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RE market is shifting slowly to buyers market


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2015 Oct 4, 1:02pm   4,220 views  10 comments

by hanera   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

https://www.redfin.com/research/reports/2015/redfin-fall-housing-outlook-sees-healthy-buyer-demand-steady-price-and-sales-growth.html#.Vg6-Md9VhBc?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=1001612_Conversion+-+Demand+Index+September+2015_Split1&utm_source=strongmail

“Buyers are worried about too-high prices and are more cautious about making offers,” said Karen Krupsaw, Redfin vice president of real estate operations. “We’re seeing that sellers are getting the memo, as more people are dropping their prices in the past few weeks.”

Buyers today would rather keep searching than overpay for a home. Redfin agents report that sellers are beginning to come to terms with this mindset, and some have started lowering their listing prices.

#housing

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1   tatupu70   2015 Oct 4, 1:23pm  

It's called fall/winter. Happens every year.

2   anonymous   2015 Oct 4, 4:09pm  

yes, "research" shows that home sellers tend to reduce their prices in the fall season... this doesn't happen every single fucking year - no way.

3   HEY YOU   2015 Oct 6, 11:15am  

It's always a buyers market,because they overpay. Enjoy your new shack.
Any price over 10% of listing is too much.

I love to go to auctions. Someone bids $100,someone else bids $110.
Dumbass! Second bid should be $90.

4   Rew   2015 Oct 6, 2:26pm  

Just seasonality.

My local market, listings at extremely low levels, prices back at 2007 highs, price per square-foot almost higher than ever before. I don't think the market (in terms of sales price) will cool that much this winter, which means the price insanity continues in 2016.

Sales volume doesn't mean poop. As a seller, if I put my house on the market right now, I'm competing against an extremely small range of comps, as well as houses with similar features. It means I can demand top dollar.

Sellers market in the extreme right now (my local area, at-least).

5   hanera   2015 Oct 6, 4:26pm  

Which one of you have bought this year or plan to buy next year?
Which one of you have sold this year or plan to sell next year?

I have bought one SFH in Austin recently, can't afford to buy any in SF/SV and have no interest to buy in other parts of SFBA.

6   Strategist   2015 Oct 6, 6:26pm  

hanera says

Which one of you have bought this year or plan to buy next year?

Yes......Yes again.
Prices will never be this low again.
It's now or never.
Buy now or forever be sorry.

7   FortWayne   2015 Oct 6, 11:35pm  

Rew says

Sales volume doesn't mean poop. As a seller, if I put my house on the market right now, I'm competing against an extremely small range of comps, as well as houses with similar features. It means I can demand top dollar.

Last year that would have been true. This year there is a huge slow down already. Last year every place had 30 offers, this year it's 1 or 2. Next year, only god knows what next year will be. If trend continues you'll have to suck it up probably on the aggressive pricing model.

Remember next year rates will go up slightly, and 2 years from now with Republicans finally in the white house even higher. You know what that does to the housing prices.

8   hanera   2015 Oct 7, 1:36am  

FortWayne says

Last year that would have been true. This year there is a huge slow down already. Last year every place had 30 offers, this year it's 1 or 2. Next year, only god knows what next year will be. If trend continues you'll have to suck it up probably on the aggressive pricing model.

Still can't tell whether it is seasonal or because RE has peaked. Many houses in hoods where I monitor closely are now sold with only one bid. But I'm still not sure because around the same period last year, prices did come down but in Spring, prices rally vigorously. So, the slowdown could be seasonal + stock market correction's effect, and not a peak.

9   FortWayne   2015 Oct 7, 7:45am  

hanera says

Still can't tell whether it is seasonal or because RE has peaked. Many houses in hoods where I monitor closely are now sold with only one bid. But I'm still not sure because around the same period last year, prices did come down but in Spring, prices rally vigorously. So, the slowdown could be seasonal + stock market correction's effect, and not a peak.

I have no idea too. Some of it is probably due to higher asking prices, some probably economy or seasonal related. I don't think anyone knows. It's just it is very drastic drop from last year, that's the only thing I noticed.

10   anonymous   2015 Oct 7, 10:33am  

hanera says

because RE has peaked.

it's in the zone - investment is getting more cautious/careful, but the "peak" may actually turn into a "mesa" for a while.

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