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thinking of starting to look for a house (possibly to buy by end of 2011)


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2011 Apr 27, 9:37am   11,823 views  50 comments

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I live in South Bay of San Francisco Bay Area. Managed to stay away from the bubble so far. Now, thinking of seriously start looking, with an idea of buying toward the end of 2011 or start of 2012.

I want to ask what kind of 'home work' I have to do when starting to look at homes seriously

1) I have been reading this site for a while, so I have a fairly good idea of what is going on

2) have a decent downpayment saved up.. ding...ding

3) I mostly use REDFIN for searching. Is there any other websites I can use?

4) how about membership sites like PropertyShark ..etc? Are they worth the subscription?

5) any special advice on REOs / short-sales / fore-closures ..etc?

Basically asking the community on things I should work-on to get ready

thanks very much for your suggestions

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12   cloud13   2011 Apr 28, 3:31am  

Don't buy in Evergreen, It's only served by one freeway exit on 680 (Capitol )and one freeway exit on 101 (Tully)

Such a large area and only 2 exits to get in and get out. You would be spending 45 mis every day to getout just on the exit and 45 mins just to get in and that too just on the exit. If you don't believe me you can drive by 680 or 101 and see a long line packed for Evergreen exit.

13   thomas.wong1986   2011 Apr 28, 3:42am  

Finnian says

As soon as I told one agent I didn’t want to make an offer if there was a second bidder, that bidder mysteriously disappeared and I heard about how they mis-heard the information and there wasn’t anyone else.

LOL! so typical of this corrupt industry.

14   vain   2011 Apr 28, 3:43am  

cloud13 says

Don’t buy in Evergreen, It’s only served by one freeway exit on 680 (Capitol )and one freeway exit on 101 (Tully)
Such a large area and only 2 exits to get in and get out. You would be spending 45 mis every day to getout just on the exit and 45 mins just to get in and that too just on the exit. If you don’t believe me you can drive by 680 or 101 and see a long line packed for Evergreen exit.

The exit at Tully is hell. It's gridlock traffic for about 20 minutes at 2:30pmish-3:00pmish. The Capitol exit on 680 is not much better than Tully. Tully used to be acceptable until they decided to redo the exit. The panhandlers at the exit get tons of money.

15   toothfairy   2011 Apr 28, 3:46am  

from what Ive seen lately lowballing will only work with properties that have been on the market for a long time which means A) its overpriced or B) theres something wrong with it.

so I wouldnt say lowballing is the way the go. The best deals are usually sold right out of the gate because theyre priced right from the start.

16   permanent_marker   2011 Apr 28, 4:03am  

guys,
thanks for great replies.

how about on financial front? I have a decent downpayment and good (780+) credit scores. I haven't talked to a bank / mortgage-broker about a loan. When would be a good time to start loan-talks?

wondering if I should do a FHA loan (3.5% down) or another loan (20% down). any thoughts / experiences?

17   RG   2011 Apr 28, 4:15am  

The guys knocking evergreen must be rich. It's all trade offs. I have a 3 year old and want a good school district.

Where would you go with the following restrictions:
1. $500K limit
2. Good schools (900+ API)
2. 30 minutes of Santa Clara (where most of the jobs are and where I currently work)
3. SFH (no condos or townhomes or anything with an HOA)

?

There really aren't any choices just Cambrian and Evergreen. Cambrian is MUCH more than evergreen which means all you can get for 500K is crap 50 year old houses or slightly less crappy condos....

The bay area is still crazy unfordable for single income families. I have 350+K in the bank (mostly retirement) & make six figures, but I can't afford any "good" homes.

permanent_marker what are your requirements? What price range what level of school, etc... If you have too many (like I do) its going to make things very difficult.

18   RG   2011 Apr 28, 4:17am  

permanent_marker > avoid brokers. Stick to credit unions ;) That's my take.

I've found star one to be pretty good. Or if you have access the navy federal credit union:

https://www.starone.org/
https://www.navyfederal.org/

19   Finnian   2011 Apr 28, 5:25am  

I went through Star One last year when I made an offer, they can do an online approval in a matter of minutes and multiple agents have wanted me to have that printed out when they submit an offer because so many escrows fall through on funding these days. They were kind of a pain with the amount of info they wanted, but I don't know that it was that much more than what Wells Fargo might want to hand out a mortgage.

When you put in an offer on a house you may want it to include a printout of your bank account to prove you have a downpayment, proof of your salary, and proof of pre-approval or approval of a mortgage lender. Kind of crazy, but it may help a lowball offer if they are certain it's going to go through.

20   wgrenter   2011 Apr 28, 5:33am  

RG I live in the Cambrian area and love it. I am not rich but would echo the sentiments about Evergreen. Our babysitter lives close to that area and the traffic situation is a nightmare. Plus I feel like you have to drive through a lot of kind of sketchy areas to get to the nice parts.

But what is the rush to buy? Why don't you rent in a good school district and wait...prices are only going lower from here in the near term and will probably be virtually flat for several more years. Our plan is to wait and see and possibly approach our landlord about buying the place we are renting in a few years.

21   bubblesitter   2011 Apr 28, 5:35am  

toothfairy says

priced right from the start.

LOL.

22   bubblesitter   2011 Apr 28, 5:37am  

RG says

permanent_marker > avoid brokers. Stick to credit unions ;) That’s my take.
I’ve found star one to be pretty good. Or if you have access the navy federal credit union:
https://www.starone.org/

https://www.navyfederal.org/

+ pentagon federal credit union. Very good rates most the time + no closing if really close on a specific property.

23   RG   2011 Apr 28, 6:04am  

In my case it's because I'm tired of the uncertainty of renting. Landlords raise the rent and you have to move. If I can lock in my rent for the next 10+ years, I'll be ahead both financially and mentally ( yes, I'm stressed about rent increases). I've worked in the bay area for 12+ years and doubt I'll ever move anywhere else. If I can find a place I like in my price range, then I'll jump on it. I'm not really super worried about prices dropping. From a money standpoint all I care about is if I can afford the place with a decent cash flow cushion.

wgrenter, you may not be rich, but you don't own your place either ;). And of course the term "rich" is relative. Most of my friends from the east coast think I'm rich because I have >$250K in the bank. A thirty something with wife and child and one (good) income can't afford a home in any nice areas here... It's pretty ridiculous.

But I'm not really in a rush. I've been looking on and off since my son was born in 2008. Just now is the time to look because we want to start our son off in pre-school. I don't want to have to move him every year because the pre-school is too far from our latest rental. Having kids puts time pressures on everything.

24   FunTime   2011 Apr 28, 6:21am  

RG says

If I can lock in my rent for the next 10+ years, I’ll be ahead both financially and mentally ( yes, I’m stressed about rent increases).

Are you saying by buying a house you're locking in rent? I keep thinking that's exactly the reason to keep renting, but I've had almost no rent increases in over eleven years of living in San Francisco.

Otherwise, it seems like buying represents a much higher incidence of variable costs. If I buy, it will be because I've found exactly the area, place in which I want to live. Hopefully if a place shows up, I'll also have the money. I'm saving away in the meantime.

25   closed   2011 Apr 28, 6:26am  

FunTime says

RG says

If I can lock in my rent for the next 10+ years, I’ll be ahead both financially and mentally ( yes, I’m stressed about rent increases).

Are you saying by buying a house you’re locking in rent? I keep thinking that’s exactly the reason to keep renting, but I’ve had almost no rent increases in over eleven years of living in San Francisco.
Otherwise, it seems like buying represents a much higher incidence of variable costs. If I buy, it will be because I’ve found exactly the area, place in which I want to live. Hopefully if a place shows up, I’ll also have the money. I’m saving away in the meantime.

My landlord raises my rent 3% every year here in Oakland.

26   RG   2011 Apr 28, 6:33am  

well, my rent has gone from $550 to $2100 in 12 years. So, yes, I'd say buying a house does lock in the rates. I take into account many variables to make a decision to buy. This is just one. Schools are also a big one. All the good regions have very high rental rates too.

The argument most people make for NOT buying is the same one I'm using FOR buying. The ability to move . I don't want to move ;). I want to stay in one place. Renting inevitably mean I will move. I've never lived anywhere for more than 2 years. The landlords always push me out with rent increases or the bigger case.... I got married and had a kid. Living with 4 roomates in 1200 sq ft AND a wife and child just doesn't work.

To top it off the rental increases will mean I have to move and may not keep my child in the same school. That sucks. I'd rather buy what I can afford now in a reasonable school district and have my kid grow up with the same people then move my family every 2 years...

27   RG   2011 Apr 28, 6:43am  

Otherwise, it seems like buying represents a much higher incidence of variable costs

This can be true of maintenance and property tax. Both are unknowns. On the maintenance side, you can usually defer it, property tax not so much. If prices do go sideways, then property tax should remain constant. But prop 13 puts a max on how much they can go up in any one year. I've had 15% hikes in year when renting. That won't happen with property tax (except for some corner cases). The maintenance is the real unknown. Till I find a place and look at it I won't know but I have 1% per year in my spreadsheets. That will probably cover everything.

28   FunTime   2011 Apr 28, 6:51am  

Your rent's gone up that much in the same place?! My rent's gone up that much, but because I've gone from renting an in-law studio to renting a 3/2 SFH.

I'm actually working on the idea of never moving from my rental. I agree, it's hard to plan on that, but it seems like it's hard to plan on that in an owned home too. My friends who own have moved as much or more than me, but that's also been in the crazy real estate market of the last ten years and probably also connected to our time of life. My wife's not buying my first suggestion that we can eventually have two kids upstairs and live in the downstairs sorta in-law as a master bedroom. ; ) I'm going to keep selling it though.

29   FunTime   2011 Apr 28, 6:54am  

Landru3000 says

My landlord raises my rent 3% every year here in Oakland.

I've had exactly three rent increases in eleven years. One at my first place and two at my second place. They were all at the prescribed San Francisco increase amount, or whatever it's called, meaning they were all less than 2%. I never even blinked at them as they represented a couple hundred dollars a year, I was living alone, and I was experiencing salary and bonus increases of many times that amount.

I got a little lucky and moved during opportune times with the exception of moving to San Francisco in 1999, which was expressly not opportune. I lived simply.

30   FunTime   2011 Apr 28, 6:59am  

RG says

This can be true of maintenance and property tax. Both are unknowns.

Yeah, your description is exactly why this has always seemed way more complicated than renting. I've had a pretty simple renting situation, as I've described. I definitely see it as more mental stress than my renting experience, though.

That said, I can see it being worth the extra mental stress. I've just not put the reason together yet.

31   RG   2011 Apr 28, 7:17am  

Another thing to think about. Rent increases are just increased burdens on you with no benefit. Maintenance may be an unknown variable, but at least you are getting something for it. Plus you can improve the place anyway you want. Get as much off the grid as you want. Make it nicer, whatever. If you manage to make it the 30 years your costs will drop not so with renting ;). I'm quite certain that rent will always go up, but a mortgage will end some day. It's hard to do a true ROI on these things. But I'm sure I'll feel better at dropping an unexpected extra $2000 on house maintenance than I do about the same going to a rent increase...

32   FunTime   2011 Apr 28, 8:02am  

RG says

If you manage to make it the 30 years your costs will drop not so with renting ;).

It just seems to me with a house it never ends and unpredictably and with renting it never ends but predictably. Going 30 years in a house seems to bring up a lot of expenses. I've never seen a full itemized chart of expenses to expect over thirty years of owning a home. There's a post from someone who just bought a place and did a lot of additional work before moving in that would serve as a start. Many tens of thousands of dollars on a place that cost around $250k.

Again, I've not had $2000 in cumulative rent increases in over eleven years of renting, so maybe I'm an exceptional case. I'm about to hit four years of renting the SFH with no rent increases. That said, I did rent at a time when I think rents were relatively high in San Francisco the summer of 2007.

33   RG   2011 Apr 28, 8:25am  

Assuming you do maintain your home and budget for it, I'm pretty sure your costs will be much lower owning than renting in 30 years. It's all a gamble.

The one issue is the first 30 years. In the bay areas, it seems likely that renting will be a better ROI for those years. I should probably keep renting...

34   Finnian   2011 Apr 28, 9:27am  

All these discussions seem to go 30 years but never look out through the time when you have no mortgage and are only paying property tax and upkeep on the house. While I'm not in a rush, I:

1. Want to own my place outright, be beholden to no one, and only have my expenses as property tax and maintenance. I could do this in 7 years buying a cheapo in Palmdale. Means I can't buy into a condo or HoA.

2. Want some privacy and the ability to be as loud as I want. Can't exactly set up a booming surround sound home theater in a temporary apartment with people next to and below me.

3. Hardly want to decorate with things I enjoy looking at when I know I will move within a year or two.

If I were still in the bay area I'd be looking at 400K+ houses and I don't think I could do it and would still be renting. Buying in cheap enough and only paying a couple hundred bucks a month more than my current rent while living in an acceptable sized house seems like a good trade-off, mostly averaging out costs with the period I'll be living in it without paying a mortgage compared to paying rent during those years.

35   FunTime   2011 Apr 28, 8:15pm  

Finnian says

Want some privacy and the ability to be as loud as I want. Can’t exactly set up a booming surround sound home theater in a temporary apartment with people next to and below me.

It takes a pretty expensive rental, but I do have just what you describe. Pretty booming. In big rental markets, like San Francisco, people paint and alter their rentals all the time with the permission of the landlords. If a landlord thinks your alteration is potentially valuable, great! As long as they don't think you're ruining the place, they tend to go along with a renter that has given them no problems.

36   anonymous   2011 Apr 28, 9:13pm  

Finnian says

All these discussions seem to go 30 years but never look out through the time when you have no mortgage and are only paying property tax and upkeep on the house.

Perhaps because so very few people stay in the same house for 30 years.

37   AshevilleNCRealtor   2011 Apr 29, 5:54am  

I've been a realtor off and on (now on) in several states (now North Carolina) and while I know there are realtors who may not be skilled in their field, the same goes for other fields. Find someone you think you can trust, who you like working with, and stick with her/him. As far as lowballing, if you want a certain school district, it must be a DESIRABLE area to you for whatever reason, and probably others think so too, so why would lowballing work here? Just because you think the price isn't worth it? I was around when housing prices started going through the roof (back in the late 70s in CA) and it has NEVER gone back to those days. If an area is desirable for whatever reason, it will command higher prices wherever it is. Better yet, take your business and move to another state where prices are lower, get your employees to move too, add to THAT economy and find your dream life. California is everybody's dream for a reason (at least NorCal) it's beautiful! I used to live there in Marin, but found another place for alot less - Asheville NC - smaller, but has soul, funk and friendliness -- and real estate costs a whole lot less...

38   thomas.wong1986   2011 Apr 29, 6:05am  

AshevilleNCRealtor says

and it has NEVER gone back to those days

39   klarek   2011 Apr 29, 7:46am  

AshevilleNCRealtor says

If an area is desirable for whatever reason, it will command higher prices wherever it is.

If the fundamentals for an area do not change, then the prices remain the same. Free advice, no commission charge.

thomas.wong1986 says

AshevilleNCRealtor says

and it has NEVER gone back to those days

Pretty hard to find a proud realtor who knows what they're talking about.

40   Katy Perry   2011 Apr 29, 8:38am  

renter (me)
borrower (have a mortgage like my parents) if the bank owns your house you're not an owner.
owner (owns the house, holds the deed like my grandmother)

Folks stop messing with my English language. if you want to borrow money go ahead but stop pretending you own anything. that's why you go to work BTW. The Bank really owns your labor and the house till you pay off the loan.

you're a debt slave remember this,....and you like it that way ;-)

41   RG   2011 Apr 29, 9:34am  

I've checked... At least in California you get the same "grant deed" if you buy with your own money or borrowed money. So, even by your own definition one would "own" the home even with a mortgage. Sure, you rented the money to buy the home, but the bank doesn't own it. The person who has the deed owns it. They (the bank) just have a lien against the house. And guess what, even if you pay with cash from your own bank account someone can put a lien on your house say good bye to owning!

42   Katy Perry   2011 Apr 30, 1:21am  

RG says

I’ve checked… At least in California you get the same “grant deed” if you buy with your own money or borrowed money. So, even by your own definition one would “own” the home even with a mortgage. Sure, you rented the money to buy the home, but the bank doesn’t own it. The person who has the deed owns it. They (the bank) just have a lien against the house. And guess what, even if you pay with cash from your own bank account someone can put a lien on your house say good bye to owning!

I'm really not sure of the mechanics of the paperwork. but I do know when I "borrow" the money for a Car,... I don't actually hold the piece of paper that says I own The Car till I pay it off.
4-5 years later you get the "pink slip" in the mail from the bank.

This can't be any different for a house, Can it? really doubt anyone here knows anyways. I'll ask my grandmother (like she really knows)

I think the only thing you have until payoff is liability IMO.

A mortgage is a contract to make payments,( You have to work for those payments, right?) for a set amount of years, at a price and rate that can almost double the cost of the house from the original starting price . This IMO is not ownership folks. it's Debt Slavery.

43   cloud13   2011 Apr 30, 4:44am  

Marker don't go with your credit union. I used TechCU and then i used a broker, the broker saved me 50K over a period of 30 years.

Genral rule....Shop from multiple places at the same time.

Also my strong advise DONOT BUY IN EVERGREEN, I used to live around that area in Beryessa, So I've seen people suffering in those freeway exits serving Everygreen

44   B.A.C.A.H.   2011 Apr 30, 6:55am  

Marker,

Since you ask those questions it sounds like you are not one of the wealthy people who can buy their way in here regardless of the prices. Or maybe you have an Alternative Personal Lifestyle that is more tolerated in the liberal places on the Left Coast (like the Bay Area)

That being said, if you're not either one of "them" categories and if you don't already have roots here, I don't recommend "settling down here". The weather is nice and so are the recreation opportunities. Not much else going for it (unless of course, the Alternative Lifestyle). If you think you wanna establish "roots" here well most likely your kids will leave for somewhere else with more rational cost of living, so much for the "roots".

45   rob918   2011 Apr 30, 9:58am  

Katy Perry says

I’m really not sure of the mechanics of the paperwork. but I do know when I “borrow” the money for a Car,… I don’t actually hold the piece of paper that says I own The Car till I pay it off.
4-5 years later you get the “pink slip” in the mail from the bank.
This can’t be any different for a house, Can it? really doubt anyone here knows anyways. I’ll ask my grandmother (like she really knows)
I think the only thing you have until payoff is liability IMO.
A mortgage is a contract to make payments,( You have to work for those payments, right?) for a set amount of years, at a price and rate that can almost double the cost of the house from the original starting price . This IMO is not ownership folks. it’s Debt Slavery.

I hold the note on a few of my paid in full homes here in L.A. County, although on the official one page piece of paper it’s titled “Substitution of Trustee and Full Reconveyance” and was mailed to me by the County of Los Angeles after recording. After the final payoff, the mortgage company in Santa Rosa, Sonoma County has it notorized there and then they send it to L.A. County for recording at the Recorders Office. This has been asked and answered back on January 27th http://patrick.net/?p=613216

Katy Perry

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Thu, 27 Jan 2011 at 11:05 am Link Top Bottom Quote Email Flag

is there one man on this site that actually 100percent owns there own home? anyone here holding the note for your own home?

46   sjguy4u   2011 May 1, 9:01am  

Marker: Redfin displays school scores on the map. You can determine for yourself what kind of schools you are interested in. I live in Cambrian area bordering Los Gatos under Union School district. Union school district area is better than Cambrian/Willow Glen area as far as scores are concerned. Noddin, Alta Vista has 10 API, Union middle and Leigh high have 9 API rating.

Regarding Evergreen, I agree, the schools are good but traffic will stress you out. If you are looking for 10 API schools, you will have to pay more than 500 K, I guess.

47   newbie   2011 May 1, 9:24am  

RG,

You will not find a SFH (no matter how crappy it is) for less than $500 K with 900 + API. In fact, you may get for around 550 K on a busy road or near high tension power lines.

I have been looking for ages. :)

48   FuckTheMainstreamMedia   2011 May 1, 12:29pm  

Why do people keep perpetuating the lie that rents never decrease?

49   B.A.C.A.H.   2011 May 1, 3:44pm  

dodgerfanjohn says

Why do people keep perpetuating the lie

Welcome to the Cool and Hip Bay Area.

50   Michinaga   2011 May 1, 4:47pm  

is there one man on this site that actually 100percent owns there own home? anyone here holding the note for your own home?

I own mine free and clear. It never had a mortgage because in Tokyo, where I live, it's virtually impossible for immigrants to get home loans thanks to the fact that home loans are "recourse" and thus the borrower could abandon a high-LTV property whose price has collapsed by moving abroad.

I paid $140k, about three years' salary, for it during my eleventh year as a working adult. Best decision I ever made -- saves me a ton of money; I can rent it out for income in the future; neighbors are much more solicitous of a fellow owner than a transient renter. Wouldn't have it any other way.

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