patrick.net

Another Jimmy Carter belly flop.

Ruki says

That means it is highly probable Romney will kick Obama's ass, as the challenger being this close now usually breaks into the lead at the last moment when the votes are cast.

Like McCain did?

This election is extremely similar to Bush/Kerry

Too bad Obama will win anyway...

Buried under the headlines in the WJS today was a small article saying
Iranian oil production has dropped recently by quite a bit. In the
article was a brief mention that Canada closed its embassy and told
Iranian diplomats to leave Ottawa.
An article this morning on Yahoo news, which is already taken off of
its list of news links, said that Canada made the annoucement after its
diplomats were already safely out of Iran. The Yahoo article said
Canada is cutting ties because the current government disagrees with
Iran's policies. But usually there is something more behind a story
like this than just two governments disagreeing on policy (like the
last time Canada cut its relations with Iran).

Maybe something is brewing over there. The timing of it could even be
related to the presidential election here. The headlines have been
unusually quiet about Israel-Iran.

Politifact says

This election is extremely similar to Bush/Kerry

In some ways this is true the difference being the country was on a war footing in 2004 as opposed to a bad economy. The dynamics of the wars in 2004 hadn't changed quite enough for Bush to get booted. Obama's prospects are sailing between icebergs of economic disaster. We could still hit one between now and November but if not he likely wins. Romney is just a terrible candidate/politician and that sure helps Obama.

B.A.C.A.H. says

The headlines have been
unusually quiet about Israel-Iran.

That's right and typically that is when you need to worry about war.

http://www.examiner.com/article/poll-15-percent-of-ohio-republicans-credit-romney-for-killing-osama-bin-laden

Poll: 15 percent of Ohio Republicans credit Romney for killing Osama bin Laden

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

RCP Average 8/22 - 9/9 -- -- 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9

CNN/Opinion Research 9/7 - 9/9 709 LV 3.5 52 46 Obama +6
IBD/CSM/TIPP 9/4 - 9/9 808 RV 3.5 46 44 Obama +2
Rasmussen (Monday) 3-Day Tracking 1500 LV 3.0 50 45 Obama +5
Gallup (Monday) 7-Day Tracking 3050 RV 2.0 49 44 Obama +5
Democracy Corps (D) 8/23 - 8/27 1000 LV 3.1 49 47 Obama +2
CBS News 8/22 - 8/26 1051 RV 3.0 46 45 Obama +1
ABC News/Wash Post 8/22 - 8/25 857 RV 4.0 46 47 Romney +1

Romney hit a new low today on IEM.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres12_quotes.html

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres12_WTA.cfm

Ruki says

Yup, Romney -- the John Kerry of the GOP that nobody wanted -- is neck to neck with The Grand Messiah of Liberals, once the MOEs are accounted for.

That means it is highly probable Romney will kick Obama's ass, as the challenger being this close now usually breaks into the lead at the last moment when the votes are cast.

And if the Eurotards commit economic suicide between now and November and thus causes a financial collapse or -- better yet, Israel attacks Iran and gas prices soar to $8/gal -- Romney will win.

Romney Is Only Going To Win Because Obama Fucked Up

So based on that shouldn't you change your sig to ...

"Romney has a chance if there is a disaster."

Call it Crazy says

If Romney wins, will you, Edvard, Marcus, et al change your user names?

I don't make silly assertions about Obama winning. But I sometimes state opinions about how bad Romney's policies are.

And I regularly observe the significant lead Obama has as reflected by those putting up money to bet on the outcome.

marcus says

Romney hit a new low today on IEM.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres12_quotes.html

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres12_WTA.cfm

Call it Crazy says

If Romney wins, will you, Edvard, Marcus, et al change your user names?

I guess the bigger question is how much will it affect me? I make an income that places me above the middle class, I don't have kids and thus don't use public schools, and I don't receive Medicare. If Romney wins, I'm not in the middle class so I shouldn't care if he's elected.

Theoretically I should be cheering for Romney because his platform is all about favoring people who make money like me and selling those who don't the plan he has is "good for them" because it'll all work out for them.... someday - he promises. Yes- somehow someway trickle-down economics will work even though that plan was tried 30+ years ago and it failed then. But even though the world economy changes non-stop and the US economy isn't the same as it was 30 years ago, again he's gonna' sell us all on Reaganomics 2.0 as if the economy is in some sort of suspended animation and what didn't work 30 years ago will surely work now. Even though ideologically based economic plans are so far removed from any sort of tangible reality, we're going to try an antiquated piece of the 80's again, dusting it off from the closet. Yes- pure genius.

So to answer the question- no. Secondly, I am willing to bet that if Romney wins, those on the right will have about 5 minutes of sheer bliss before going right back to where they were before: and that is to continue blaming all of the country's problems on those durn' Liberals with the same level of bitterness. It won't make one bit of difference.

If you loved Bush's economic policies, Cheney's foreign policies, and Santorum's social policies, then you will love the Romney-Ryan ticket!!!

marcus says

Call it Crazy says

If Romney wins, will you, Edvard, Marcus, et al change your user names?

I don't make silly assertions about Obama winning. But I sometimes state opinions about how bad Romney's policies are.

And I regularly observe the significant lead Obama has as reflected by those putting up money to bet on the outcome.

marcus says

Romney hit a new low today on IEM.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres12_quotes.html

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres12_WTA.cfm

Those putting up money to wager on the outcome, aren't using iowa electronic market. They have a 500 max. The real money that sets the market (people dropping 5-6 figures) does continue to move towards obama. Romney bettors can now get +200

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/ContestCategory/Politics/300~2A~+U~2E~S~2E~+2012+Presidential+Election/Winning+Party/Lines.aspx

Remember, Romney is the candidate that even REPUBLICANS didn't want. They tried to run with anyone, ANYONE, other than him but their slate was filled with losers. He couldn't get over 25% in his own contests.

If I were a Republican, I'd wonder...how the hell did we get stuck with this guy as our candidate?

Still, thank you GOP voters. You've made our lives less stressful.

Ruki says

And most voters see it that way, too.

If most voters see it that way, they aren't voting that way. Why the disconnect?

They resoundingly rejected Sanctimonious, et al. until they were stuck with Romney-bot.

Ruki says

Unemployment wasn't hovering over 8%, the economy roared during most of Bush's term.

That's like saying the Titanic was going full speed ahead until it hit an iceberg.

Ruki says

Who is this Shrek, dude?

Shrek is short for Shrekgrinch. Remember back when you were calling yourself MarsAttacks!, perhaps this will help refresh your memory...

Ruki says

...Shrekgrinch was the one who got me to start reading Patrick.net.

Obama up again from previous avg
RCP Average 8/23 - 9/10 -- -- 49.0 45.7 Obama +3.3

RCP Average 8/22 - 9/9 -- -- 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9

Ruki says

Who is this Shrek, dude?

What's the matter, don't you have a mirror?

President Obama Job Approval

Latest Election Polls

Poll: More Trust Obama than Romney on Jobs

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/poll-more-trust-obama-romney-jobs_652176.html

Slightly more Americans trust Barack Obama than Mitt Romney on the issue of job creation, a new poll from Rasmussen shows. Forty-seven percent of those polled said they trust Obama more on job creation, compared to 45 percent who say they trust Romney more.

That can't be comforting news to the Romney campaign, which has made job creation and Obama's bad record on the economy the central focus of the Massachusetts Republican's run for the White House. Consider a recent Romney advertisement airing in Florida, a critical swing-state. The ad hammers President Obama for Florida's 8.6 percent unemployment and reminds viewers that foreclosures in the Sunshine State are at record highs.

CNN ORC Poll 9/11

Among Obama supporters what motivates vote.
For Obama 74%
Against Romney 23%

Among Romney supporter what motivates vote.
For Romney 48%
Against Obama 47%

Don't reelect an American failure, don't repeat the same mistake.

"History repeats itself, first as tradegy, second as FARCE" Karl Marx (emphasis added).

Honest Abe.

Dear Politifact,

Quit posting facts. They don't fit the conservative talking points.

Thank you

WP/ABC Poll Sept 2012

Who would you like over for dinner?

Obama 53%
Romney 33%

Ruki says

the economy roared during most of Bush's term

This "roaring" was all fake - people were taking money out of their homes on that so called bubble equity and were spending it at shopping malls, vacations and various consumer goods. We all saw what happened in the end.

obama in the lead? I better go buy a hammer and sickle before the government steals whats left of my money, then get ready to lower my standard of living to the party approved level.

Big Brother Is Watching.

Honest Abe says

obama in the lead? I better go buy a hammer and sickle before the government steals whats left of my money, then get ready to lower my standard of living to the party approved level.

Big Brother Is Watching.

No, the Koch brothers are watching!

Weeks Before Election Day, Early Voting Kicks Off

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/wireStory/weeks-election-day-early-voting-kicks-off-17146024#.UE_GBZT4-6M

Idaho and South Dakota can begin early voting on Sept. 21, followed later in the month by Vermont, Iowa and Wyoming. Contested states such as Ohio begin early voting Oct. 2 and Florida on Oct. 27. Most states also allow voting by absentee ballot, provided voters offer an excuse, and those ballots become available beginning this month.

Seems as though the earliest voting begins Sept 21

10 days

Rasmussen has Florida for Obama by a slim margin.

Obama with a 3.1pt avg lead

Fox Poll has Obama +5
CNN has Obama +6
Rasmussen has Romney +2