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What will be the Next Bubble?

By freak80 following x   2013 Sep 20, 4:25am 15,192 views   46 comments   watch   sfw   quote     share    


1999: tech bubble (it's the New Economy!)
2006: housing bubble (buy now or be priced out forever!!)
2011: gold & silver bubble (oh no, hyperinflation!!!)

What will be the next bubble?

There are billions of dollars sloshing around desperately chasing yield since interest rates are so low. Some of that money went into bonds, but then the "taper" talk freaked out the bond market. The Fed probably won't raise rates or reduce QE until the "real" economy gets better. This money has to go somewhere, right?

Stocks seem to have the momentum. Even with all the taper-talk, stocks have been going up.

What's your guess on the next bubble, if there is one?

#housing

7   dunnross   ignore (6)   2013 Sep 21, 11:32pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (2)   quote        

Next bubble will be gold and silver. 2011 wasn't a bubble in gold, it was just a local maximum.

8   freak80   ignore (4)   2013 Sep 22, 10:53pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

dunnross says

Next bubble will be gold and silver. 2011 wasn't a bubble in gold, it was just a local maximum.

Good luck with that strategy. Go "all in" and use lots of leverage.

9   freak80   ignore (4)   2013 Sep 22, 10:56pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

freak80 says

A case for a stock market bubble:


jobless recovery --> continued fed stimulus --> continued bull market in stocks --> stock wealth doesn't "trickle down" --> jobless recovery

lather, rinse, repeat...

Someone else is thinking the same thing:

http://www.patrick.net/?p=1229693

10   dunnross   ignore (6)   2013 Sep 23, 2:16pm   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

egads101 says

Jeez, dunross, I hope you used protection!!!!

The only protection we need around here, is against lying ducks, and dumb 3rd rate professors who don't even read their own posts.

11   dunnross   ignore (6)   2013 Sep 23, 3:01pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

Perhaps, instead of being an ass*hole that you really are, and miring in your own Schändlichkeit, you might still want to tell us why you lied about inventory going up.

12   freak80   ignore (4)   2013 Sep 23, 10:33pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

As Jim Cramer would say, Dumbross is in "The House of Pain!"

13   indigenous   ignore (0)   2013 Sep 24, 5:36am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

Did any of yous predict the 2008 crash in real estate?

14   indigenous   ignore (0)   2013 Sep 24, 5:59am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

egads101 says

indigenous says

Did any of yous predict the 2008 crash in real estate?

the oracle did, of course!

I'm surprised. What did he base that on?

15   FortWayne   ignore (2)   2013 Sep 24, 6:09am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

indigenous says

Did any of yous predict the 2008 crash in real estate?

Actually many people predicted the 2006 crash, they just didn't know the exact date... but they knew it was coming to the end sooner or later. I remember looking online and seeing patrick.net (which was talking about these problems).

I was not in real estate, but economy was very odd so we all paid attention to what was going on. And myself I sort of felt that too. I knew our condo was "appraised" at about 500,000 since local realtors kept on spamming us with their flyers to "sell". Which just made no sense, because at half a million no soul in the world will be able to borrow and pay that kind of money for a small condo in our neighborhood. And like any system, when there are no buyers (or suckers in this case) to buy into the system... the system collapses. It was only a matter of time. A lot of people knew that.

I just hope that never happens again. Our nation, and the world, are still recovering.

16   indigenous   ignore (0)   2013 Sep 24, 6:17am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

ok now the only ones buying are investors. Doesn't that raise a red flag?

17   indigenous   ignore (0)   2013 Sep 24, 6:42am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

sbh says

How far back and to which part of the planet would you go in order to find a normal economy as defined by the Anarcho-Austrians? I'm being serious, indiginous, I'm curious

1912

18   everything   ignore (1)   2013 Sep 24, 8:00am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Maybe a combination of all three, equities are at all time highs, gold and silver also .. near recent highs, RE .. looking great.

Who knows, maybe debt bubbles will be the next big thing.

19   dunnross   ignore (6)   2013 Sep 29, 3:17am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

egads101 says

you are of course a boldface liar. I remember that Rob guy, he posted links of all of his property deals. You? I don't recall it, post a link to it.

LOL. How can you even talk about somebody being a liar in the very same post that you are lying about your own identity. Or, might you be a dual-personality psychopath!

20   dunnross   ignore (6)   2013 Sep 29, 3:22am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

indigenous says

Can you tell me how the gold market can be manipulated by naked short selling?

Because COMEX doesn't require physical delivery and the short seller can simply extend his contract or the long side can agree to a cash payment. In fact, if it wasn't for the futures market, gold would be $5000 today.

21   mell   ignore (2)   2013 Sep 29, 3:26am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

dunnross says

indigenous says

Can you tell me how the gold market can be manipulated by naked short selling?

Because COMEX doesn't require physical delivery and the short seller can simply extend his contract or the long side can agree to a cash payment. In fact, if it wasn't for the futures market, gold would be $5000 today.

We don't know the extent but there is certainly truth to this. Physical carries a premium around the world.

22   indigenous   ignore (0)   2013 Sep 29, 3:36am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

dunnross says

Of course it is. In fact, they are not even being too secretive about it. Otherwise, how would you explain JP Morgan short-selling 500 tons in a span of 30 minutes, when they know that people in China are standing in lines to buy physical.

I know nothing about this. How can they do this, it seems like there would be no way the gold would go down?

23   freak80   ignore (4)   2013 Sep 29, 10:18am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

So what will be the next bubble?

24   Facebooksux   ignore (0)   2013 Sep 29, 3:03pm   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

The goddamn treasury bubble is the next bubble. Why OP even axed this question is beyond me.

25   FortWayne   ignore (2)   2013 Oct 1, 12:33am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Facebooksux says

The goddamn treasury bubble is the next bubble. Why OP even axed this question is beyond me.

I'm betting on healthcare, because that's where government is throwing all the money.

26   JH   ignore (0)   2013 Oct 1, 1:02am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

freak80 says

So what will be the next bubble?

Commodities. Look at the historical charts.





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