patrick.net

TOS: I genuinely believe that Americans are in debt up to their eyeballs because they can't understand the math. If it were up to me, frugality would be taught in every school. Students would be taught to value knowledge and happiness over possessions.

TOS

Even smart people who can understand math quite well get inflation wrong. Practical economics should be taught in every US high school. In fact, I think they should bring back home economics in the strictest sense of the word. HomEc always had a shade of budgeting, checkbook balancing and such in it, but it was overshadowed by cooking, cleaning and baby raising (not that those things aren't important).

I'd foresee an entire, mandatory class dedicated to the following rough curriculum:

* Basics: how to balance your checkbook, etc.

* Modern basics: how to balance your checkbook using online banking, etc.

* Credit cards: how they work; how they can bite you; how they can help you.

* Credit scores: what they are; why you care; how to build and maintain one.

* Debt: how much does debt cost you; when and how to pay it off.

* Budgeting: running your life and a household; figuring out how to plan through various scenarios like buying a new home, having a baby, losing a job.
- *Inflation* introduced naturally here, not as theory, but how much you have to plan now to pay for things later.

* Insurance: how it works; how much minimum should you buy.

* Scams: how to spot, smell, and avoid financial scams.

* Advanced Topics (only to be taught if time, and to those requiring extra challenges):
- Buying a home: how, when, why.
- Investing for retirement: how, when (always now), why.
- Non-retirement investing: saving for kids college, other stuff.

NOTE:

I would _not_ allow nerds, eggheads, and AP track overachievers to "test out" or skip this course. A big part of the problem is *smart* people who make *dumb* personal financial decisions.

Actually, that’s because poor people tend to binge on cheap foods filled with carbohydrates, fat and corn syrup. Cheap food in the U.S. is nothing more than starch and sugar with some flavoring. It’s amazing that you can have a 200 lb. fourteen year old who suffers from malnutrition, but that happens very often.

The NYTimes has a great piece on this problem today.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/22/magazine/22wwlnlede.t.html?ei=5070&em=&en=aff0b2f4c26eec6c&ex=1177387200&pagewanted=all

Basically, poor people are fat because of the way your tax dollars are spent. Woot!

If you want to drive an RV across the country; I don’t get it personally but I don’t judge either, then rent one, but for God sakes don’t buy one and park it on the street. I had a neighbor across the street from me in a previous house that did that and it was literally all you could see out the front window.

Aren't there laws here that no vehicle can be parked on the street for more than 48 hours without moving or something?

Of course, that's how NeighborWars(TM) start.

Corn syrup is one of the worst modern inventions. The same with processed soy and bleached wheat. It's just empty calories. No vitamins, no beneficial acids, no nothing. In the name of supporting farmers, we have turned the lower class into a blubbery hunk of voluntary foie gras.

But if that author thinks the U.S. is going to overturn any part of the farm bill, he is grossly optimistic. The lobby of companies like Coke and Procter & Gamble is massively more powerful than a bunch of "hippies" who want cheap fresh produce.

TOS,

No, I wish!

Oh wait, I don't wish!

:)

Very humbly yours,

astrid

Brand says:

"we have turned the lower class into a blubbery hunk of voluntary foie gras."

You've seen through Peter P's diabolical scheme! Be careful and don't fly on small planes.

Hurry and buy this one now, its value is going to go up tomorrow april 23rd!

Man this could really be a fun topic, but I'm not seeing a consensus on what a poor person in this country is. Could it be that rather than polarizing, it is in fact the middle class which is growing to encompass different levels of wealth? I know in my life I don't see everyone else's lifestyle but I don't really see a clear have and have not barrier dividing two specific groups. I see the very bottom of society (homeless kids, drug addicts, single parents) as being a very small group of have nots. Then I see pretty much a pareto distribution of different levels of wealth, and faux wealth.

I think the comments from some of our midwest friends are telling. It is really hard to call a millionaire struggling to pay the bills in Laguna, CA poor when there is a poor family in the mountains in N Carolina who have nothing but have a higher net worth than the CA guy.

I recently helped a charity build a house for a homeless family outside of Tijuana, Mexico. Even that shanty town had satelite dishes on many structures. They had water trucks driving around filling individual home water tubs, but you saw people walking around with cell phones. If it had been a town with sanitation on a beach one could almost relish the simplicity of the lifestyle.

TOS

I think you'll find that most people refinance "incorrectly" for the purposes of your theory. Most people refinance at the mercy of their broker/bank. They say "lower my payment". The broker/bank does this to the debtor's expectations by reamortizing their loan. Every single elder member of my family at some point in the past 20 years has refinanced at least once only to push out their payments/reduce their equity.

Sorry. You're not going to be able to back into rational behavior with your house-inflation-hedging theory.

Houses are good hedges of inflation, historically -- if by "historically" you mean the period 1960s to present. Historically meaning historically, housing is not a particularly spectacular hedge of inflation.

Great quote just on some CNBC infomercial. It's not a buyers' market, it's not a sellers' market, now it's an in between market. Now is the time to buy (big applause). OMG!

- perhaps CREDIT is actually the root of all evil because it allows people to trade their futures in order to have stuff today, which in the case of real estate is artificially inflating prices where most of the gain is actually going to the credit companies.

FWIW, there are places where you can't get credit: muslim countries.

Because Islam forbids interesting payments - both on the paying and receiving side, they don't really lend money in a few of the muslim countries. Needless to say, starting a business or buying a house is pretty darn hard without it. They've come up with some interesting solutions to sidestep this though...

My observations on probable causes of mess we are in today

joint filing tax enacted in 1948--to try and keep single wage earners working while putting mom,who had left home during the war effort, back in the home to be a homemaker.

The government I believe liked the idea of a "Leave it to Beaver" household in those days, only 59 years ago with Dad going to work paying taxes and Mom staying inside the home raising the kids while cleaning and cooking waiting patiently for pop to come home. Honey I'm Home !!

If mom went out and took a 30k yr job 50% of what she made went to taxes,soc.sec,and medicaid.
another 5k went to day care , transportation ,clothes to work in, drycleaning , outside meals etc. resulting in mom busting her arse for only a 2k bottem line annual additional income for the home.
Would the family benefit if mom stayed home while Dad either got a raise or an additional job for 2k a year ?

WTF happened to where we are now with over 80% of moms with children at home working outside the home ?
Are today's Dad's the problem not providing the bacon nor spiritual back bone to keep mom home satisfied to where she can be content raising the children while cooking and cleaning ?

I don't know I am asking a question .

American Express and Bankamericard (visa) are only 59 years old and that I believe is when buying things, other than gas, you couldn't afford started.

Television was only in 1 million homes in 1948 do you think that most things people want is where they happened to see them ? think commercials

1-women leaving the home to work
2-television as an advertising medium
3-credit cards to buy what you can't afford today(life takes visa)

what about the kids of parents from that era ?
I will call them FK's

Be careful and don’t fly on small planes.

Astrid, what is wrong with small planes?

WTF happened to where we are now with over 80% of moms with children at home working outside the home ?
Are today’s Dad’s the problem not providing the bacon nor spiritual back bone to keep mom home satisfied to where she can be content raising the children while cooking and cleaning ?

Actually it's pretty easy to answer - this is a classic Tipping Point problem. Like standing ovations, traffic, self segregation and etc, it's all a matter of critical mass.

Actually I am reading a few books on 1920-40s to get some investment ideas when the hard time hits. What I found out was, 1920s was an era with abundant credit advances. You'd see newspaper ads for buying sewing machines, ovens, radios, etc. at a certain monthly payment. The "only $9.99 a month" slogan had been popular since back then. Although there was no credit card, and no FICO scores, credit was readily available for all sorts of consumption items, including mail-order houses.

The rest was history.

Malcolm Says:
[re: solar electric panels]
Very expesnsive, but I bit the bullet, and I think it was a good decision.

Malcolm, congratulations. I am researching the same myself for my home, and would appreciate any details you could share about your experience and contacts.

BTW, my employer is putting up solar panels over one of the parking lots. I got some info from that project, but it is on a huge scale and isn't quite applicable to a 3KW home-installation.

Since this is way off-topic, we can discuss off-line (unless others are interested as well).

SP

Since this is way off-topic, we can discuss off-line (unless others are interested as well).

Is there such a concept as "way off-topic" here?

SP,

actually I am interested in sharing the solar panel info as well.

My understanding is, you cannot store the excess on site (understandably for safety reason). So the current solution is to hook up to the grid and sell the excess to PG&E, get net supply from PG&E at night to negate out the credit you accumulate during the day.

The big downside is, when PG&E is down, although you have solar panels installed at your own home, you are shut down as well. Anyone who knows otherwise please comment.

skellington Says:
This is a fun topic, just thought I’d try to add some information without intentionally representing a specific political ideology.
[rest of post deleted for brevity]

I think Mr. Skellington's ("May I call you Jack?") most excellent post should be required reading for every American, to be read daily until they can demonstrate that they understood it. :-)

SP

eburbed Says:
FWIW, there are places where you can’t get credit: muslim countries. Because Islam forbids interesting payments - both on the paying and receiving side, they don’t really lend money in a few of the muslim countries.

In fundamental theory, both usury and trading in financial risk are verboten in Islam because they are equated with exploitation and gambling respectively. However, having lived for a short time in a couple of islamic nations, I can assure you that even under the sharia, credit is abundantly available in "other" forms.

The most common pattern is that if a product costs $100, the seller agrees to sell it to the buyer for a 'profit' of $20, with the buyer paying back in 12 installments of $10 each. This is effectively the same as paying $20 in interest. There are many variations of this basic theme, where the $20 is either treated as 'profit' to the lender, or a 'gift' from the borrower - thereby skirting the koranic prohibition of riba i.e. interest. I actually used to get hibbah or a 'gift' from the bank where I kept my money.

The other interesting thing was that my friends who earned thousands of USD in interest from their accounts in foreign banks, used to make a biennial trip to their local maulvi (priest), who would instruct them what percentage of this unislamic earnings they should donate as zakkahto the poor in order to absolve themselves of guilt.

(Not any kind of advice, and my apologies if I have oversimplified or misrepresented some of these concepts.)

SP

Overall even the poorest in our country live in safety, with clean water, and the most abundant food supply in history.

This is false. The poorest certainly do not live in safety, they live in the most dangerous neighborhoods. The actual murder rates in poor neighborhoods are very high, approaching Baghdad levels.

The food supply statement is false as well. There are certainly many Americans going to bed hungry tonight. I know I often did not get enough to eat growing up, especially during the years that my Mom was single. Things have not changed much since then, they have actually gotten worse.

I will grant you the water part though.

Nothing new for Patricker's, but good to see coverage of this in the MSM.
(found at Ben's)
SP

http://www.dailybulletin.com/search/ci_5725309
Calculation flaw may hide market decline
Why is it that the market can feel like it's dropping - with homes for sale for longer stretches and the number of sold homes down significantly - yet published prices either remain the same or continue climbing?

At least one veteran observer says it might be a fatal flaw in the way we measure housing prices.

More MSM coverage of the bust.
SP

This time from SFGate.Com
http://tinyurl.com/32kwh2
Why we shouldn't be bailing out subprime lenders or borrowers
Dumb: Buying a house you can't afford with no down payment and a loan whose monthly payments will explode in a few years.

Dumbest: Bailing out dumb and dumber, especially with taxpayer money.

Someone wrote:

> The poorer kids are fatter than the richer
> kids in this country.

Then Brand Says:

> Actually, that’s because poor people tend to binge
> on cheap foods filled with carbohydrates, fat and
> corn syrup.

The main reason that “poorer kids are fatter” is that poorer "parents" are fatter. If a rich fit trial attorney marries a tall thin ex model their kids will never get as fat as the kids of a poor fat truck driver who marries big fat chubbo (even if the rich kids eat twice as much junk food)…

Do you wonder why many programmers are fat?

Hey, I resemble that remark. (Altogether too closely, in fact.) :(

Very few genetic makeups can weather a continual barrage of Twinkies without ill effects. And since the effects take place about reproduction has already occurred, I fear humanity will not adapt properly...not that it matters, I think we'll be doomed/saved/changed a lot sooner than that.

I'm lucky that I find all don't like soda and find Hostess products to be absolutely disgusting. But can't resist the siren calls of fresh bread dipped in olive oil...

Brand,

Corn syrup is also the result of a ridiculous market distortion. It is only used in the US by the large food manufacturers because of the artificially high price of US sugar.

Wow, I'm incredibly incoherent this morning

SP, you can email any solar questions to me at Malcolm.Shaw@cox.net. My system is a 4.5KW system comprised of 27 Kyocera panels.

Jimbo, overall our crime rate is very low. You are referring to the worst of the worst neighborhoods, and calculating gang targeted murders to the general population. People that mind their business even in the worst areas are relatively safe in this country. It is nothing like Iraq. There are no roving gangs stopping buses and killing people, you have areas which drug infestations with high crime, and even factored in the stats for violent crimes are down to less than 5 per thousand. The city of Tijuana Mexico had over 300 murders last year. That's an unsafe city, picking out the projects of Compton to try to draw a parallel is intellectually dishonest.

Also, to just say something is false doesn't make it so. It is an absolutely undisputable fact that the food supply in this country is higher than it has ever been. There is absolutely no shortage of low cost food in this country. How many cases can you cite of someone in this country actually starving to death?

with drug infestation and high crime....

sorry, changed my thought midstream.

Jimbo, to be clear we are talking about current times. I don't mean to discount your prior hardships. The past 10 years have seen changes, and the 25 years before that would have been different. You can see Robert Kennedy walking around Louisiana in film from the 60s. Those people literally were starving.

Jimbo Says:
Overall even the poorest in our country live in safety, with clean water, and the most abundant food supply in history.

This is false. The poorest certainly do not live in safety, they live in the most dangerous neighborhoods. The actual murder rates in poor neighborhoods are very high, approaching Baghdad levels.

People in poor areas are disproportinately the victims of criminals who live there, in crimes against the person and property.

Malcolm - don't kid yourself, its worse now that it was 10 years ago. I've just found the article that bruceb paraphrased above, and it doesn't give a rosy picture.

link: http://tinyurl.com/2dyor9

There are further links at the bottom of the article.

Muggy Says:

> I have a new thread suggestion…
> post ridiculous realtor quotes…

We had a great realtor quote in this thread from Big Brother:

“Any banker, consultant, lawyer, doctor with 10-15 years experience (i.e 30s to late 30’s) can purchase a 2-3 million dollar home. Think about how many of those guys there are…. and these are just the simple workers, not the Venture Capitalists, Internet millionaires etc… but the normal man.”

McKinsey and Bain must be paying a lot more than they did when many of my friends from Business school worked there and I be SF Woman’s husband’s firm is the only one in SF not paying guys with 10 years experience enough to buy a $2.5mm home and my friends must be the only MDs getting screwed by HMOs…

New thread Ridiculous Realtor Quotes

We had a great realtor quote in this thread from Big Brother:

“Any banker, consultant, lawyer, doctor with 10-15 years experience (i.e 30s to late 30’s) can purchase a 2-3 million dollar home. Think about how many of those guys there are…. and these are just the simple workers, not the Venture Capitalists, Internet millionaires etc… but the normal man.”

FAB, I can say with certainty that this is categorically false for lawyers and doctors. Unless this person was talking about using a crazy mortgage product. Who is this blowhard you read about?