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On Friday, President Trump published the main event— an astonishing National Security Strategy (NSS) that instantly became the weekend subject of massive media coverage, podcasts, YouTube videos, and social media chatter amongst all the geopolitical élites. For instance, the excellent independent analyst Alexander Mercuris described widespread “alarm, panic, and depression” across Europe thanks to Trump’s NSS.
I wrote about this remarkable document at more length yesterday, and I encourage you to read the whole thing. It’s about 30 pages long, but if you start, I bet you’ll have trouble stopping. I’ve never seen a government document quite like it. It’s easy-to-read, well-organized, uses engaging lay English, and includes a preamble personally penned by President Trump.
There’s much that could be said about the NSS and its incredibly encouraging and optimistic description of the national way forward, both in terms of foreign and domestic policy. The table of contents included an entry for each world region: Asia, South America, the Middle East, and so on.
But the viciously critical section about Europe stood apart.
Europe, it said, is suffering “economic decline,” “cratering birthrates,” self-destructive “migration policies,” “low self-esteem,” and faces “civilizational decline.” Astonishingly, the NSS questioned the very viability of America’s continuing alliance with Europe. “As such,” the NSS concluded, “it is far from obvious whether certain European countries will soon have economies and militaries strong enough to remain reliable allies.”
It was kind of like when your girlfriend remarks in front of your entire family at Thanksgiving dinner that she’s not sure whether this relationship is going anywhere. At minumum, it’s a red flag.
For this morning’s purposes, a single sentence from the NSS must have filled European leaders with terror and dread:
"It is a core interest of the United States to negotiate an expeditious cessation of hostilities in Ukraine, in order to stabilize European economies, prevent unintended escalation or expansion of the war, and reestablish strategic stability with Russia, as well as to enable the post-hostilities reconstruction of Ukraine to enable its survival as a viable state."
In other words, the whole world now knows that it is a core US and Ukrainian interest to end the war in Ukraine as fast as possible. That’s not good news for the Western Europeans, whose core interest is to extend the war as long as possible. By publicly confirming in writing that we need to end the war as quickly as possible, by merely saying so, it concedes cascades of notional leverage, which infuriated diplomats in Brussels who prefer to play a long game with Moscow.
Trust me, that was the least important comment in the NSS. (Like I said, read the whole thing.) But that “core interest” remark was critical for this particular moment in time. ...
In other words, Trump is escalating the geopolitical rhetoric, to match the meddling Europeans’ stubborn pushback. They are all playing chicken with President Trump, who is a master of the game. Don’t blink!
And has lots of details about how to deal with various parts of the world.