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Mario Draghi's Statement: A Fistful Of Keynesian Fallacies


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2015 Jan 3, 12:30am   1,102 views  2 comments

by mell   ➕follow (9)   💰tip   ignore  

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-02/mario-draghis-statement-fistful-keynesian-fallacies

Submitted by Patrick Barron via Mises Canada,

From today’s Open Europe news summary:

Draghi: ECB ready to initiate QE to counter low inflation

In an interview with Handelsblatt, ECB President Mario Draghi warned that persistently low inflation in the Eurozone meant that “the risk that we do not fulfill our mandate of price stability is higher than six months ago”. Draghi reiterated that the ECB was ready to step in with a programme of Quantitative Easing, noting that “We are in technical preparations to adjust the scope, speed and composition of our measures for early 2015.”

Handelsblatt, Reuters, Telegraph
ECB President Mario Draghi’s latest statement is full of Keynesian fallacies, to wit:

1. That price stability is a worthy goal. No, monetary stability is essential, so that prices may reflect the true preferences and productive limitations of the market in order to allocate scarce resources to their most important purposes as dictated by the market.

2. That low inflation or even deflation is harmful. No, in a economy with increasing productivity prices will fall, benefiting all of society. Preventing prices from falling or, as ECB President Draghi desires, encouraging price inflation, causes the Cantillon Effect, whereby early receivers of the new money benefit at the expense of later receivers. Continuing monetary expansion will cause the Austrian Business Cycle.

3. That GDP is a good measure of an economy’s success. if this were the case, then Zimbabwe would be a huge success story. GDP simply adds up the monetary prices of goods sold, so higher prices on the same or even slightly lower volume of sales necessarily will be interpreted by Keynesian economists as success.

4. That monetary expansion can spur an economy to greater prosperity. If this were the case, then counterfeiters would be doing all of us a big favor. Monetary expansion distorts the structure of production, sending more resources to the expansion of enterprises further removed from final consumption. This malinvestment eventually will be revealed by losses in these industries. The current collapse of commodity prices and anticipated bankruptcies in commodity production industries are a good illustration of this process and are attributable to massive monetary expansion by central banks since the 2008 great recession.

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1   indigenous   2015 Jan 3, 12:58am  

Good stuff! Deflation is your enemy, funny stuff.

2   Patrick   2023 Mar 19, 7:58pm  

mell says

Preventing prices from falling or, as ECB President Draghi desires, encouraging price inflation, causes the Cantillon Effect, whereby early receivers of the new money benefit at the expense of later receivers.


https://www.swfinstitute.org/news/89070/what-is-the-cantillon-effect-and-why-its-even-more-important-now


A Cantillon effect is a change in relative prices resulting from a change in money supply. It is the uneven expansion of the amount of money. ...

Since the 2000s, as the world’s largest central banks started to run out of policy tools (lowering interest rates), many are aggressively creating new money during each major financial crisis. The current status of the U.S. economy is experiencing inflation expanding during the Biden administration at record levels, resulting in increase in prices that are occurring in energy, blue collar labor, and food, but not in other products and services.

With the creation of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the U.S. exiting the gold standard, the Cantillon effect has favored investors and owners over workers (wage-earners) in the aggregate.


https://rudy.substack.com/p/the-wealthiest-1-own-53-of-equities


The wealthiest 1% own 53% of equities.
Look up "Cantillon Effect."

This is who owns corporate equities and mutual funds, by wealth percentile group, according to the Federal Reserve, as of Q3 2022 (latest data):
The top 0.1% (e.g., Leon Black) own 21.8%. That’s one-tenth of one percent.

The next 0.9% (e.g., Raphael Bostic) own 31.2%.
i.e., The top 1% own 53% of all equities.

The next 9% (Fintwit) own 35.6%.
i.e., The top 10% own 88.6% of all equities.

The 50th-90th percentile (e.g., people who watch Jim Cramer, my proxy for “middle-class”) own 10.8%.

The bottom 50% (i.e., the poor) own 0.6% (zero-point-six percent). The stock market is a fairy tale to them, like private jets.




YES, the top 10% get enriched when you “debase the currency” and spike equities (nominally).
The other 90% get hosed by inflation.

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