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Homebuilder Comments in June: “Someone turned out the lights on our sales in June!"


               
2022 Jul 11, 8:56am   260 views  2 comments

by Al_Sharpton_for_President   follow (6)  

Rising Cancellations, "Investor sales have stalled.";

Read these builder comments from around the country. Sales have declined sharply in June.

Some homebuilder comments courtesy of Rick Palacios Jr., Director of Research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting (a must follow for housing on twitter!):

June home builder sentiment and survey results are in. Top themes: 1) A lot more new home buyers cancelling. 2) Price cuts becoming fairly common. 3) Drop in demand finally cooling construction cost pressures (builder layoffs also happening). Market commentary to follow…

#Atlanta builder: “Someone turned out the lights on our sales in June!”

#Austin builder: “Sales have fallen off a cliff. We’re selling 1/3 of what we sold in March and April. Trades are more willing to negotiate pricing since market has adjusted significantly past 60 days.”

#Birmingham builder: “Sales have fallen 75% the last two months in a further out community.”

#Boise builder: “Sales have slowed tremendously. Builders are dropping prices and halting new starts. Seeing prices drop on labor due to slowing of home starts. Expecting 15% to 20% reduction in most costs.”

#Charlotte builder: “This recession is looking like and feeling like a big long five year depression.”

#ColoradoSprings builder: “Amazing how fast a market can change with such a rapid increase in rates. So many people were taken out of the market. Most builders will go to suppliers/trades and ask for rollbacks [on costs].”

#Dallas builder: “Framing labor has become readily available, suggesting housing starts slowdown is finally showing its typical signs. Haven’t raised prices in 3 months.”

#DesMoines builder: “Starting to see [construction] trades hold labor prices for us as they are fearful of a downturn.”

#FortMyers builder: “Investor sales have stalled.”

#GrandRapids builder: “Believe we’re on the edge of cost reductions. Making every effort to refuse further [cost] increases and pushing for decreases in all areas that have seen significant two year run up.”

#Greenville builder: “Traffic has slowed from red hot. Feels different for sure, but it’s more like a normal market.”

#Harrisburg builder: “Sales decreased to 50% of what they were 3 months ago. Traffic is down and we’re only moving spec homes after dropping prices. No one is buying to-be-built homes at this time.”

#Houston builder: “With the exception of concrete, [construction costs] appear to be stabilizing. Lumber is trailing downward, which is good because we’re going to need that reprieve for buying down mortgage rates to get buyers qualified.”

#Kennewick builder: “Sales have been very slow, and inventory is rising. Repricing our houses to try and find the new market.”

#Melbourne builder: “Our investor sales have stalled.”

#Nashville builder: “Scary times. Hoard cash and hang on for the ride! National builders are cutting staff and offering buyers incentives. Move-up buyers are now practically non-existent due to rising rates in comparison to their existing rate.”

#Phoenix builder: “Some builders are already cutting staff. Cancellations are extremely high. Dismal traffic and sales climate.”

#Reno builder: “With the market slowing, we’re expecting to see costs stabilizing and labor become more available.”

#RiversideSanBernardino builder: “We’ve reached the top in pricing.”

#SanDiego builder: “Fewer people in the market than before, but we are comparing against a market that defied any sense of normality.”

#StLouis builder: “Expecting to see opportunities for lower costs coming in the near future as demand cools and manufacturers and trades see backlogs shrinking.” THE END

https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/homebuilder-comments-in-june-someone

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2   stfu   2022 Jul 11, 9:58am  

Meh. New home sales are less than 15% of the housing market. Roughly 600k new homes versus over 5 million existing home sales per annum. Demographics means there is an increasing number of buyers - there are more millennials than boomers. Prices aren't dropping until we get some inventory. Higher rates should make this happen but it will take time.

At least homes are sitting on the market around me for more than a day.

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