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housing prices peak 2


               
2022 Apr 29, 9:29pm   846,191 views  7,357 comments

by AD   follow (0)  

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pimco-kiesel-called-housing-top-160339396.html?source=patrick.net

Bond manager Mark Kiesel sold his California home in 2006, when he presciently predicted the housing bubble would pop. He bought again in 2012, after U.S. prices fell more than 30% and found a floor.

Now, after a record surge in prices, Kiesel says the time to sell is once again at hand.

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7349   AD   2026 Jan 14, 10:04pm  

Glock-n-Load says

AD says


As far as this unit

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1700-Annabellas-Dr-Panama-City-Beach-FL-32407/87629985_zpid/

Sold on 1/13/2026 for $232,000

Sold in 9/2023 for $280,000

Sold in 10/2021 for $235,000

Sold in 8/2011 for $139,000

The Panama City Beach townhome's sales price appreciated around 3.75% from 2011 o 2026.

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What’s the HOA fee?


I researched this and it was $420 last year. Now it is $383.

Property insurance is going down in Florida so that may be one reason, as we are paying about 25% less on property insurance in Panama City Beach compared to last year.
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7350   AD   2026 Jan 14, 10:09pm  

TheAntiPanicanLearingCenter says



https://x.com/i/grok/share/o2geGuohNffX1WocQ6XZOGF82

Good to see rents drop, keeps out the speculators and pushes those who want to leave the state to sell and not rent out.


We pay about annual premium $1650 for HO-3 property insurance on our Panama City Beach townhome (3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage) and replacement value of $275,000. We are about a 2 mile walk (via sidewalk) to the white sand beaches and beach park.

Also there is a master insurance for the HOA for our building which is about $1400 a year. So overall $2850 per year for insurance ;

HOA master insurance and our own property insurance total to about 1.1% of our replacement value.
7351   GNL   2026 Jan 15, 6:51am  

AD says

TheAntiPanicanLearingCenter says




https://x.com/i/grok/share/o2geGuohNffX1WocQ6XZOGF82

Good to see rents drop, keeps out the speculators and pushes those who want to leave the state to sell and not rent out.


We pay about annual premium $1650 for HO-3 property insurance on our Panama City Beach townhome (3 bedroom, 2 bath, 2 car garage) and replacement value of $275,000. We are about a 2 mile walk (via sidewalk) to the white sand beaches and beach park.

Also there is a master insurance for the HOA for our building which is about $1400 a year. So overall $2850 per year for insurance ;

HOA master insurance and our own property insurance total to about 1.1% of our replacement value.

So, how far away do you live from the listing you posted?
7353   Patrick   2026 Jan 15, 7:12pm  

They can't continue to fuck over the young for the benefit of banks and boomers forever.

If that trend continues, the median age of a house buyer will be greater than the median age at death. Then all those buyers will die and the market will be flooded with their houses.

When all those houses go on the market, prices will plummet, people will walk away from their underwater mortgages, and banks will have to take epic losses.

Or not, because the Fed will once again print more cash to buy up the mortgages from the banks, socializing the loss once again via inflation, screwing everyone. I bet that's how it plays out.

What should happen in a just world is that the banks die because of their own stupidity in lending. Your savings in the bank above the FDIC limit ($200K?) will evaporate.

But then prices will be low enough that once again young couples (if they have any income) will easily be able to buy a house and start a family.
7354   stereotomy   2026 Jan 15, 7:20pm  

The last time banks were held accountable was after the S&L crisis in the 1980's. Since then it's been almost 3 generations of corruption and grift.

There were epic deals to be had in the early 1990's, especially in the oil belt.
7355   GNL   2026 Jan 15, 7:20pm  

A shit ton of truth in all of that @patrick for sure. If...

"When all those houses go on the market, prices will plummet, people will walk away from their underwater mortgages, and banks will have to take epic losses.

...were to happen, banks would simply become the nation's landlords, I assume. No more need for lending (for mortgages anyway). Simply set rents as high as f'ing possible and keep everyone rent poor.
7356   Patrick   2026 Jan 15, 7:28pm  

The banks are limited in what they can charge in rent, both by renter incomes, and by the many rental alternatives.
7357   MolotovCocktail   2026 Jan 15, 9:23pm  

Patrick says

When all those houses go on the market, prices will plummet,


...but the Housing Experts of PatNet believe otherwise!

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