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Gazprom is circling the toilet.


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2015 Aug 12, 6:34pm   24,000 views  151 comments

by RWSGFY   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  

"
How Russian energy giant Gazprom lost $300bn.

It was not too long ago that Gazprom, Russia’s state-controlled energy conglomerate, was one of the Kremlin’s most powerful weapons. But those days now seem like a distant memory. Today, Gazprom is a financial shadow of its former self.

The speed of Gazprom’s decline is breathtaking. At its peak in May 2008, the company’s market capitalisation reached $367bn (£237bn), making it one of world’s most valuable companies, according to a survey compiled by the Financial Times. Only fellow Exxonmobile and PetroChina were worth more. Gazprom’s deputy chair Alexander Medvedev repeatedly predicted that within a decade the Russian energy giant could be worth $1 trillion.

That prediction now seems foolhardy. Since 2008, Gazprom’s value has plummeted. In early August it had a market capitalisation of $51bn – losing more than $300bn. No company among the world’s top 5,000 has suffered a bigger collapse, Bloomberg Business News reported in April 2014, and by the end of the year net income had fallen by an astonishing 86%.

Though share prices have rallied slightly since, indicators suggest Gazprom has further to fall. Lingering uncertainty raises questions about whether it can survive, with production continuing to tumble downward.

So what happened? Why is a company with the world’s largest gas reserves, operating in a country bordering China and the European Union – two of the world’s top energy consumers, performing so badly?"

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/aug/07/gazprom-oil-company-share-price-collapse

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37   AD   2020 May 26, 12:19pm  

.

Strategist says
Gassyprom does not innovate. It is dependent on the market only. Just like OPEC.


Its value is based mostly on a commodity. I agree, as Gazprom has to figure out how to become more productive or profitable.

At least it is good news for the German economy which depends a lot on Gazprom for natural gas.

.
38   RWSGFY   2020 May 27, 1:12pm  

Farewell from US Ambassador Grenell: New threat against Nord Stream 2

The United States is preparing further sanctions against Nord Stream 2.

Berlin Richard Grenell did not make many friends in Berlin, but this was never his intention. The outgoing US ambassador did not come as a diplomat, he came as a banner bearer of the America first ideology of his president Donald Trump - and so he also says goodbye.

In the usual undiplomatic tone, Grenell calls on the federal government to fundamentally rethink its policy on Russia. "Germany must stop feeding the beast while not paying enough for NATO ," he told the Handelsblatt. Grenell had already left Berlin on Sunday. He will probably never come back to Germany.

The Americans have long been bothered by German imports of Russian gas. Above all , they fought the Nord Stream 2 Baltic Sea pipeline with a determination that had long been underestimated in the federal government. At the end of last year, the USA managed to force a construction freeze. Your means: threats of sanction against western specialist companies who lay the pipes on the bottom of the Baltic Sea with their ships. Since then, the Russians have been trying to complete the rest of the pipeline themselves. To do this, they moved two ships to German coastal waters.

The movements of the ships "Akademik Tscherski" and "Fortuna" are suspiciously followed by the United States. Because the Americans expect the Russians to ultimately succeed in completing the pipeline. The next economic policy intervention is therefore already being planned in Washington.

Grenell met with senators and MPs last week. "Further sanctions meet non-partisan approval," he reported. "Despite the election campaign, legislation could go ahead quickly." The Americans' goal: to prevent the pipeline from going into operation, if not construction. It is still unclear what form the new sanctions would take. One possibility would be to threaten companies with trade fines who use special equipment to maintain the pipelines. Sanctions against Russian gas buyers are also discussed in Washington.

https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=de&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.handelsblatt.com%2Fpolitik%2Finternational%2Fostseepipeline-abschiedsgruss-von-us-botschafter-grenell-neue-drohung-gegen-nord-stream-2%2F25861262.html
39   RWSGFY   2020 Jun 2, 10:47am  

Gas Surplus Is So Big That Russian Flow Cut Can’t Move EU Prices

(Bloomberg) -- The natural gas glut is now so severe that prices hardly move even when Europe’s biggest supplier curbs flows to the region.

Europe is choking with gas as demand slumped in line with the virus-stricken global economy, storage sites are fuller than usual and little respite is seen in liquefied natural gas imports even with benchmark prices near record lows.

As traders watch for signs when key producers such as Russia and Norway start curbing flows, Gazprom PJSC, which has one of the lowest marginal costs of importers to Europe, briefly reduced shipments through a key link via Belarus and Poland. Russia’s move wasn’t enough to give prices a sustainable lift.

“Natural gas demand is very weak and low prices are signaling supply must be cut,” said Trevor Sikorski, a gas analyst at Energy Aspects Ltd. in London. “Prices will stay in a range in which it pressures supplies. Cuts now are keeping prices falling further.”

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gas-surplus-big-russian-flow-040000772.html
40   HeadSet   2020 Jun 2, 2:49pm  

Europe is choking with gas

Sounds like World War One again.
41   AD   2020 Jun 2, 3:20pm  

.

That easy to figure out why. At least the Germans have cheap gas to heat their homes in the winter months.



.
42   RWSGFY   2020 Jun 2, 10:48pm  

Natural Gas May Be the Next Commodity to Trade Below Zero

(Bloomberg) -- The specter of negative prices is hanging over energy markets more than a month after oil’s unforgettable crash below zero.

... the $600 billion global gas market remains extraordinarily oversupplied. Traders and analysts say the worst may be yet to come as demand falls and storage nears capacity, creating the ideal conditions for negative prices in some parts of the world.

It shows just how far the global energy industry is from recovering from a pandemic-fueled slide in demand and signals more pain for producers from the shale fields of Texas to Australia’s Curtis Island. Unlike the oil market, there’s been no sign of a coordinated response to address the glut, meaning the fallout could be deeper and longer.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/natural-gas-may-next-major-230000786.html
44   AD   2020 Jun 28, 12:36pm  

.

I question if we'll see a quick spike in natural gas prices because of the steady reduction in natural gas rigs.



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47   Eric Holder   2020 Jul 14, 11:11am  

https://www.ft.com/content/ffa48632-7456-4adf-8be1-786ae35b3394?ftcamp=traffic/partner/feed_headline/us_yahoo/auddev&yptr=yahoo

Gazprom has reported its first quarterly loss in more than four years as the coronavirus pandemic slashes gas demand and prices.

A 30 per cent fall in the value of the rouble during the first quarter of 2020 sparked by the oil price collapse compounded a slide in both shipments and prices for the Russian state gas group that is expected to continue throughout the year.

The $1.64bn loss underscores the deep fiscal pain that the Covid-19 pandemic will have on Russia, which is reeling from both an economic recession caused by a domestic lockdown and a global slowdown and a significant reduction in government tax revenues from lower oil, gas and other commodity sales.
48   Eric Holder   2020 Jul 16, 12:10pm  

Pompeo Warns Energy Majors Over New Russian Gas Pipelines

(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. is moving toward sanctions against energy companies involved in Russian pipelines to Europe and Turkey, escalating a threat to punish allies for pursuing projects that the U.S. argues will only benefit Russia.

s Europe’s domestic gas supplies decline, the region is becoming more dependent on imported fuel. The almost 10 billion-euro ($11 billion) Nord Stream 2 project from Russia to Germany is being financed by companies including Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Germany’s Uniper SE and Wintershall AG and France’s Engie SA. Allseas Group SA is helping to expand the Turk Stream link.

“Get out now or risk the consequences,” Secretary of State Michael Pompeo said at the State Department on Wednesday.

Under Wednesday’s move, the administration updated its guidance for companies seeking to abide by the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, or Caatsa, which is aimed at limiting business with Russia. The new guidance broadens the scope of the sanctions by making clear that more companies than previously thought could face sanctions for their work on the pipelines.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pompeo-warns-energy-majors-over-080020531.html
49   Eric Holder   2020 Aug 10, 11:18am  

Moscow. 10th of August. INTERFAX.RU - The average price of Gazprom's gas exports in June 2020 fell to $ 82 per thousand cubic meters from $ 94 in May, follows from the data of the Federal Customs Service of Russia. This price is lower and lower than the price of the break-even level of Russian gas supplies to Europe.

According to Interfax's estimates, the profitable level of exports for Gazprom is at least $ 100 per 1,000 cubic meters: $ 13 - production cost, $ 14 - MET, $ 27 - transportation across Russia, at least $ 20 - transportation to target markets in Europe - over $ 70 in total and then add 30% customs duty. And according to Fitch Ratings, the break-even level is $ 105 per thousand cubic meters.

In January 2020, according to the Federal Customs Service, the average price for Gazprom's export portfolio was $ 162, in February - $ 143, in March - $ 125, in April - $ 109, in May - $ 94 per thousand cubic meters.

Thus, for the second reporting month, Gazprom has been selling gas abroad at a loss.

Gas prices under Gazprom's contracts continued to fall steeply, although spot quotes began to recover from historic lows reached in May.
50   Eric Holder   2020 Aug 10, 5:46pm  

TrumpingTits says
Gazprom is a SOE. So it doesn't matter if it is profitable or not.


... until the S in that acronym goes tits up from overstretching itself. Just like it did last time.
51   Eric Holder   2020 Sep 8, 9:13am  

No Nord Stream 2? No problem for Germany, economists say

FRANKFURT/BERLIN/DUESSELDORF (Reuters) - Abandoning the nearly complete Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia to Germany could create a legal mess and nudge up energy costs for European households but Germany would cope with any disruption to supplies, economists say.

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas at the weekend questioned the project -- thus far supported by Germany -- following the suspected poisoning of Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny.

Chancellor Angela Merkel's spokesman reinforced the shift in tone on Monday, saying she shared the view of Maas, who told newspaper Bild am Sonntag: "I certainly hope that the Russians will not force us to change our position on Nord Stream 2."

Their comments cast doubt over the future of a project that is more than 90% complete, scheduled to operate from early 2021 and which would double the capacity of the existing Nord Stream 1 pipeline from Russia to Germany, Europe's largest economy.

Knocking out that additional capacity would put upward pressure on gas prices. But reduced energy demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and slack in the German economy, would give Berlin time to work out alternative additional supply sources.

"Germany could easily afford it," Berenberg Bank economist Holger Schmieding said of the possibility of axing the pipeline, describing the impact on economic output as "negligible".


https://finance.yahoo.com/news/no-nord-stream-2-no-164201815.html
52   Eric Holder   2020 Oct 8, 1:12pm  

Poland fines Russia's Gazprom $7.6 billion over pipeline

WARSAW, Poland (AP) — Polish antitrust authorities have fined Russia's state-owned energy giant Gazprom $7.6 billion (6.5 billion euros) for building the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline to Germany, saying the project hurts Polish consumers and increases Europe’s dependence on Russian imports.

....

The Polish authorities said the companies failed to obtain the required permission to jointly build and finance the pipeline, saying that violated antitrust laws. The decision obliges the six companies to cancel their contracts for financing the project.

“Carrying out the project is tantamount to breaking the rules of law and of fair competition that will lead to an increased dependence of gas recipients on the internal market on one supplier - Gazprom,” the antitrust office said.

....

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/poland-fines-russias-gazprom-7-102519721.html
53   Eric Holder   2022 Mar 1, 1:22pm  

What they're saying: "Following the recent geopolitical developments leading to the imposition of U.S. sanctions on Nord Stream 2 AG, the company had to terminate contracts with employees. We very much regret this development," Nord Stream 2 AG — a wholly owned subsidiary of Russia's Gazprom — told Reuters in a statement.

Between the lines: Even as the West and private companies have moved to fully isolate Russia over its unprovoked attack on Ukraine, former German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder — the chairman of the board of Nord Stream 2 AG — has yet to cut his lucrative ties with Russian energy giants.

Members of his office staff have quit in protest, according to Politico.

https://news.yahoo.com/operator-nord-stream-2-files-190612218.html?source=patrick.net
54   Eric Holder   2022 Mar 1, 1:22pm  

DIE, MOTHERFUCKING GAZPROM, FUCKING DIE ALREADY!
55   richwicks   2022 Mar 1, 1:28pm  

Eric Holder says
DIE, MOTHERFUCKING GAZPROM, FUCKING DIE ALREADY!


Hmmm... https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OGZPY/?source=patrick.net
56   Eric Holder   2022 Mar 1, 1:40pm  

richwicks says
Eric Holder says
DIE, MOTHERFUCKING GAZPROM, FUCKING DIE ALREADY!


Hmmm... https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OGZPY/?source=patrick.net


Good start.
57   richwicks   2022 Mar 1, 1:42pm  

Eric Holder says
richwicks says
Eric Holder says
DIE, MOTHERFUCKING GAZPROM, FUCKING DIE ALREADY!


Hmmm... https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OGZPY/?source=patrick.net


Good start.


All it's going to do is drive up energy prices in Europe and Russia will just reroute energy to China. What? You think Gazprom is going to go tits up? British Petroleum poisoned the entire Gulf of Mexico.
58   AmericanKulak   2022 Mar 1, 1:51pm  

China is the biggest customer for Russian Oil and Gas. $50B worth, twice that of the next European buyer.

"Power of Siberia" already pumps 38B CM3 of Gas to China. Soyuz East will be the same size as Nordstream.

This is just gas, not oil, coal, etc.
59   Eric Holder   2022 Mar 1, 2:23pm  

richwicks says
You think Gazprom is going to go tits up?


We'll see. Tits up, broken into smaller entities or laying on the bottom of Russian Ocean - all fine with me. =))
60   Eric Holder   2022 Mar 1, 2:27pm  

AmericanKulak says
China is the biggest customer for Russian Oil and Gas. $50B worth, twice that of the next European buyer.

"Power of Siberia" already pumps 38B CM3 of Gas to China. Soyuz East will be the same size as Nordstream.

This is just gas, not oil, coal, etc.


Good: more market for US LNG.
61   richwicks   2022 Mar 1, 2:49pm  

Eric Holder says
AmericanKulak says
China is the biggest customer for Russian Oil and Gas. $50B worth, twice that of the next European buyer.

"Power of Siberia" already pumps 38B CM3 of Gas to China. Soyuz East will be the same size as Nordstream.

This is just gas, not oil, coal, etc.


Good: more market for US LNG.


Yeah! FUCK those Europeans! Double their energy costs!

BTW - this is Moderna's stock:

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MRNA?p=MRNA&.tsrc=fin-srch

It's down 75% from its high. The difference is, no way would I consider buying them. Remember when we had that pandemic? Last week?
62   Eric Holder   2022 Mar 1, 3:58pm  

richwicks says
Good: more market for US LNG.


Yeah! FUCK those Europeans! Double their energy costs!


Bullshit: US gas is very competetive. What's more - it's safe. I agree with Trump: we should have a strong political, military and economical alliance with Europe. Russia can have good relations with us if it chooses to behave like a proper European country or go be a China's bitch if it doesn't.
63   mell   2022 Mar 1, 4:05pm  

Eric Holder says
richwicks says
Good: more market for US LNG.


Yeah! FUCK those Europeans! Double their energy costs!


Bullshit: US gas is very competetive. What's more - it's safe. I agree with Trump: we should have a strong political, military and economical alliance with Europe. Russia can have good relations with us if it chooses to behave like a proper European country or go be a China's bitch if it doesn't.


Agreed - and European countries can do business with whomever they want (they may of course lose nato "protection" but that may not be a bad thing at all), incl. Russia.
64   richwicks   2022 Mar 1, 4:10pm  

Eric Holder says
richwicks says
Good: more market for US LNG.


Yeah! FUCK those Europeans! Double their energy costs!


Bullshit: US gas is very competetive. What's more - it's safe.


Compressing natural gas, and putting it into ships, to cart over to Europe is not competitive, AT ALL, to a pipeline.

And what do you mean "it's safe"? It's natural gas. Russian natural gas isn't more volatile than US natural gas.

Eric Holder says
I agree with Trump: we should have a strong political, military and economical alliance with Europe.


Yeah, the oligarchy doesn't give a shit about that. Russia's banking system isn't under the control of the same people that run our banking system or Europe's, and if Russia can't export energy, the US can always do it by stealing it from the Middle East after they kill a few million people and make a profit.

That's all this is about.

Eric Holder says
Russia can have good relations with us if it chooses to behave like a proper European country or go be a China's bitch if it doesn't.


Dude, we're China's bitch. Look at the clothes you're wearing, the device you're using, the chair you're sitting in, the rug under your feet, even the paint on your walls - where do you think that came from?

Russia has a TRADE SURPLUS. All this crap about "Russia is a poor country" - yeah, maybe measured in terms of GDP, which is a bullshit measurement, which is why the US uses it. The richest country in the world today, is clearly China.
65   Eric Holder   2022 Apr 4, 8:41am  

BERLIN—The German government will temporarily take control of a key unit of Russian state-owned natural gas giant Gazprom PJSC in Germany


https://www.wsj.com/articles/berlin-takes-control-of-gazproms-german-business-11649086113?source=patrick.net
66   AmericanKulak   2022 Apr 4, 10:32am  

Accumulating Resources and/or Making things is wealth, that's the ultimate purpose of money - to buy those commodities and things.

By that measure, the US is not rich.
67   Misc   2022 Apr 4, 11:06am  

AmericanKulak says
Accumulating Resources and/or Making things is wealth, that's the ultimate purpose of money - to buy those commodities and things.

By that measure, the US is not rich.


About 90% of the US's GDP is internal to the US. Only about 10% is trade related The amount of GDP that is trade related is among the lowest in the world. We also have the highest GDP in the world and our GDP per capita on a PPP basis is also very high.

We run a trade deficit, but out multi-national corporations' (mostly held by US stockholders) foreign operations dwarf this by a huge amount.

There is about $15 trillion in dollar denominated debt outside the US, As the Fed raises interest rates from near zero, the repercussions will be huge as dollars will become rapidly more needed to pay the interest on this debt.

We are the richest country on earth.
68   richwicks   2022 Apr 4, 11:46am  

Misc says
We also have the highest GDP in the world and our GDP per capita on a PPP basis is also very high.


GDP only measures how much turnover there is within an economy. Its a totally useless metric for wealth of a nation. The only reason the US government CONSTANTLY harps about this is because the US has the highest GDP so our government keeps "mistaking" GDP for wealth.

Misc says
There is about $15 trillion in dollar denominated debt outside the US, As the Fed raises interest rates from near zero, the repercussions will be huge as dollars will become rapidly more needed to pay the interest on this debt.


This has been predicted YEARS ago (as one possibility) that before the US dollar blows up, it will go through deflation first, then massive inflation. We'll see. It would be the way to fuck over first people in debt, then to fuck over people who save. It screws the maximum number of people.
69   Eric Holder   2022 Apr 4, 12:01pm  

Italian Foreign Minister Luigi Di Mayo said that after the atrocities in Bucha, Italy will support sanctions against the russian gas
70   Eric Holder   2022 Apr 4, 12:02pm  

VILNIUS, Lithuania -- Lithuania says it has cut itself off entirely of gas imports from Russia, apparently becoming the first of the European Union's 27 nations using Russian gas to break its energy dependence upon Moscow.

“Seeking full energy independence from Russian gas, in response to Russia’s energy blackmail in Europe and the war in Ukraine, Lithuania has completely abandoned Russian gas,” Lithuania’s energy ministry said in a statement late Saturday, adding that the measure took effect in the beginning of April.
71   richwicks   2022 Apr 4, 12:25pm  

Eric Holder says
“Seeking full energy independence from Russian gas, in response to Russia’s energy blackmail in Europe and the war in Ukraine, Lithuania has completely abandoned Russian gas,” Lithuania’s energy ministry said in a statement late Saturday, adding that the measure took effect in the beginning of April.


It's a completely fungible commodity. Reminds me of the sanctions that US supposedly had against Iraq - all that happened is people in powerful places just lied about the sources, and walked around the sanctions and pocketing a few large fortunes in the process.
72   FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut   2022 Apr 4, 5:21pm  

not sure what this means, will this do anything for our gas prices? They haven't come down yet.
73   RWSGFY   2022 Apr 4, 7:37pm  

FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut says
not sure what this means, will this do anything for our gas prices? They haven't come down yet.


No connection whatsoever.
74   richwicks   2022 Apr 4, 10:14pm  

RWSGFY says
FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut says
not sure what this means, will this do anything for our gas prices? They haven't come down yet.


No connection whatsoever.


Yes, we totally live in a free market now that supply and demand is completely disconnected from price..
75   Rin   2022 May 11, 4:44pm  

richwicks says
fuck over people who save.


I have a feeling that before the hyper-inflation, gold will break out of its current doldrums and start to equilibrate against the true CPI in terms of the USD.

So far, having studied gold charts, I don't see that situation yet.

When it happens, better become a gold bug before it's too late. Right now, my exposure to gold is a sliver of my portfolio, since I bought some circa $400/oz and the other section, when it was around $1100/oz.
76   Eric Holder   2022 May 11, 5:44pm  

DooDahMan says

Kyiv Halts Russian Gas Shipments Through Key Hub

Russian gas flows to Europe via Ukraine fell by a quarter on May 11 after Kyiv announced that it would stop Russian shipments through its key Novopskov hub in the east, blaming interference by Russian forces in the region.

It is the first time exports have been disrupted since Moscow launched its unprovoked invasion of Ukraine. Despite the war, Ukraine has remained a major transit route for Russian gas to Europe.

Russia's state-controlled energy giant Gazprom, which has a monopoly on Moscow's gas exports by pipeline, said it was still shipping gas to Europe via Ukraine, but volumes were seen at 72 million cubic meters (mcm) on May 11, down from 95.8 mcm the previous day.


Wow, 3rd month into the war and it turns out that the gas has been flowing uniterrupted up until now (until very smart RuZZians decided to occupy the territory it's going through and fuck with the equipment, that is). Puts a giant stake into the heart of "West and Ukraine have always wanted to stop RuZZian gas from flowing through there" low-IQ conspiracy theory.

So another inch closer to the drain for Gazprom and no other than Putin did it to them.

The fuckers had such a nice gig going....

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