patrick.net

Dan8267 says

Patrick, looks like new image posts are broken. It looks like a URL redirect problem.

For example,
http: //patrick.net/uploads/2017/09/2217%3Ci%3Ebqbte00iuaaz3xu.png
gets mapped to
http: //patrick.net/postbytitle/content

Thanks for telling me. That particular file is just not found on the server, so the fallback is to try to look it up as if it were the title to a post, which of course also does not work.

But image upload in general still works:



Though your tip helped me find that there was a problem with underscores in urls converting content to italics, and therefore breaking the link. Ugh. It's all kind of a regexp nightmare: https://github.com/killelea/node.patrick.net/blob/master/node/patrick_net.js#L302

Hurricane Allen in 1980 was a nastier hurricane than Irma. Officially recorded 190 mph sustained winds. I was living in Houston.

Unlike Harvey which stalled as it hit land and continued dumping rain on the same patch of dirt for three more straight days, Allen did NOT stall out. It kept moving inland.
Instead of flooding we got nasty high winds a full 60 miles from the beach. I spent several months afterward fixing our garage roof and fences which were ripped out of the ground and wrapped around our neighbors swing sets.

I spoke with a friend who inherited his parent's house years later and still lives in that neighborhood in Houston. He told me there was no wind trouble at all with Harvey. Just that as the Hurricane hit land this time, for some reason, this time it stopped right there. Harvey just died right there on top of Houston, dumping tropical storm style rain on top of them for 80 more hours. He said the water got close to coming in his house, but didn't. But no wind trouble.

Storm surge and wind didn't almost get my friend's living room wet - 60 miles inland from the coast...the storm stopping and continuing to rain all in one area did. Hurricane Allen sure didn't stop when it hit land. It was like a tornado hitting the house for hours.

In the past 20 years, there's been an increase in tropical storms hitting Florida and gulf and a decrease in Hurricanes. How they move is still quite mysterious. I think many people in Houston, New Orleans, and Miami would vote that they need more money for Civil Engineers than Climate Scientists at this point.

deepcgi says

I think many people in Houston, New Orleans, and Miami would vote that they need more money for Civil Engineers than Climate Scientists at this point.

Agreed - well said.

Dan8267 says

If you believe in free markets at all, then either all pollution should be banned since it's theft or all pollution should be taxed for the cleanup of said pollution so that production that pollutes isn't subsidized by production that doesn't. The free market solution is to either ban or fully tax and then let the market react to how much coal we should burn. Do you not believe in free markets?

There is no functional way to implement this across 6 billion people on the planet. We'd end up with pockets of strict command and control in western Europe/Canada/US and some of asia. The rest of the world would never follow along. Even in the places where the "taxes" are enforced properly, it would devolve into childish fighting over the proper levels of taxation AND the revenues would go for Trans sex reassignment and other worthless societal endeavors.

Your solution is a professor's fantasy. No chance it would ever work in the real world.

null says

But here's a quick hint for you. You want to know what causes the heat in the ocean, go look up into the sky during the day. See that fireball? That's your answer.

That fireball does look kinda hot.

BlueSardine says

And for tomorrows lesson, we will go over the peculiarities of 2 + 2...

Aw c'mon man, don't start with the common core. This thread is already confusing enough.

Is this storm going to get up into Atlanta and fuck up the PGA Tour Championship? My man Jordan Spieth needs that 10 mil.

null says

Now it's your turn

Still waiting. Did the hurricane blow you away?

CBOEtrader says

There is no functional way to implement this across 6 billion people on the planet. We'd end up with pockets of strict command and control in western Europe/Canada/US and some of asia. The rest of the world would never follow along.

Your statement is empirically false. The rest of the world is already doing more than the U.S. Reality disproves your conjecture.

You must be very bad at business if you have a "we can't succeed" attitude. The people who are good at business are the ones who see paths to success and don't give up as easily as you have. There are no successful negative Nancies. Imagine if the founders of Google had your attitude. Have you learned nothing from the rise of the Information Age?

Dan8267 says

Hurricane Irma

"Among the many scenes of devastation coming out of areas flooded by Tropical Storm Harvey, images of floating rafts of [fire] ants have gone viral on social media.

The ants are common in the areas of the Southern United States that were hit by the floods. The floodwaters lift the ants from their anthills on the ground, and clinging together, they are capable of drifting for miles until they find dry land to re-establish a colony on.
***
Paul Nester, a Houston-based fire ants expert at Texas A&M's AgriLife Extension Service, has this primary advice: "Avoid, avoid, avoid." Give these rafts of ants a wide berth.
***
However, in a flood situation, there is an unexpected way to battle the balls of fire ants: spraying them with diluted biodegradable dishwashing liquid, at a ration of about two tablespoons of soap per gallon of water. The ants will slowly start to drown and die, Nester says.
***
Rafts of ants can also present problems to people navigating flooded areas by boat, Nester says. The floating colonies can "just kind of explode onto" boats, or climb onto paddles.

As rescue efforts continue, he warns that floating fire ants rafts will often take refuge in debris piles. That can be dangerous for people working to clean up and rebuild.

If you find yourself covered in fire ants, Nester says you should avoid jumping into water or trying to hose them off. The water just makes the ants cling to your body even harder, and it can make them more likely to sting you.

"We really recommend that people just brush them off to the best of their ability," he says."

Dan8267 says

The rest of the world is already doing more than the U.S.

Um, wrong. That's an empirically false statement, and you backed it up with absolutely nothing. It's an established FACT that the USA leads the world in carbon emissions reduction and has for a decade. No other nation comes close! We also lead the world in alternative energy production, not to mention we are the the source of all alternative energy technology. I'd say the USA is the absolute BEST country for helping to curb greenhouse gas! It's the rest of the world that needs to catch up!

Quigley says

It's an established FACT that the USA leads the world in carbon emissions reduction and has for a decade

Ah yes the IER report. Funded by the oil industry. Fracking and the collapse of the use of coal for natural gas is the main cause of reduction in carbon emissions not any kind of national policy or effort. The US still has among the highest per capita carbon emissions in the world. Only the middle east oil states are higher. The US is still the second highest carbon emissions country in the world. Most of the rest of the first world has had carbon emissions per capita of half or a third of the US for decades. If the US lowered emissions per capita by 50% it would still be higher than the EU if the EU didn't do anything. Leading? I think not, more like trailing badly and trying to catch up to where other people have been for a long time. We are not very good in an economic efficiency either. The US GDP per ton of carbon emissions is way down the charts, ranking 80th in the world.

Quigley says

We also lead the world in alternative energy production

Really? I don't think so.

Dan8267 says

Your statement is empirically false. The rest of the world is already doing more than the U.S. Reality disproves your conjecture.

Where? And how do you define "more" and "rest of the worlds"?

Your grossly oversimplified statements sound more like an ideology, more like a fundamentalism, than science. It makes skeptics run from your cause. If your goal is to make people disagree w you, your approach is a case study in how to do that.

Ok so we aren't #1 above tiny city states with a few solar panels like Lichtenstein. So what? We are still in the top ten, not below the world. We are already doing more than our part, and the technological advances we produce drive the world energy market. The point is still valid, as this chart proves.

CBOEtrader says

Where? And how do you define "more" and "rest of the worlds"?

Your grossly oversimplified statements sound more like an ideology, more like a fundamentalism, than science. It makes skeptics run from your cause. If your goal is to make people disagree w you, your approach is a case study in how to do that.

Dan is all about grandiose oversimplified statements followed by attacks on people like "You must be very bad at business". When dan does this it's called intellectual debate showcasing his superior intellect. When anyone does it to dan it's called trolling.

If this wasn't the newer, kinder, gentler patnet I would use a yiddish epitaph that that rhymes with luck and starts with schm to describe a person who behaves like this.

Great power is out FPL sucks. I have to resort to posting on petnet with my phone. How uncivilized. How am I even supposed to type a 20-page diatribe on this tiny ass keyboard? Oh wait this keyboard does voice to text.

My supposed to do all day? Just waste all day on Pat net? This is a weekend not a workday.

At Patrick, pennant doesn't handle mobile very well.

Has the water risen to your doorstep yet? I have champagne on ice...

Dan8267 says

Great power is out FPL sucks.

Dan8267 says

Great power is out FPL sucks.

Wait, shouldn't you blame the lack of power on Global Warming and not on FPL? after alll, you're blaming global warming for the hurricane.

He'll blame Texas and/or them dern climate deniers

How is the lovely land of bath salts and police chases this fine evening?

BlueSardine says

Has the water risen to your doorstep yet? I have champagne on ice...

Ah, the nature of the conservative right is revealed once again. You are petty and despicable.

null says

Dan8267 says

Great power is out FPL sucks.

Wait, shouldn't you blame the lack of power on Global Warming and not on FPL? after alll, you're blaming global warming for the hurricane.

So your argument that climate change is hysteria is based on the assumption that I would blame the power outage on global warming. Well, I'm not. I'm blaming it on FPL's crappy infrastructure that should be replaced with underground powerlines. So your objections to climate change call to actions are now invalid.

And yes, it is a scientific fact that hurricanes are more severe due to global warming. Only idiots deny that. Do you even know anything about thermodynamics? Christ, you should have learned that shit in high school.

As long as we are talking about renewable energy, I was wondering how well wind turbines and solar panels hold up in a hurricane. I an thinking that the rotors on windmills can be locked in place for a hurricane, but I would have to think that plenty of solar panels would get damaged in a storm.

Dan8267 says

And yes, it is a scientific fact that hurricanes are more severe due to global warming. Only idiots deny that. Do you even know anything about thermodynamics? Christ, you should have learned that shit in high school.

Some enterprising conservatives will no doubt find particular sites where the number of intense hurricanes has decreased, and use that to make a crappy case that global warming decreases hurricane intensity. The innumerates can make statistics appear to show whatever they want to other innumerates.

Fortunately for the residents it looks like Irma's landfall was by far not as catastrophic as portrayed. From the current reports it seems Irma has already slowed down considerably. Hope everybody down there stayed safe.

Yeah, I never would have thought about making a comment like that without your tutelage...
Thanks for the lesson you petty despicable hypocrite...

Dan8267 says

BlueSardine says

Has the water risen to your doorstep yet? I have champagne on ice...

Ah, the nature of the conservative right is revealed once again. You are petty and despicable.

Rin says
Hey Blue Sardine, have you ever thought about dying of natural causes, since it's illegal for me to advocate suicide?

Dan says
Does auto-erotic asphyxiation count as natural causes? Because I've got a bet on that in the dead pool.

Dan8267 says

Great power is out FPL sucks. I have to resort to posting on petnet with my phone. How uncivilized

Patrick.net works on a phone now???
Yeah, buried power lines would be a LOT better. Not sure if you can even due that in many parts of Florida due to water table being so high.

zzyzzx says

Dan8267 says

Great power is out FPL sucks. I have to resort to posting on petnet with my phone. How uncivilized

Patrick.net works on a phone now???
Yeah, buried power lines would be a LOT better. Not sure if you can even due that in many parts of Florida due to water table being so high.

The power in the SF bay area goes out for hours on a normal thunderstorm and/or any bigger rainfall.

Looks like I triggered Shrek again with the truth. He's throwing a pissy fit.

zzyzzx says

Not sure if you can even due that in many parts of Florida due to water table being so high.

You can. They are common in newer neighborhoods. FPL is just too damn cheap to lay new lines.

Yes you did....you did...

Dan8267 says

Looks like I triggered Shrek again with the truth. He's throwing a pissy ROTFLOL fit.

BlueSardine says

Yeah, I never would have thought about making a comment like that without your tutelage...
Thanks for the lesson you petty despicable hypocrite...

Dan8267 says

BlueSardine says

Has the water risen to your doorstep yet? I have champagne on ice...

Ah, the nature of the conservative right is revealed once again. You are petty and despicable.

Rin says
Hey Blue Sardine, have you ever thought about dying of natural causes, since it's illegal for me to advocate suicide?

Dan says
Does auto-erotic asphyxiation count as natural causes? Because I've got a bet on that in the dead pool.

Ironman is looting Georgie's. Dan went down to cut him down with a sawed off shotgun.

YesYNot says

Some enterprising conservatives will no doubt find particular sites where the number of intense hurricanes has decreased, and use that to make a crappy case that global warming decreases hurricane intensity.

That site would be NOAA, are they a conspiracy site? They have posted that there is no definite connection of global warming and hurricanes being stronger because of it. BTW, it's hurricane season (that comes every year).

Dan8267 says

And yes, it is a scientific fact that hurricanes are more severe due to global warming. Only idiots deny that. Do you even know anything about thermodynamics? Christ, you should have learned that shit in high school.


https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/
It is premature to conclude that human activities–and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity.

It's dans way of tithing to his church...

Ceffer says

Ironman is looting Georgie's. Dan went down to cut him down with a sawed off shotgun.

anonymous says

https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/
It is premature to conclude that human activities–and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity.

Are you accepting NOAA as an accurate source of information on climate change? If so, #lawyered.

First, from the article you cherry picked.

It is premature to conclude that human activities–and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity. That said, human activities may have already caused changes that are not yet detectable due to the small magnitude of the changes or observational limitations, or are not yet confidently modeled (e.g., aerosol effects on regional climate).

Left that part out I see.

Second,

Anthropogenic warming by the end of the 21st century will likely cause tropical cyclones globally to be more intense on average (by 2 to 11% according to model projections for an IPCC A1B scenario). This change would imply an even larger percentage increase in the destructive potential per storm, assuming no reduction in storm size.

So they confirm the seriousness of man-made climate change on making storms much worse. Already you lose. And this is the paragraph immediate after the fragment you quoted. And then there is the next paragraph.

There are better than even odds that anthropogenic warming over the next century will lead to an increase in the occurrence of very intense tropical cyclone in some basins–an increase that would be substantially larger in percentage terms than the 2-11% increase in the average storm intensity. This increase in intense storm occurrence is projected despite a likely decrease (or little change) in the global numbers of all tropical cyclones.

And the one after that.

Anthropogenic warming by the end of the 21st century will likely cause tropical cyclones to have substantially higher rainfall rates than present-day ones, with a model-projected increase of about 10-15% for rainfall rates averaged within about 100 km of the storm center.

In fact the entire article confirms the significance of climate change, specifically global warming, on severe weather events like hurricanes and cyclones.

And here's the kicker.

The strongest hurricanes in the present climate may be upstaged by even more intense hurricanes over the next century as the earth’s climate is warmed by increasing levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Although we cannot say at present whether more or fewer hurricanes will occur in the future with global warming, the hurricanes that do occur near the end of the 21st century are expected to be stronger and have significantly more intense rainfall than under present day climate conditions. This expectation (Figure 11) is based on an anticipated enhancement of energy available to the storms due to higher tropical sea surface temperatures.

Once more, science trumps the stupid, foolish political agenda of the conservative right.

Dan8267 says

human activities may have

will lead

is projected

will likely cause

may be upstaged

Is that what you call "science"? The quote I brought is in the present tense, and does not involve any could may will in the future when the auther is retired.

Come back when you have smay be upstagedomething of substance. Oh, and and educate yourself on what science is:www.youtube.com/embed/OL6-x0modwY

Climate change science isn't vague, and Richard Feynman would consider you an idiot. The consequences of climate change are already happening and confirmed.

National Geographic

Core samples, tide gauge readings, and, most recently, satellite measurements tell us that over the past century, the Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) has risen by 4 to 8 inches (10 to 20 centimeters). However, the annual rate of rise over the past 20 years has been 0.13 inches (3.2 millimeters) a year, roughly twice the average speed of the preceding 80 years.

The proof is empirical and undeniable.

The war on terror is vague. Climate change is not.

$200 billion in damages from Irma. That's $1640 per U.S. tax payer, and it's just for Irma. That's your climate change tax, and it's going up. Already climate change is costing you more money than taxing pollution would have. Penny wise, pound foolish.

http://money.cnn.com/2017/09/10/news/economy/hurricane-irma-harvey-economic-damage/index.html