments, latest 17 years ago
DAiryQUeen (DAQU), who also goes by various other infamous aliases around here, has been kind enough to share her Realtor(tm) mugshot with us. Though we may disagree with her ...
by Randy H on 22 Jun 2006 228 comments, latest 18 years ago
Dystopia (or Distopia) is a future society that is the antithesis of utopia. This is an opportunity for your own brand of doom, gloom, dread, worry, or warning. We'll ...
by Randy H on 10 Jul 2006 248 comments, latest 18 years ago
We anticipated the Chicago Mercantile Exchange housing futures and options for months before the market launched. We theorized and debated what impact this market would have on everything from ...
by Randy H on 24 Mar 2007 194 comments, latest 17 years ago
COLDWELL BANKER® ENTRANCE INTO SECOND LIFE® MAKES VIRTUAL HOMEOWNERSHIP EASIER FOR MILLIONS OF RESIDENTS Company Leads Real Estate Industry Into Virtual Future (link) This is in the give me ...
Bubblehead Roll Call
by Randy H on 26 Feb 2007 251 comments, latest 15 years ago
Fellow "Bubbleheads", let this thread be a periodic update on your own personal position in this Great Bubble cycle. No shame, no insults. I'll delete any comments that mock ...
by Randy H on 26 Feb 2007 251 comments, latest 15 years ago
Fellow "Bubbleheads", let this thread be a periodic update on your own personal position in this Great Bubble cycle. No shame, no insults. I'll delete any comments that mock ...
by Randy H on 30 Jul 2012 61 comments, latest 12 years ago
This is from one of our discussion in 2006. There were topics on Patrick.net and in my own blog (capitalism2.org) which featured the [then new] Case Shiller method and ...
by Randy H on 16 Aug 2006 196 comments, latest 18 years ago
I've always maintained that Gen-X, Gen-Y/Millenials and the infamous Boomers have more in common with one another than sets them apart. The true big divide is between the Silent ...
SF Bay Area is Stubbornly Sticky (for now)410
by Randy H on 5 Mar 2007 190 comments, latest 17 years ago
Something I posted on my blog SF Bay Area Housing Bubble Battle. The bottom line: The Bay Area has annoyingly and persistently sticky downwards house prices. Recent threads here ...
by Randy H on 5 Mar 2007 190 comments, latest 17 years ago
Something I posted on my blog SF Bay Area Housing Bubble Battle. The bottom line: The Bay Area has annoyingly and persistently sticky downwards house prices. Recent threads here ...
by Randy H on 17 Apr 2006 271 comments, latest 18 years ago
Today's (Monday April 17, 2006) Financial Times features an in-depth treatment of the global housing market. The headline reads: The Global Property Boom Dangers of the Housing Market Delusion ...
by Randy H on 29 May 2007 88 comments, latest 17 years ago
"It never goes down", "it's always a good time to buy", "you're just paying someone else's mortgage", "rich dad poor dad", "renters are loosers [sic]", "San Francisco median is ...
The Time to Buy?
by Randy H on 1 Apr 2006 154 comments, latest 18 years ago
As the mainstream media continues to acknowledge the housing bubble for the bubble it is, we may be at, near or just past peak prices (for this cycle at ...
by Randy H on 1 Apr 2006 154 comments, latest 18 years ago
As the mainstream media continues to acknowledge the housing bubble for the bubble it is, we may be at, near or just past peak prices (for this cycle at ...
Realtors(tm), Credibility and Influence
by Randy H on 26 Feb 2006 191 comments, latest 18 years ago
Realtor(tm) Pete's latest "guest" peice in the Contra Costa Times started me thinking. Here's a guy who's credentials (from his website): In addition to a business degree, Pete is ...
by Randy H on 26 Feb 2006 191 comments, latest 18 years ago
Realtor(tm) Pete's latest "guest" peice in the Contra Costa Times started me thinking. Here's a guy who's credentials (from his website): In addition to a business degree, Pete is ...
by Randy H on 15 Sep 2006 138 comments, latest 18 years ago
The mainstream media has called the housing bubble. "Frothy" markets around the country have weakened. Inventory rising. Houses not selling. Here and there, isolated sad stories about mean, terrible ...
Collateral Damage
by Randy H on 23 Aug 2006 166 comments, latest 18 years ago
We've been called JBRs (jealous bitter renters). Once hurled at us by genuine real estate bulls and trolls, the term has faded as our collective perspective has gained mainstream ...
by Randy H on 23 Aug 2006 166 comments, latest 18 years ago
We've been called JBRs (jealous bitter renters). Once hurled at us by genuine real estate bulls and trolls, the term has faded as our collective perspective has gained mainstream ...
by Randy H on 25 Jul 2006 197 comments, latest 18 years ago
Homebuilders not looking so good. An early indication of a sharp decline to come? A "hard landing" perhaps? Chart #1 is ITB: iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Chart ...
Population Shifts and Housing Prices
by Randy H on 10 Mar 2006 178 comments, latest 18 years ago
Our resident sociologist demographic expert, Davis_renter, pointed out a very interesting article recently: Boomers leaving the US and taking their wealth with them? http://tinyurl.com/njyk9 We go from geriatric ghetto ...
by Randy H on 10 Mar 2006 178 comments, latest 18 years ago
Our resident sociologist demographic expert, Davis_renter, pointed out a very interesting article recently: Boomers leaving the US and taking their wealth with them? http://tinyurl.com/njyk9 We go from geriatric ghetto ...
by Randy H on 24 May 2006 186 comments, latest 18 years ago
Readers of the FT will be familiar with the (newly expanded) Lex Column. Today's featured an interesting little bit on US housebuilders, and its relation to the US housing ...
Unbanning Trolls: A town hall discussion
by Randy H on 1 Nov 2006 158 comments, latest 18 years ago
Removing the bans on former and current "Trolls" has been proposed and discussed a couple times recently. We've had calls to ban "Confused Renter" (CR), who may or may ...
by Randy H on 1 Nov 2006 158 comments, latest 18 years ago
Removing the bans on former and current "Trolls" has been proposed and discussed a couple times recently. We've had calls to ban "Confused Renter" (CR), who may or may ...
Mortgage Accelerator Programs: Bunk or Freedom?
by Randy H on 2 Nov 2006 156 comments, latest 18 years ago
Mortgage Accelerator Programs: Bunk or Freedom? Continuing the debate from the end of the last thread. (by Randy H on behalf of DinOR) DinOR will provide details of what ...
by Randy H on 2 Nov 2006 156 comments, latest 18 years ago
Mortgage Accelerator Programs: Bunk or Freedom? Continuing the debate from the end of the last thread. (by Randy H on behalf of DinOR) DinOR will provide details of what ...
by Randy H on 23 Oct 2006 126 comments, latest 18 years ago
Plateau, pause, recovery, "bear trap"? Maybe it's just a good, old fashioned, "dead cat bounce". The technical reasons usually given for such false recoveries in equity markets have to ...
A Spring Bounce will Test Your Resolve
by Randy H on 29 Jan 2007 101 comments, latest 17 years ago
I can already feel it coming. A "Spring Bounce". No matter that this bounce -- really more of a pause in the correction -- won't be they type of ...
by Randy H on 29 Jan 2007 101 comments, latest 17 years ago
I can already feel it coming. A "Spring Bounce". No matter that this bounce -- really more of a pause in the correction -- won't be they type of ...
Who is Patrick.net?
by Randy H on 18 Mar 2006 127 comments, latest 18 years ago
This is a blog about the housing bubble, in the San Francisco Bay Area and beyond. This is a forum for self-selected real estate bears. It is a forum ...
by Randy H on 18 Mar 2006 127 comments, latest 18 years ago
This is a blog about the housing bubble, in the San Francisco Bay Area and beyond. This is a forum for self-selected real estate bears. It is a forum ...
by Randy H on 7 Aug 2006 101 comments, latest 2 years ago
No graphs. No charts. No equations. Just your comments. Today should be a good day to talk about inflation. It affects us all, like Death and Taxes. Randy H
Capitulation, Bottom, or Just Spin?
by Randy H on 27 Sep 2006 146 comments, latest 18 years ago
Today's US Dept of Housing and Urban Development stats on New Home Sales: Month-to-Month (unadjusted) National: +4.1% North East: +21.7% Midwest: +12.2% South: +11.1% West: -17.7% Year-on-Year (unadjusted as ...
by Randy H on 27 Sep 2006 146 comments, latest 18 years ago
Today's US Dept of Housing and Urban Development stats on New Home Sales: Month-to-Month (unadjusted) National: +4.1% North East: +21.7% Midwest: +12.2% South: +11.1% West: -17.7% Year-on-Year (unadjusted as ...
The Real Estate Experts Thread
by Randy H on 30 Sep 2006 122 comments, latest 18 years ago
I am not a professional in the real estate industry. Neither are the other regular authors. But, we have many regular commenters who are. And we probably have many ...
by Randy H on 30 Sep 2006 122 comments, latest 18 years ago
I am not a professional in the real estate industry. Neither are the other regular authors. But, we have many regular commenters who are. And we probably have many ...
by Randy H on 2 Jun 2006 91 comments, latest 18 years ago
Charts and graphs and numbers, oh my! Increasingly, so-called "upscale" realtorsâ„¢ are using pre-packaged "market and economics" newsletters to push hesitant clients into buying. After all, with the mainstream ...
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