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Without Them, The Housing Recovery Remains ASham


               
2014 Feb 24, 2:00pm   2,512 views  24 comments

by Bubbabeefcake   follow (1)  

http://www.testosteronepit.com/home/2014/2/25/without-them-the-housing-recovery-remains-a-sham.html

First-time buyers, a powerful economic energy, create real demand and make the housing market grow. We’ve been praying for their arrival like we’ve been praying for rain in parched California. But the more we pray, the fewer there are. When a homeowner sells one home and buys another, to upgrade, downgrade, escape an obnoxious neighbor, or whatever, it shows up in the existing home sales figures, and realtors love it because it involves two transactions, the sale of the old home and the purchase of the new home. In both transactions, realtors siphon off commissions, and loan brokers take their...

#housing

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1   Vicente   2014 Feb 24, 2:09pm  

But hedge funds a.k.a. Vulture Capitalists have bottomless pockets to scoop up the best properties at bulk discount rates. So USA USA USA!

2   JH   2014 Feb 26, 10:50am  

Vicente says

hedge funds a.k.a. Vulture Capitalists have bottomless pockets

Until the Fed stops fondling their pockets.

3   fedwatcher   2014 Mar 8, 6:33am  

While many celebrate first-time buyers as necessary for the housing markets recovery, they neglect that the sellers are rarely trading up.

We focus on buyers and neglect to look as close at sellers.

In the short sale, the seller is becoming a renter or trading way down.

In a REO, the previous owner ,before the bank, was not trading up.

Vulture Capitalists are a necessary predator in the real estate food chain as they supply the rental housing to those that need it.

When the Fed turns off the tap, they will become sellers. How many of the former homeowners will then become buyers is the question.

4   Strategist   2014 Mar 8, 10:23am  

First time home buyers not buying simply indicates future pent up demand. When the start buying prices will go through the roof.
You aint seen nuttin yet.

5   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 8, 11:38am  

Oh, pleeeeease. The prices are too high. Intelligent first time buyers will sit on the sideline. It's not happening. First time buyers will return when prices get off their meth high, and not until then.

6   Strategist   2014 Mar 8, 12:59pm  

hrhjuliet says

Oh, pleeeeease. The prices are too high. Intelligent first time buyers will sit on the sideline. It's not happening. First time buyers will return when prices get off their meth high, and not until then.

Mortgage payments were and still are lower than rent. What are these first time buyers waiting for?

7   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 8, 1:16pm  

They are waiting for the price of the house to go down. That mortgage "technically" has to get paid back someday, and taxes on inflated purchase prices still need to be paid, home owner associations need to be paid, money set aside for repairs needs to exist and money set aside for a temporary job loss. I think real estate agents may wonder why all the buyers don't run out and buy half a million dollar fixers, but the rest of us are more sane. You are not a real estate agent, so why do you promote such risky behavior?

8   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 8, 1:21pm  

Call it Crazy says

hrhjuliet says

You are not a real estate agent, so why do you promote such risky behavior?

Because he's a troll....

Why is he a troll? What do you believe is a troll's purpose? Honestly, I am curious. What is your opinion on their motivations? It seems a waste of energy

9   Strategist   2014 Mar 8, 1:21pm  

hrhjuliet says

They are waiting for the price of the house to go down. That mortgage "technically" has to get paid back someday, and taxes on inflated purchase prices still need to be paid, home owner associations need to be paid, money set aside for repairs needs to exist and money set aside for a temporary job loss. I think real estate agents may wonder why all the buyers don't run out and buy half a million dollar fixers, but the rest of us are more sane. You are not a real estate agent, so why do you promote such risky behavior?

First time buyers (most other buyers too) only look at total payments when buying a house versus rent for a similar home. The cost of the home is irrelevant. With tax benefits, buying a home is a no brainer.

10   Strategist   2014 Mar 8, 1:23pm  

hrhjuliet says

Call it Crazy says

hrhjuliet says

You are not a real estate agent, so why do you promote such risky behavior?

Because he's a troll....

Why is he a troll? What do you believe is a troll's purpose? Honestly, I am curious. What is your opinion on their motivations? It seems a waste of energy

Are you gonna take opinions from someone who calls himself crazy?

11   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 8, 1:24pm  

Strategist says

hrhjuliet says

They are waiting for the price of the house to go down. That mortgage "technically" has to get paid back someday, and taxes on inflated purchase prices still need to be paid, home owner associations need to be paid, money set aside for repairs needs to exist and money set aside for a temporary job loss. I think real estate agents may wonder why all the buyers don't run out and buy half a million dollar fixers, but the rest of us are more sane. You are not a real estate agent, so why do you promote such risky behavior?

First time buyers (most other buyers too) only look at total payments when buying a house versus rent for a similar home. The cost of the home is irrelevant. With tax benefits, buying a home is a no brainer.

It is absolutely not irrelevant. Most people would be getting in way over their heads in this market, and possibly risking everything.

12   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 8, 1:27pm  

Strategist says

hrhjuliet says

Call it Crazy says

hrhjuliet says

You are not a real estate agent, so why do you promote such risky behavior?

Because he's a troll....

Why is he a troll? What do you believe is a troll's purpose? Honestly, I am curious. What is your opinion on their motivations? It seems a waste of energy

Are you gonna take opinions from someone who calls himself crazy?

I am a curious and open-minded person, and I like to hear all opinions. I also don't prejudge based on a name, especially one clearly rooted in irony.

13   Strategist   2014 Mar 8, 1:28pm  

hrhjuliet says

First time buyers (most other buyers too) only look at total payments when buying a house versus rent for a similar home. The cost of the home is irrelevant. With tax benefits, buying a home is a no brainer.

It is absolutely not irrelevant. Most people would be getting in way over their heads in this market, and possibly risking everything.

Those people would not qualify for a loan in todays ridiculously tight underwriting standards. Only the best qualify today.

14   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 8, 1:37pm  

Not from what I've seen, at least not here in the Bay Area. I have friends who put very little down and make less the median wage and they are qualifying for $600,000. It's cash buyers who are the most insane anyway. Why put your savings down on a half a million dollar molding fixer? If a person rents a modest home and invest in varied stocks they would be far better off. When the market goes down, then buy. No need to buy in this inflated market. It's never a good idea to buy when things are at their highest. They should save, invest and be patient.

15   Bubbabeefcake   2014 Mar 8, 4:10pm  

hrhjuliet says

Oh, pleeeeease. The prices are too high. Intelligent first time buyers will sit on the sideline. It's not happening. First time buyers will return when prices get off their meth high, and not until then.

What do you expect from tumultuous blanket statments that instigate meaningless arguments that are only perpetrated to soothe manic frustration

16   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 8, 4:19pm  

True.

17   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 9, 1:59am  

You are right, the posts are either pointless arguing or about anal sex. That still doesn't explain his motivation. I can not understand the motivation of the "trolls" if they are not real estate agents or an agency that directly benefits from this mess.

18   Strategist   2014 Mar 9, 3:51am  

hrhjuliet says

You are right, the posts are either pointless arguing or about anal sex. That still doesn't explain his motivation. I can not understand the motivation of the "trolls" if they are not real estate agents or an agency that directly benefits from this mess.

The motivation of posting here is to just have some fun. You go through a busy day, stress, problems, you want something to release some steam in a harmless way. I kinda like everyone here......crazies, lunatics, psychopaths, serial killers, escaped convicts, weirdos, wackos, sex maniacs, perverts. Hey, it's a lot of fun.
As for anal sex and X rated stuff......Boys will be boys :)

19   Bubbabeefcake   2014 Mar 9, 4:07am  

Other than the detraction and calumny from another source !

The motivation of posting on this thread to inform others of the calamity that lies ahead

Without Them, The Housing Recovery Remains A Sham...

20   bubblesitter   2014 Mar 10, 1:02am  

Strategist says

Mortgage payments were and still are lower than rent. What are these first time buyers waiting for?

No where close in coastal region of CA. You need to revisit the own vs buy math.

21   bubblesitter   2014 Mar 10, 1:07am  

Strategist says

With tax benefits, buying a home is a no brainer.

You definitely don't have any idea on "tax benefits". Try your math using the (interest payment+taxes) - (standard deduction). Let's see how many pennies you get back for going through all that trouble. Oh, and try deducting the mortgage interest in the later years of the loan. "Tax benefits" = biggest home ownership fallacy in this country, which the common masses have never examined closely. Not every one is financially shrewd for a reason. Go ask bankers and WS investors.

22   Strategist   2014 Mar 10, 8:50am  

bubblesitter says

Strategist says

Mortgage payments were and still are lower than rent. What are these first time buyers waiting for?

No where close in coastal region of CA. You need to revisit the own vs buy math.

Coastal California prices have been going up 5% per year compounded for decades. Interest rates are 4%. You really need nothing else to make a decision.
Homes are as good as free.

23   hrhjuliet   2014 Mar 10, 9:11am  

You're funny.

24   bubblesitter   2014 Mar 11, 3:44am  

Strategist says

You really need nothing else to make a decision.

Homes are as good as free.

...and you need to examine other lucrative options that can give more than 5% return(yes, compounded!) on your money.

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