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Chapman economists predict Clinton will win; they've picked president in 11 of


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2016 Jul 5, 6:59am   1,665 views  7 comments

by indigenous   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

http://www.ocregister.com/articles/party-720871-percent-chapman.html

This November, they say, the Democratic candidate will win the popular vote by 7.2 percent, unless a strong third-party challenge emerges. “We have a model that is based on nothing to do with personalities or opinion polls,” said economist James Doti, who is also Chapman’s president. “We plug in three pieces of election-year information: the percentage changes in the consumer price index, in the real GDP and in employment.” Under Chapman’s model, higher inflation hurts the incumbent party, while lower inflation helps it. Higher growth in real GDP and employment help the incumbent party while weaker growth in either one...

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2   Tenpoundbass   2016 Sep 30, 3:03pm  

Models don't work against a guy that is not a poltician taking a corrupt system to task. Reformists have won every election, every time a cadidate got powerful and vocal enough.
Trump is the Champion of the people here, not some fetid old hag confused Grifter.

3   FuckTheMainstreamMedia   2016 Sep 30, 3:55pm  

No one believes that 5% unemployment rate bullshit.

4   bob2356   2016 Sep 30, 5:42pm  

Tenpoundbass says

Reformists have won every election, every time a cadidate got powerful and vocal enough.

Like perot?

5   Tenpoundbass   2016 Sep 30, 5:46pm  

indigenous says

Chapman economists predict Clinton will win; they've picked president in 11 of

Oh I'm sure

6   Tenpoundbass   2016 Sep 30, 6:38pm  

bob2356 says

Like perot?

The pressue got to Pero, he backed out and jumped back in. I think it became a business for him. Threatening to jump back in at different intervals so that various Donors would pay him off not to run.

Had he not fucked around and waivered he wouldn't lost his momentum. He had way more supporters earlier on than Trump did. He was well over 38% at one point then he said he would pull out.
Then a day or two later he said he was back in, but he never regained what he had. And each time he jumped out then back in. He shaved more and more off his numbers.

7   neplusultra57   2016 Sep 30, 6:59pm  

So? What does that have to do with your stupid incorrect statement?

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