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Another mind F*&!


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2011 Oct 27, 4:02pm   20,930 views  72 comments

by Buster   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

The last weeks I have, like most of you, been thinking very intently on the state of our union, the economic disparities, the corruption of our systems and institutions, real estate and even OWS.

So here is another kicker. I decided to toss in the towel and buy a place, in spite of most here and elsewhere reminding me of my potential folly. But I finally found a place that we adore and it made financial and spiritual sense so to speak. It just feels right. Tomorrow we close on the deal.

Tonight under the door, our rental complex 'landlord' slipped a rent increase notice under the door. When I read it I about sheet a breek. We rented a place DT on the Embarcadero as we are new to the city and didn't really know where we wanted to live and didn't have time to visit the city to shop around for rentals. What we rented is nice, but nothing great. It does have a stupendous view of the Ferry Building and overlooks a huge chunk of DT and the SF Bay. Stunning. 600sf, an equally large balcony on the 18th floor and a block to Bart/Muni and the Transbay Terminal. Rent $3200. Rather steep but manageable and I get it for the convenience and view. Tonight I find out that if we choose to stay, our rent is going up to.....drum roll....$5200/month. No lie.

So of course I am elated that we have someplace to move to, for quite a bit cheaper, 3x as big and in a great setting and neighborhood just north of the city. But I truly get why the 99% are so pissed and why OWS is more than justified in their anger. It is like everyone is now out of their homes or folks with good jobs and cash can't even buy a place if they wanted to are all flooding into the rental market, allowing landlords such as mine an open opportunity to screw everyone. Pay it or get out.

So my question is this; do they now have us pinned in a double whammy? Is this the beginning of skyrocketing rents even as housing prices continue to drop lower? Is the middle class just so screwed that it has gone completely numb with the shifting realities? Quite frankly, I am joining OWS. I used to even be a loyal democrat. I am now, simply, the 99%.

So what are your thoughts? More rent increases? More social unrest due to what I describe above? I am just a little freaked out at the moment I guess. I do well financially and can only feel compassion for those who make far less. Not even sure how folks are making it. I know, I know, some will say that they are renting someplace an hour or two from the city for 400/month and they don't know what I am talking about....Love to hear what you are all seeing/hearing/and experiencing out there....thanks.

#housing

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18   thomas.wong1986   2011 Oct 28, 2:35am  


So that large rent increase should be illegal. What am I missing?

On a commercial side, many rents are limited to rate of inflation, which is so stated in the contract. So large rents are cap'd.

19   bubblesitter   2011 Oct 28, 2:39am  

Bellingham Bill says

Just this morning I read Steve Wozniak's account of his Apple days -- in 1980 he was paying $150/mo for the Park Holiday apartments near the airport.

Today the market rent is $1100. Inflation calculator says $150 should be $400 today.

You forgot to consider what the rent/income ratio then and now.

20   SFace   2011 Oct 28, 2:40am  


So that large rent increase should be illegal. What am I missing?

It's an exempt building.

having said that, I was looking at Archstone (Fox plaza and St Francis website) today and it seems rents are up at least 10%-15% accross the board vs last year. A two bedroom is now starting at 4,200 now vs 3,600 about a year ago.

21   clambo   2011 Oct 28, 2:45am  

You don't think I know who Reich is? He's all over the place.
The OWS people will make no political influence because they represent the same anger everyone has towards bankers. The other feelings of fear, angst, resentment, envy are pointless emotions.

The Tea Party people also were annoyed that TARP was used to bail out Goldman's bad bets, Timmie made them whole on their bad AIG bet, 100Cents on the dollar. Merkel by comparison just said the banks get 50Cents on their bad Greek bond investments. Tea Party people were also pissed that TARP was misued by Obama to bail out the United Auto Workers union, stealing from and screwing the bondholders and giving the UAW equity they didn't deserve.

Your post was incredulous about a rent increase. Why? San Francisco is still the most scenic, most liveable city in the USA. Manhattan is exciting but the place is stressful unless you are a zillionaire, and no city has the climate to compare with San Francisco.

22   edvard2   2011 Oct 28, 2:56am  

clambo says

Your post was incredulous about a rent increase. Why? San Francisco is still the most scenic, most liveable city in the USA. Manhattan is exciting but the place is stressful unless you are a zillionaire, and no city has the climate to compare with San Francisco.

Others would argue against that claim. I live in the Bay Area and personally try and avoid SF because it is:

1: Overpriced
2: sort of grubby and dirty
3: traffic is awful
4 overrun with tourists

Also- I have friends who live in NYC and they wouldn't dare ever leave because they think the place is just the absolute most amazing place on earth and you know they don't think that for the weather.

23   Patrick   2011 Oct 28, 3:11am  

SFace says

So that large rent increase should be illegal. What am I missing?

It's an exempt building.

How did that building get to be exempt? Kind of defeats the whole rent-control thing.

24   fil   2011 Oct 28, 3:26am  


SFace says

So that large rent increase should be illegal. What am I missing?

It's an exempt building.

How did that building get to be exempt? Kind of defeats the whole rent-control thing.

I believe units built after 1989 or 1986 or some designated year are not covered by rent control. Also Single family homes are not covered and i think in some cases converted condos.

In my opinion, living in a downtown apartment tower is nuts. You could get a pretty good size place in some nice neighborhoods for $3200 and for over $5000 you could rent a fab place in very nice neighborhoods.

25   clambo   2011 Oct 28, 3:46am  

I grew up in NYC and it's fun. But, you must have a ton of money to live well in Manhattan.
NYC has about 4 weeks of weather per year that is as nice as San Francisco for 8 months per year.
Manhattan is cool, the rest of NYC can be scary, some just slightly nicer than the area inhabited by the "prawns" in Discrict 9.

26   tatupu70   2011 Oct 28, 3:48am  

clambo says

and no city has the climate to compare with San Francisco.

I'll take San Diego, thank you.

27   TPB   2011 Oct 28, 4:10am  

Kudos on the move and decision to buy. You're paying 3.2 grand for rent and aren't sweating that, then you should be fine with your purchase.
What will your mortgage be, less or equal to what you were paying I hope.

Which brings me to another question, you can afford 3200 a month, and you're all up in arms and participating in the OWS movement?

I just don't get this OWS movement?

OWS should consist of pissed of Wal-Mart greeters, and Fry Cooks, not Brokers, day traders, engineers and software developers living posh ruffing it in the park in the day, then driving home in their Beamer and parking in their lighted security garage.

28   Jimbo in SF   2011 Oct 28, 4:20am  

Using a 30yr mortgage @ 4.25%

The $3,200 rent is the same as a payment on a $650k mortgage
The $5,200 rent is the same as a payment on a $1,050k mortgage

I think this helps explain why buying is not as crazy as it seems in SF, when the only other option is to rent at these prices.

29   StoutFiles   2011 Oct 28, 4:27am  

Jimbo in SF says

I think this helps explain why buying is not as crazy as it seems in SF, when the only other option is to rent at these prices.

I would argue that living in SF in general is crazy at those prices.

30   Teri   2011 Oct 28, 4:27am  

The GOP says

Which brings me to another question, you can afford 3200 a month, and you're all up in arms and participating in the OWS movement?

Why is it surprising in this day and age to care about problems that harm other people more than they harm you? That being said - those of us who can afford more are getting less and less for our work. It takes upper-middle incomes to afford a middle class life. It's about the 99% not 90%.

31   Jimbo in SF   2011 Oct 28, 4:36am  

StoutFiles says


I would argue that living in SF in general is crazy at those prices.

I don't disagree with you, but there is a constant turnover of new people to any city and SF especially with the Tech industry nearby.
The new arrivals are forced to pay today's higher rent prices, while long term renters are cushioned by rent control.

32   Â¥   2011 Oct 28, 4:50am  

"you can afford 3200 a month, and you're all up in arms and participating in the OWS movement?"

That $3200/mo is just one more way those getting something for nothing -- parasitically living off of others' hard work -- have their taps in the system.

Another area of rent-seeking is in health care -- per-capita health care is $8000, twice what the "socialized" countries pay.

http://www.kff.org/insurance/snapshot/OECD042111.cfm

So a family of 4 is getting price-gouged by around $16,000 a year right there.

But hey, what's the problem if you can afford it, right?

That's an idiotic way to think -- it makes you miss the fact that capitalism is eating itself now.

It does that, periodically.

http://progressandpoverty.org/

33   TPB   2011 Oct 28, 5:18am  

Bellingham Bill says

Per-capita health care is $8000, twice what the "socialized" countries pay.

Stop paying it! You(America Collectively) are only encouraging the behavior of our Bizzaro world Capitalist based health care system when you sign that line, or take a job because they tell you are getting "Benefits" yet you're paying a Luxury Car payment with insurance every month for that "Benifit" it makes no damn since at all. Considering before Clinton tried to "Fix" healthcare THEN, when an employee talked about insurance from his work place, they always said...
"and Free Medical".

Just saw a piece on the news last night, where people in dire need of cancer drugs, can't get them because drug companies have stopped making them. Not because they weren't needed, but due to the profit margin is greater on creating and pursuing new pattens on totally unrelated drugs.

http://miami.cbslocal.com/latest-videos/?autoStart=true&topVideoCatNo=default&clipId=6393991

Meanwhile these drugs were considered the only available option for what they treated. So now there's not only a shortage or deficit, but a greater demand than ever. Generic drug makers are now going to make this drug and sell it for 1000% more than the original company. Remember Trout's rant on generic drug and patent shenanigans?
Due to all of the mergers fewer companies actually manufacture pharmaceuticals. That means even for these thousands of generic companies, it's one of these few pharmaceuticals companies that create their product at the end of the day.
They choose what they make and when. They create the profits, and you make it happen by enabling these greedy Insurance companies to screw the old, sick and infirm, and charge the Healthy out the Ass to pay for it.

It's Monetized to the max, I don't see how any Insurance scheme based health care system can work in this country.
In fact, we should outlaw Employer Health insurance, where an employee has to pay one dime of it.

What deal you have with your practitioner is your business.

We need education and health in this country. We should have Federal medical schools, and federal doctors in a federal health care system.

We're all far better off saving our money under the mattress and buying a liver on the African black market, than participating in this insanity. It would be a hell of a lot cheaper too.

34   Jon137   2011 Oct 28, 5:36am  

Buster says

So what are your thoughts? More rent increases? More social unrest due to what I describe above? I am just a little freaked out at the moment I guess. I do well financially and can only feel compassion for those who make far less. Not even sure how folks are making it. I know, I know, some will say that they are renting someplace an hour or two from the city for 400/month and they don't know what I am talking about....Love to hear what you are all seeing/hearing/and experiencing out there....thanks.

Two words: Oak Land.

For $1500/mo you can basically have your pick of one and two bedroom apartments in the best neighborhoods. You could rent a place five minutes walk from Rockridge BART.

35   rooemoore   2011 Oct 28, 5:37am  

Jimbo in SF says

Using a 30yr mortgage @ 4.25%

The $3,200 rent is the same as a payment on a $650k mortgage

The $5,200 rent is the same as a payment on a $1,050k mortgage

I think this helps explain why buying is not as crazy as it seems in SF, when the only other option is to rent at these prices.

gotta factor in the 20% down payment

36   edvard2   2011 Oct 28, 5:58am  

Jon137 says

For $1500/mo you can basically have your pick of one and two bedroom apartments in the best neighborhoods. You could rent a place five minutes walk from Rockridge BART.

b-b-b-but that would mean that they would have to ( gasp) move to the east bay! ( scary music)

37   Jimbo in SF   2011 Oct 28, 5:59am  

rowemoore says

gotta factor in the 20% down payment

No doubt, but if you can afford $3k-$5k in monthly rent, I would assume you have a higher than average income and probably have significant savings.

38   Jon137   2011 Oct 28, 6:03am  


Tenants should have some security against unreasonable rent increases though, no? Would a land value tax help renters?

If anyone is going to be for Prop 13, they must also necessarily be for that same protection for renters, or they're not being consistent. Tax control and rent control are very similar.

Hey, SF does actually does have rent control. So how can this guy's landlord raise his rent so much?

Oakland has rent control. The amount rents can go up is determined annually.

I think it has the effect of letting rents rise with inflation and economic conditions but not erratically, which can force people to move and unsettle their lives/jobs. I think that should be the only purpose of rent control. NOT this BS about "once you move in you have a right to live here forever."

SF and NYC are examples of broken rent control. It encourages people to never move, which in turn creates a supply shortage, which in turn drives prices up for newcomers. Basically, new renters are subsidizing the old renters.

For example, my brother took a job as a caretaker for a woman who lived on the upper west side, about a block from Central Park. It was a shabby, worn 4-bdrm apartment, probably 2000 sqft. She had been renting it since the late 70s. Her rent?

$470/month. If it went back on the market it would go for 6k/month. I don't know about you, but that just sounds like a mafia hit waiting to happen!

She couldn't sublet, but she could let my bro live there rent free in exchange for helping out with her kid. She herself was a semi-failed therapist probably making $40k per year, yet she's living a block away from Yoko Ono.

That's what rent control does there. You could make twice what that woman does and she would still be living better than you for the sole reason she just sat her fat ass down in one place long enough.

39   Â¥   2011 Oct 28, 6:40am  

Jon137 says

Basically, new renters are subsidizing the old renters.

well, no. Aggressive rent-control ordnances just give the same price protection to leasehold tenants that fee simple tenants enjoy.

You could make twice what that woman does and she would still be living better than you for the sole reason she just sat her fat ass down in one place long enough.

All owners have this same fat ass then.

Funny thing is I checked the place I was renting in LA in 90025 in 1991.

The rent was $700 then and if I had stayed it'd be $1300/mo now thanks to rent control.

Market rate is $1600 or so I guess.

40   Patrick   2011 Oct 28, 7:41am  

Jon137 says

Her rent?

$470/month. If it went back on the market it would go for 6k/month.

OK, that's definitely broken. But OTOH, giving landlords the power of unlimited rent increases is a broken system too. Very disruptive to renters' lives.

What would happen under a Georgist system? Georgism means that the portion of rent due to mere land ownership is taxed at 100%, but the rent due to capital improvements is taxed at 0%.

I suppose if the market value of the thread author's place is really $5,200/month, then the land value tax would be most of that, but the tenant would not get a break. The rent would really be that high, and the tenant would have to pay it. The landlord would also not be terribly thrilled, because his profits from non-productive rent-seeking would be gone.

41   greginatorus   2011 Oct 28, 9:18am  

What is so seriously wrong with a person charging as much as they want for the use of something they own and are responsible for?

Laws that impose rent prices are the moral equivalent of bailing out landlords and banks in the even that market value falls below their holding costs.

For folks who don't want to get ripped off there's something called a lease agreement. If either party doesn't like the terms, then they are free to negotiate or walk on the deal.

42   Â¥   2011 Oct 28, 9:42am  

"What is so seriously wrong with a person charging as much as they want for the use of something they own and are responsible for?"

"To prove a legal title to land one must trace it back to the man who stole it" -- Lloyd George.

Landlords did not labor to create or otherwise cause to create the site value of their property, yet they profit from this site value.

This is a central wealth suck from workers to parasites in the current system.

"Laws that impose rent prices are the moral equivalent of bailing out landlords and banks in the even that market value falls below their holding costs."

No they're not. You're just talking out of your ass your book here.

"For folks who don't want to get ripped off there's something called a lease agreement. If either party doesn't like the terms, then they are free to negotiate or walk on the deal."

Walk where? LOL. As Churchill said over 100 years ago, land is the mother of all monopolies.

http://geolib.com/essays/sullivan.dan/royallib.html

for more on the moral failing of our current arrangement.

43   rdm   2011 Oct 28, 10:18am  

I think rent control is a decidedly mixed bag. While it can protect lower income working class tenants it can have unintended consequences. One of the things rent control does is to not give landlords any incentives to keep their properties in good condition. Yes the tenant can complain and even go to court and win in court but only regarding health and sanitation type issues. I know a woman, not rich but comfortable who has lived in a very inexpensive rent controlled apartment in SF for maybe 20 years. Her landlords do the bare minimum. For example if tiles in the bathroom need fixed they go in with any old tile and "slap" it on. Her bathroom looks ridiculous. There is no consideration given her other than the basics. You cant really blame the landlords as they are not making much money off her and she won't move so why make it comfortable for her. It is also, from what I have heard really difficult to evict a tenant in SF even with cause.

44   HousingWatcher   2011 Oct 28, 11:04am  

"What's needed is just the opposite: a Prop 13 for tenants. Germany has laws like that: where once you're renting, you have a certain security in your rental. The landlord can raise the rent only so much each year, and must offer you a lease renewal."

We already have such a system in place in New York City called rent control. The wind up is that the rent control system increases rent on non rent controlled apartments and limiting rent increases discourages landlords from making improvements to the rental units. The result are tons of buildings with hundreds upon hundreds of building code violations. And the city or the tenants can't get these violations fixed since the slumlords lawyer up and drag out the process.

45   mdovell   2011 Oct 28, 11:16am  

Rent control in NYC dates back to what...world war two? You figure they would have got rid of it by now.

The other scary part is how many sub apartments get rigged up.

I heard supposedly Cindy Lauper was only paying $850 a month for rent (it was actually in a textbook about rent control!). I'd imagine that rent control is to NYC what prop 13 is to CA..a 3rd rail.

Illegal apartments are pretty nasty and can be deadly. Here's a bit from where I am.
http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2011/10/25/landlord_jailed_after_deadly_quincy_apartment_fire/

170 of them found in a three year span
http://www.patriotledger.com/news/cops_and_courts/x759739127/Nearly-170-illegal-apartments-found-in-Quincy-since-2006

46   HousingWatcher   2011 Oct 28, 11:19am  

They will never get rid of rent control. The politicans support it 100%. It buys them votes.

47   clambo   2011 Oct 28, 1:32pm  

tapu I was aware of San Diego, but it's not really a city which San Francisco or NYC both are.

48   thomas.wong1986   2011 Oct 28, 1:53pm  

Jimbo in SF says

I don't disagree with you, but there is a constant turnover of new people to any city and SF especially with the Tech industry nearby.

With higher rents comes moving jobs elsewhere... Employers dont just sit there and dole our bigger paychecks...nothing sits in bubble forever.

49   tatupu70   2011 Oct 29, 12:06am  

clambo says

tapu I was aware of San Diego, but it's not really a city which San Francisco or NYC both are.

lol--so there are what, about 5 cities in the US then?

50   mdovell   2011 Oct 29, 12:42am  

clambo says

Your post was incredulous about a rent increase. Why? San Francisco is still the most scenic, most liveable city in the USA. Manhattan is exciting but the place is stressful unless you are a zillionaire, and no city has the climate to compare with San Francisco.

Correct me if I'm wrong but doesn't it actually get a tad cold sometimes in SF? California isn't automatically warm and sunny all the time. Elevation plays a huge factor. I wouldn't say that the climate is better in some areas but it just takes a bit to get used to. A friend of mine had some family in Rochester NY..after around mid october you know you can get snowed in so it just blocks time you can visit. I can deal with cold..but snow gets me after awhile.

Most people in the country cannot afford the bay area so I wouldn't call it livable by that standard. Scenic sure...

51   Buster   2011 Oct 29, 12:43am  

Hi Patrick, I believe that any building built prior to June 13,1979 is under the rent control law, after, not. http://www.sfaa.org/0306legalqa.html

52   Buster   2011 Oct 29, 12:54am  

I have to comment about those who say that because I do better than most that I should not be a part of the OWS or 99%. Obviously, the point of OWS is going over your head. Look, even though I do well, if the same standard of living from the 1960s were applied to me, I would be making twice what I am making, and so would everyone else. The top 1% have been able to convince the masses for the last 30 years to vote against their own self interests in hopes that they too would some day be a part of this club. Yea, some will always point to Steve Jobs types who made it there, but literally these are 300 Million to 1 odds. To help illustrate, a one income family in the 60s had the relative equivalent lifestyle and standard of living or better than today's duel income families. Where did the money go? Basically skimmed right off the top by the 1% via many means. The tax laws, SCOTUS laws, rights of workers, laws that regulate the financial industry have all been changed or eliminated in favor of big business that the mega wealthy or the laws remaining simply ignored because they know that no Democrat or Republican will actually enforce them and risk losing millions in financial support to get elected or re-elected. So again, even though I make a more than decent salary, I am totally for getting the system back to where it should be. For that matter, so should even the 1%, before their house of cards come tumbling down.

53   Jon137   2011 Oct 29, 3:47am  

Bellingham Bill says

Jon137 says

Basically, new renters are subsidizing the old renters.

well, no. Aggressive rent-control ordnances just give the same price protection to leasehold tenants that fee simple tenants enjoy.

This isn't true. The effect of rent control can last decades. A typical lease is for a year, after which it can be re-negotiated.

54   Â¥   2011 Oct 29, 4:45am  

Jon137 says

The effect of rent control can last decades.

But as long as the existing housing stock's operating costs aren't rising, rent control isn't forcing landlords to have new tenants "subsidize" those enjoying lower rents.

Removing the rent-seeking in land would be a very damn good first step towards a sustainable economy, but skimmers are gonna skim.

55   Â¥   2011 Oct 29, 4:55am  

Buster says

Yea, some will always point to Steve Jobs types who made it there

Rent-seekers hiding behind the skirts of true capitalists is an age-old dodge.

Steve Jobs started with the capital from selling his VW van, a new computer design created by his genius friend, a burgeoning market, and the early joining of an angel investor who understood computers and how to market them better than Steve even.

Steve Jobs' capitalist efforts added TREMENDOUS new wealth to the world. The IBM PC's business plan was written on an Apple II. The Mac was the first computer with its act together, good enough to bring us the desktop publishing revolution. The NexT was the first computer good enough to host the invention of the www. iMacs made computers fun again. The iPod revolutionized portable music. The iOS stuff brought phones into the 21st century finailly.

As a left-libertarian/Georgist/geolibertarian/whatever, I wholly believe true capitalists should not face confiscatory tax regimes, not before we tax the shit out of those who do operate skimming / rent-seeking businesses. This is the part of the plot I feel the eurosocialists are missing, especially Denmark.

To identify the skimmers, all you have to do is remove them from the picture and see if anything changes.

Remove Steve Jobs from the picture and there would be immense changes in our world.

Remove the rent-seekers in real estate (and medicine, law, and other "professions" for that matter) and nothing would change, other than we'd be a lot wealthier by not having to pay their tolls.

56   TPB   2011 Oct 29, 5:23am  

Bellingham Bill says

Steve Jobs' capitalist efforts added TREMENDOUS new wealth to the world. The IBM PC's business plan was written on an Apple II. The Mac was the first computer with its act together, good enough to bring us the desktop publishing revolution. The NexT was the first computer good enough to host the invention of the www. iMacs made computers fun again. The iPod revolutionized portable music. The iOS stuff brought phones into the 21st century finailly.

Computers would still be rich Nerd toy, if not for Microsoft.

And the internet would be something only large corporations and governments used to communicate only running on Novel and Unix, if not for Microsoft.

57   Â¥   2011 Oct 29, 6:13am  

Microsoft, LOL.

The best thing they ever did was publish Microsoft Decathlon. It's been all downhill for them since then.

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