2019 Jul 2, 11:23am
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Why do the French call her "The American?"
We may even see 'Wiemar Europe' if the Russians invade non-America* NATO countries, as world currency traders will short the Euro into hyperinflationary hell as a direct result.* Even if it isn't official yet, NATO is already toast as America will not step up to a third time of totally bailing out European stupidity in the next pan-European war. Whether that takes the form of openly not voting for triggering Article V when the Russians take the Baltics/invade Romania, or just simply withdrawing or playing along strictly to the letter of its commitments (which are not actually defined in the NATO treaty despite what people might think otherwise), the 'mighty' European millitaries will be fighting the Russians..or not at all, either. And what help we do provide will come at a steep cost to the Europeans. Think: Lend-Lease Up the Ass, Trump-style.
You are overestimating the strength of Russian military and willingness of Russian oligarchs (real rulers of Russia), who keep their money and children in Western Europe, to engage in war which would result in them losing their "savings" plundered from Russian people. Russian army got stuck in Ukraine - they could not defeat army of the most corrupt and divided country in Europe. On the other hand, Poland is up-and-coming, disciplined, not terribly corrupt, has been modernizing their army with latest US weaponry, and is extremely anti-Russian. Any attack on Eastern Europe would involve attack on Poland.
You assume that Russia has a choice in this matter. It doesn't. In a very few short years, demographics will cut the Russian Army in half. It won't be able to secure its post-Soviet borders. This is an existential threat to the Russian Federation as a polity.
because Russian army is a swarm of incompetent jackasses armed with 1980's technology.
Federalists are pinning their hopes on Ursula von der Leyn, the probable next president of the European Commission, to take major steps towards their dream of a United States of Europe. Mrs von der Leyn, a German defence minister, has said she wants her grandchildren to grow up in a federal Europe run along the lines of the US or Switzerland and called for an EU army....
And they can overwhelm the Poles
And they can overwhelm Germans
Which put them ahead of the Ukranians
We may even see 'Wiemar Europe'
In a very few short years, demographics will cut the Russian Army in half.