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Top of the RE Bubble?


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2021 May 31, 12:20pm   4,674 views  66 comments

by joshuatrio   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  

Not sure if it's just a fluke of a week or rush of spring sellers - but I'm all the sudden starting to see a good bit of land and homes for sale in the ATL area, that have been locked up for a long period of time.

I also have a few zip codes in Florida that I monitor, and I'm starting to see a lot of price reductions being posted as well.

Have we reached the top?

I think inflation is here for sure, but I'm wondering if we over shot with commodities and real estate and there is a good sized correction coming over the next year or so.

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60   Eric Holder   2021 Jun 3, 11:27am  

Top? Not so fast!

61   WookieMan   2021 Jun 3, 11:44am  

ThreeBays says
Houses going up 45% then?

Why wouldn't they? Vacant land values will skyrocket and builders still won't build. They're trying to inflate their way out of the covid mess and by they I mean the left. You'd have figured an NYC real estate mogul would have done that, but no, it's Biden. That's how much they hated Trump. Doing the things they thought he would.
62   Bitcoin   2021 Jun 3, 12:07pm  

WookieMan says
Vacant land values will skyrocket and builders still won't build.


In SoCal they are building everywhere they can and get a permit for.
64   Bitcoin   2021 Jun 3, 12:22pm  

Some people are not meant to own homes. They will never make it work, no matter how much government money you print and throw at them.
Successful people like us just have to play the game...and scoop up the foreclosures.
65   WookieMan   2021 Jun 3, 12:31pm  

Bitcoin says
WookieMan says
Vacant land values will skyrocket and builders still won't build.


In SoCal they are building everywhere they can and get a permit for.

Because of inflation. Land values will trail building for now and that's only temporarily. They'll jump and the spigot will be cut off margin wise for builders. Long term real estate is fine. I'd be cautious in the next 5 years if you're buying peak or at the floor. Location dependent. Won't be a crash, but I wouldn't buy anywhere right now or the next year or so if it's not a forever home or long term investment property.

There's no logic in the market when a fuck ton of people aren't working yet stocks and home values increase at epic levels. I don't know what it is, but something has to give at some point. We've seen this story in the 20's before, just none of us were alive.
66   Bitcoin   2021 Jun 3, 12:42pm  

WookieMan says
There's no logic in the market when a fuck ton of people aren't working yet stocks and home values increase at epic levels.


I'd argue that the people sitting at home collecting government money are not the type of people who own stocks or would buy RE. The vast majority of people not working are lazy. Everyone who wants to work can find a job right now. People who are working and getting a good salary buy homes and own stocks. And dying boomers means millennials inherit and buy homes/stocks.

The poor got even more poor and the wealthier people increased their wealth during covid. A stock or RE market can be over extended for years. I agree that long term investors are fine either way and I agree that at some point the bears will be right. And that's exactly how I approach it.....I keep investing in RE, stocks, crypto because i dont know when it crashes. And when it crashes its a massive buying opportunity.

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