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Tesla as an Investment


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2018 Dec 22, 8:42pm   24,854 views  327 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (59)   💰tip   ignore  

What do people think about Tesla (TSLA)?

It's over $300, with a loss of $10/share, but revenue just keeps going up. Hard to figure out what a fair price is since it doesn't make money yet.

How would you come up with a fair price per share?

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99   bill   2018 Dec 31, 12:12am  

I kinda agree with Warren Buffett when he says Apple should not buy TSLA. Warren is not always correct, but I believe him when he says everybody and his dog will make an electric car. Also, the self-driving car will mean that fewer cars are sold. One car will be able to serve 5 people. I don't own a car anymore. I use UBER and trains and busses and maybe I'll try a LIME (maybe NOT!). And, added hazard, you gotta realize Chinese competition will be fast and ferocious. SAIC BAIC BYD all have better financials than Tesla.
They already, make sub $35K cars profitably. Even some that are sub 20K... (note: thanks to Charlie Munger, Buffett has an interest in BYD). But, hey, BRK.b is a bargain at this moment! :)
100   CBOEtrader   2018 Dec 31, 2:49am  

E-man says
Life is too short to make small bets - CEO of Soft Bank. ???


Survivorship bias.

This is a low resolution algorithm guaranteed to fail most people. You are correct though, for someone to go fron normal life savings to rich betting the farm on one risk exposure is a strategy. We have a pat.net contributor doing that w weed stocks now.
101   MrMagic   2018 Dec 31, 9:21am  

Tesla Slides on Report of Over 3,300 Model 3s in Inventory

(soon to be a lot more)

Can you say "Pump and Dump"?

The end of the year push to try and sell vehicles using a $7,500 Federal tax credit as a bargaining chip appears to be falling flat on its face for Tesla. A new report by electrek published on New Year’s Eve says that Tesla still has over 3,300 Model 3 vehicles in its U.S. inventory, which sent the stock sliding lower by about 2% in morning trading.

Elon Musk
✔ @elonmusk

Reminder to US buyers that the $7500 tax credit drops in half in about 48 hours. Order online at http://Tesla.com or visit a Tesla store to see if there is any inventory left in your region

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-31/tesla-slides-report-over-3300-model-3s-inventory

Great comments at the link:

DennisR:
29 minutes ago
How is this company still a thing and trading as a $60B entity?


Pool Shark:
20 minutes ago
Because Tesla fanboys are innumerate.

That’s why Elon has been so psychotic lately; he’s trying every publicity stunt to detract attention from Tesla’s bottom line: Shooting cars into space, Claiming he will retire on Mars, Turning underground L.A. into Swiss cheese, Offering submarines and then labeling those that refuse them ‘Pedophiles”, Buying dirt in China...

It’s all a diversion.

”Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!”
102   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 9:41am  

MrMagic says
The end of the year push to try and sell vehicles using a $7,500 Federal tax credit as a bargaining chip appears to be falling flat on its face for Tesla. A new report by electrek published on New Year’s Eve says that Tesla still has over 3,300 Model 3 vehicles in its U.S. inventory, which sent the stock sliding lower by about 2% in morning trading.


Wow. No one wants those rotten, useless cars. It's a complete failure.
Oh wait a minute, they have so much demand they can't keep up with the deliveries. LOL. LOL. ROFL.

Even from the useless zero brain website....."This, again, comes on top of recent news that Tesla is now has offered to shell out cash for those who have who will miss the full tax credit benefit due to delivery problems "

From a more reliable source:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-over-3-000-model-154918912.html
(Reuters) - Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) had over 3,000 Model 3s left in inventory in the United States as of Sunday, automotive news website Electrek reported on Monday, citing people familiar with the matter.

The electric-car maker has been urging buyers to make use of the federal tax credit, with Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk reminding them on Twitter https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1079172996793651200 on Saturday that the benefit would drop to half beginning 2019.

The report https://bit.ly/2R5Ii1G, citing sources, said while the automaker is expected to deliver some vehicles on the last day of the year, it is not possible for Tesla to go through the whole inventory.

Shares of the company fell nearly 2 percent after the report. Tesla was not immediately available for comment.

Tesla had earlier said it was "doing everything" to ensure those who ordered a vehicle as late as Dec. 20 could take deliveries by Dec. 31, with Musk promising to reimburse customers if delivery delays cause them to miss out on a significant tax credit.



Earlier this year, Tesla said orders placed by Oct. 15 would be eligible for the full tax credit of $7,500 and that customers would receive their cars by the end of the
103   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 9:42am  

Shame on you you, Magic. How could you?
104   mell   2018 Dec 31, 9:47am  

They need to turn consitently profitable soon without accounting gimmicks.
105   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 9:50am  

Strategist says
Tesla had earlier said it was "doing everything" to ensure those who ordered a vehicle as late as Dec. 20 could take deliveries by Dec. 31, with Musk promising to reimburse customers if delivery delays cause them to miss out on a significant tax credit.


A very honest company founded by a man who is not human. He will go down in history as the man who destroyed Big Oil, and brought the Saudi Kings to their knees.
106   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 10:01am  

When I took delivery of the Tesla, I signed 2 or 3 pages, had already uploaded my drivers license and insurance information, and transferred the money to them online.
Took 5 minutes to wait in the lobby, 3 minutes to sign, and 20 minutes for the hot lady to show me the basics and safety features of the car. No bullshit, no hassles, no upselling garbage.
** I asked the hot lady to give Elon Musk a big hug for me, and to thank him on my behalf for making the world a better place to live in.
Thank You Elon, Happy New Year to you.
107   FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut   2018 Dec 31, 10:58am  

I think their stock already priced that in.

mell says
They need to turn consitently profitable soon without accounting gimmicks.
108   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 12:07pm  

Strategist says
Tesla isn't a car. It's a spaceship from the future.


This is sounding like my dad's geriatric DeLorean fans talking. And yes, those did look like spaceships which is why Doc Brown put his flux capacitor in one and the kid back in the 1950s thought there was an alien invasion.


bill says
I kinda agree with Warren Buffett when he says Apple should not buy TSLA. Warren is not always correct, but I believe him when he says everybody and his dog will make an electric car. Also, the self-driving car will mean that fewer cars are sold. One car will be able to serve 5 people. I don't own a car anymore. I use UBER and trains and busses and maybe I'll try a LIME (maybe NOT!). And, added hazard, you gotta realize Chinese competition will be fast and ferocious. SAIC BAIC BYD all have better financials than Tesla.


Buffet definitely sees the market for self-driving vehicles clearly. I'd even say that my experience, as an executive, is that that I don't enjoy driving and would rather be chauffeured from place to place while eating, drinking alcohol, reading, or listening to some music or lectures. And my company pays for my limo service. Eventually, the average person will be having a robotic livery service, shuffling him around all day, without having a huge bank.

Right now, Tesla's primary market penetration is for the luxury sports car demographic and in particular, the ones in west coast markets where the weather is warm and ppl like to show off their vehicles in the sun, much more that in the east, where there's snow/sleet/ice, and this massive multi-state daily gridlock between Boston MA and Richmond VA where charging stations regularly have ppl shouting obscenities at each other since no one has the time for a bay.

When want to be alone, I'd much rather drive my Accord, which is right now gathering dust in the basement garage (since I don't have a need it for it, for my daily routine), than be in a shouting match on i-95. I can always rent the Porsche for a joyride.


https://www.gothamdreamcars.com/exotic-car-rental
109   MrMagic   2018 Dec 31, 1:01pm  

mell says
They need to turn consitently profitable soon without accounting gimmicks.


Exactly. He can't make money on the Model 3 at $50K - $60K, but he wants everyone to believe he'll be profitable with $35K Model 3s... because he'll make it up on volume, right Fanboys?
110   MrMagic   2018 Dec 31, 1:04pm  

Strategist says
A very honest company founded by a man who is not human. He will go down in history as the man who destroyed Big Oil, and brought the Saudi Kings to their knees.


Where have I seen this type of FanBoy-ism.... Let me think.... Oh yeah, like this:

111   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 2:26pm  

MrMagic says
Where have I seen this type of FanBoy-ism.... Let me think.... Oh yeah, like this:



Still, cellphone .... make that mobile computing, is a viable long term market, which isn't disappearing though it may evolve into clothes, eye wear, upholstery, etc, instead of a handheld device.

In contrast, a car is still just that, a mode of transportation. Ppl needs transportation tools, to get from point A to B, not an expensive toy.

And there's a huge difference between $1K and $50K for the average consumer.
112   MrMagic   2018 Dec 31, 2:31pm  

Rin says
Still, cellphone .... make that mobile computing, is a viable long term market, which isn't disappearing though it may evolve into clothes, eye wear, upholstery, etc, instead of a handheld device.


That's true, but the original Apple fanboys felt it was worth it to pay DOUBLE for a iphone versus an Android..... Just because...

Rin says
In contrast, a car is still just that, a mode of transportation.


Exactly, but the Tesla fanboys think it's worth it to buy a Tesla versus a Volt (see my comparison with the iphone).

Rin says
And there's a huge difference between $1K and $50K for the average consumer.


and there's a huge difference between a $60K Model 3 and a $30K Volt, yet they both get you from Point A to B.
113   RWSGFY   2018 Dec 31, 2:36pm  

MrMagic says
Tesla still has over 3,300 Model 3 vehicles in its U.S. inventory,


I'll take one of these off Elon's hands today. But for no more than $35K USD.
114   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 2:42pm  

MrMagic says
and there's a huge difference between a $60K Model 3 and a $30K Volt, yet they both get you from Point A to B.


And don't forget the $17K Corollas & Civics, which also get the job done, saving even more money for gas.
115   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 2:44pm  

MrMagic says
pay DOUBLE for a iphone versus an Android


That's fashion statement stuff, like paying $400 vs $200 for a pair of shoes.
116   MrMagic   2018 Dec 31, 2:47pm  

Rin says
MrMagic says
and there's a huge difference between a $60K Model 3 and a $30K Volt, yet they both get you from Point A to B.


And don't forget the $17K Corollas & Civics, which also get the job done, saving even more money for gas.


Absolutely... that $30K - $40K savings on the car purchase will pay for a hell of a lot of gas.... and you don't have to wait 8 hours to "fill" your tank when empty.

Rin says
That's fashion statement stuff, like paying $400 vs $200 for a pair of shoes.


Welcome to the world of Tesla owners!
117   Eman   2018 Dec 31, 2:52pm  

CBOEtrader says
E-man says
Life is too short to make small bets - CEO of Soft Bank. ???


Survivorship bias.

This is a low resolution algorithm guaranteed to fail most people. You are correct though, for someone to go fron normal life savings to rich betting the farm on one risk exposure is a strategy. We have a pat.net contributor doing that w weed stocks now.


Low resolution algorithm or not depends on how we think. Our thinking is limited by our knowledge and our knowledge is limited by our understanding.

I had this convo with my wife. Here are 3 choices to go through life assuming we have 50 years after college:

1) Work hard for 10 years to set ourselves up financially. Then take it easy and enjoy life for the next 40 years.
2) Take a government job and work for 25-30 years and retire with a pension for another 20-25 years. In general, one would feel the pinch after a decade as the COLA would be lagging behind inflation.
3) Work for a private sector for 40 years and retire with less for the last 10 years of our lives unless we get lucky working for a unicorn company and hit it big with stock options.

We chose option 1. As I get deeper into this option, I realized that we are much more capable than we think we are. We just don't push ourselves hard enough. In fact, we don't know what we are capable of. My initial goal was to have a $2M real estate investment portfolio and let it grow over time. Then 2 years into it, I revised it to $5M as it feels so attainable. Then I met my partner and now we're having a $24M real estate portfolio together. We sat down and said we could easily 10x this number if we want to. The question is how hard do we want to work and at what cost? We're feeling a little overwhelm with our current holding and looking to hire a full-time handyman even though we have a full-time property manager.

If anyone asked me this question 5 years ago, I would have said it's crazy, but now it seems so doable. For this, I admire Elon Musk greatly. He could have retired after the sale of PayPal and enjoyed life with $170M. Instead, he took the money and plowed it into Space X and Tesla. The man is on a mission. His personal life has suffered due to his work ethics. For people to say this man is a con artist is just sad. If I have to make a bet between Elon vs. Someone else, I know where my bet would be.
118   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 2:54pm  

MrMagic says
Rin says
That's fashion statement stuff, like paying $400 vs $200 for a pair of shoes.


Welcome to the world of Tesla owners!


Many of them really, are borrowing from their future earnings, by wasting it today. Most ppl can recover the temporary loss on overpaying for a pair of wing tipped Oxfords but nearly every Corolla owner makes out like a bandit in terms of gas and maintenance costs.
119   Eman   2018 Dec 31, 2:55pm  

mell says
They need to turn consitently profitable soon without accounting gimmicks.


Accounting gimmicks? There are huge capital expenditures for building factories and supercharging stations across the country. To be profitable, the company just had to scale back its capital expenditures. Elon already said the company would stay profitable going forward so there's no reason not to believe the man. Watch Tesla will be profitable this 4th quarter again.
120   Eman   2018 Dec 31, 3:11pm  

Rin says
Strategist says
Tesla isn't a car. It's a spaceship from the future.


This is sounding like my dad's geriatric DeLorean fans talking. And yes, those did look like spaceships which is why Doc Brown put his flux capacitor in one and the kid back in the 1950s thought there was an alien invasion.


bill says
I kinda agree with Warren Buffett when he says Apple should not buy TSLA. Warren is not always correct, but I believe him when he says everybody and his dog will make an electric car. Also, the self-driving car will mean that fewer cars are sold. One car will be able to serve 5 people. I don't own a car anymore. I use UBER and trains and busses and maybe I'll try a LIME (maybe NOT!). And, added hazard, you gotta realize Chinese competition will be fast and ferocious. SAIC BAIC BYD all have better financials than Tesla....


@Rin,

Thanks for the link. Ted Kennedy's wife rented an Aston Martin for a weekend to fulfill his dream? Wow....

A car is a lot more than taking a person from point A to point B. I don't want to be like one of those people who just rents an exotic car on a weekend. I want more than both. I want a car that not only takes me from point A to point B, but a car that I enjoy driving everyday, not just on the weekend. Tesla fits the bill. After 15 months of owning it, the car still puts a smile on my face every time I drive it. What say you @Strategist and @gsr?
121   mell   2018 Dec 31, 3:18pm  

CBOEtrader says
E-man says
Life is too short to make small bets - CEO of Soft Bank. ???


Survivorship bias.

This is a low resolution algorithm guaranteed to fail most people. You are correct though, for someone to go fron normal life savings to rich betting the farm on one risk exposure is a strategy.


Exactly. The problem is that the winners will always be the singled out story while nobody talks about the losers outnumbering the winners 1:10. I think big bets can work if the you're betting on something that is very likely to turn profitable and mostly debt free going forward, but this was a risky bet. Look at crypto, many put their life savings in it or rode from 500K to millions back to less than 200K. Still it is true that many of those success stories come from big bets while there are more wealth people who made the same amount or more in a "boring" way, but those are not stories people want to hear about.

MrMagic says
mell says
They need to turn consitently profitable soon without accounting gimmicks.


Exactly. He can't make money on the Model 3 at $50K - $60K, but he wants everyone to believe he'll be profitable with $35K Model 3s... because he'll make it up on volume, right Fanboys?


Yeah I think he should also be worried about competition, even if they initially swing to a profit. Porsche, Mercedes and others will catch up on a big scale.

E-man says
mell says
They need to turn consitently profitable soon without accounting gimmicks.


Accounting gimmicks? There are huge capital expenditures for building factories and supercharging stations across the country. To be profitable, the company just had to scale back its capital expenditures. Elon already said the company would stay profitable going forward so there's no reason not to believe the man. Watch Tesla will be profitable this 4th quarter again.


Just referring to last Q, which mainly were accounting gimmicks. Doesn't mean they cannot swing to profitability in a durable manner, but needs to be proven. In a way it already has been a success story as the stock went from $20 to $300+, so I'm not debating this. A lot of bigger investors never selling their shares helped them a lot. Going forward though will be a tough ride with all the competition they will be facing. Not betting on it, neither against it.
122   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 3:28pm  

E-man says
A car is a lot more than taking a person from point A to point B.


I don't concur because I'm being driven around by livery service and thus, I have a lot more fun eating, drinking, & doing other stuff in my limo than in worrying about the road. Remember, we have bad weather around here, along with crazy drivers.

E-man says
I want more than both. I want a car that not only takes me from point A to point B, but a car that I enjoy driving everyday, not just on the weekend. Tesla fits the bill. After 15 months of owning it, the car still puts a smile on my face every time I drive it.


You said that you've finished working for a living so in effect, you've decided that your retirement is that of a "roadster" but personally, I'd rather be a roadie and be following around rock bands. But since rock died back in 2000, that option has gone with the wind.

Instead, I'll be 'olde' New England money and be driven around, enjoying fine foods, workshops/seminars, etc, wherever I go.
123   Eman   2018 Dec 31, 3:41pm  

Rin says
E-man says
A car is a lot more than taking a person from point A to point B.


I don't concur because I'm being driven around by livery service and thus, I have a lot more fun eating, drinking, & doing other stuff in my limo than in worrying about the road. Remember, we have bad weather around here, along with crazy drivers.

E-man says
I want more than both. I want a car that not only takes me from point A to point B, but a car that I enjoy driving everyday, not just on the weekend. Tesla fits the bill. After 15 months of owning it, the car still puts a smile on my face every time I drive it.


You said that you've finished working for a living so in effect, you've decided that your retirement is that of a "roadster" but personally, I'd rather be a roadie and be following around rock bands. But since...


@Rin,

I enjoy the conversation as both of us have taken our own path, and there is no right or wrong way for each of us. My partner and I had this talk where both of us came to the same conclusion. It's a curse and a blessing that we both have a family. Both of us could see the positives and negatives of being singles and married so I respect your choice of staying single. If you're happy with the decision, that's all that matters. ;-)

Our difference is that I enjoy driving instead of being a passenger especially with an Asian woman behind the wheel. ;-)
124   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 3:42pm  

MrMagic says
Rin says
And there's a huge difference between $1K and $50K for the average consumer.


and there's a huge difference between a $60K Model 3 and a $30K Volt, yet they both get you from Point A to B.


I have both. Tesla and the Volt. Returning the leased Volt 2017 early as the mileage is all used up.
The Nissan Leaf is to replace the Volt.
The Tesla is to replace the Electric Mercedes B Class.
125   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 3:50pm  

E-man says
Tesla fits the bill. After 15 months of owning it, the car still puts a smile on my face every time I drive it. What say you @Strategist and @gsr?


It's not a car. It's a Tesla.
All our anti technology, anti progress, anti visionary friends from the stone age are still using 2 sticks to make a fire.
My Dear Stone Age Friends,
How many Leopard Skins are you willing to trade for a match?
126   Eman   2018 Dec 31, 3:56pm  

mell says
CBOEtrader says
E-man says
Life is too short to make small bets - CEO of Soft Bank. ???


Survivorship bias.

This is a low resolution algorithm guaranteed to fail most people. You are correct though, for someone to go fron normal life savings to rich betting the farm on one risk exposure is a strategy.


Exactly. The problem is that the winners will always be the singled out story while nobody talks about the losers outnumbering the winners 1:10. I think big bets can work if the you're betting on something that is very likely to turn profitable and mostly debt free going forward, but this was a risky bet. Look at crypto, many put their life savings in it or rode from 500K to millions back to less than 200K. Still it is true that many of those success stories come from big bets while there are more...


@mell,

I think the difference between cryptocurrencies and weed stocks are that these companies are not being run by geniuses like Jeff Bezos, Steve Jobs or Elon Musk. Those companies are much more speculative rather than the true geniuses who are running a company to change the world.

My tennis friend made a bet on TSLA stock based on something he read in Steve Jobs' book and it resonated with him. I'm glad it worked out for him. He could have been wiped out completely at the age of 47. Instead, he bought a million dollar house and paid cash for it. His wife told him as long as the house is paid off, he could do whatever he wanted with the rest of the money, and that was exactly what he did.

For me, I could control my outcome with my bet/investment strategy. If it didn't work, I couldn't blame it on anyone else. I made a calculated bet rather than a speculative bet, and it has paid off. I didn't rely on others for the outcome. Now that the method has proven, it's a rinse and repeat. It comes down to how hard do I want to work? 6 hours a week, 12 hours a week or 18 hours a week?

Since the finances have been in order, I had a new challenge this year which was to shed 15 pounds off. I went from 185 pounds to 170 pounds. Two months before this year ended, I had another challenge and that was to have a 6-pack abs in 60 days. I went for it too. These experiences have also given me valuable lessons. Basically, great results could be achieved in a short amount of time if we put the time and effort into it. I'm 5'10 inches by the way.

Now, the goal for 2019 is to have a body like it's carved out of stone. We all can do, but not all of us will. It takes time, effort and discipline. Sounds simple isn't it?
127   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 3:57pm  

Strategist says
anti technology, anti progress, anti visionary friends


Actually, it's sex robots which will change the world!

Cars, whether they're electric or gas, will be another automated commodity item in 15 years, as self-driving tech goes mainstream. By 2075, ppl will remember manual driving with the way we remember the telephone switchboard operator.
128   Reality   2018 Dec 31, 4:04pm  

E-man says
In light of that, another luxury automaker influenced by Tesla’s ongoing success is Bentley.


Bentley is the same company as Porsche: both are owned by VW, as is Audi. All those variants are just platform sharing. As for following / copying Tesla, VW has at least one thing down pat: making shoddy cars.
129   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 4:05pm  

Rin says
Strategist says
anti technology, anti progress, anti visionary friends


Actually, it's sex robots which will change the world!

Cars, whether they're electric or gas, will be another automated commodity in 15 years, as self-driving tech goes mainstream.


Car on auto pilot. Hot chick in the back seat. Dark windows. What more can you want?
Look at all the money that can be saved by not renting at Motel 666.
130   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 4:08pm  

Strategist says
Car on auto pilot. Hot chick in the back seat. Dark windows. What more can you want?


Rin Wah Law! Rin Wah Law!
131   Reality   2018 Dec 31, 4:09pm  

Strategist says
The negative articles on Tesla and Musk that have recently swamped the media are sheer nonsense, most likely funded by those who would be hurt by the end of fossil fuels. Even the SEC probe seems to have an agenda in my opinion. No matter how much Big Oil tries to suffocate electric cars, they cannot and will not succeed. They may have US corrupt politicians in their pockets, but they do not have all the countries determined to end fossil fuels in their pockets.
Lets face it.....New technology that is more efficient, economical, and does more good will always end up replacing old technology that is not needed anymore. Those who are not open to welcoming new technologies are welcome to live like cave men on an island. Who knows, they may even discover fire.


Since nobody is talking about building more hydroelectric plants or nuclear power plants, most incremental electricity generation will come from natural gas . . . as will make-up generation for when solar panels don't generate electricity at night. Tesla as a company makes two categories of products that will help maintaining a price floor for natural gas, which are what new wells are producing nowadays as they dig deeper into the ground.
132   mell   2018 Dec 31, 4:15pm  

E-man says
mell says
CBOEtrader says
E-man says
Life is too short to make small bets - CEO of Soft Bank. ???


Survivorship bias.

This is a low resolution algorithm guaranteed to fail most people. You are correct though, for someone to go fron normal life savings to rich betting the farm on one risk exposure is a strategy.


Exactly. The problem is that the winners will always be the singled out story while nobody talks about the losers outnumbering the winners 1:10. I think big bets can work if the you're betting on something that is very likely to turn profitable and mostly debt free going forward, but this was a risky bet. Look at crypto, many put their life savings in it or rode from 500K to millions back to less than 200K. Still it is...


lol make sure you don't get tempted once you sport that body and abs. This is an extremely hard goal to achieve, so kudos. I "just" keep in shape and standing tall but I have found out that even slight muscle tone and workout glow will make women come on strong, so be careful with that marriage!
133   Reality   2018 Dec 31, 4:16pm  

Rin says
Still, cellphone .... make that mobile computing, is a viable long term market, which isn't disappearing though it may evolve into clothes, eye wear, upholstery, etc, instead of a handheld device.

In contrast, a car is still just that, a mode of transportation. Ppl needs transportation tools, to get from point A to B, not an expensive toy.

And there's a huge difference between $1K and $50K for the average consumer.


Correct. Ultimately (perhaps within a decade or less), electric cars will be much cheaper than ICE cars. It's just like flat panel displays cost much more than CRT's back in the 1990's, but I predicted early on that flat panels will ultimately cost much less than the CR's (which eventually reached a price point of about $1000 for a 21" model, a price point below which no manufacturer could make a profit making new units; the glass tube and Invar mask cost real money). As for Tesla, it will either be bankrupt or make self-driving logistic/killer robots for the military.
134   CBOEtrader   2018 Dec 31, 4:17pm  

E-man says
Sounds simple isn't it?


It is simple. Just ignore all your human animalistic impulses to drunk beer, eat cake, and not be in daily pain from 2 hour workouts. Simple strategy, close to impossible to execute. You seem like a dude who could pull it off though.

I had a college teammate who ate 1 snickers bar in 2 years as his only sugar, no beer no bread no sugar. Dude was ripped, and somehow was still an enormous vag from always stressing about his diet. So yeah, simple as can be but not easy at all.
135   Reality   2018 Dec 31, 4:23pm  

Strategist says
Car on auto pilot. Hot chick in the back seat. Dark windows. What more can you want?
Look at all the money that can be saved by not renting at Motel 666.


And the leveling of home prices. A commute of 1-2 hrs each way from Sillycon Valley to Inland Empire would be nothing when one can eat, work out, and sleep in the car during the commute. How then would one justify paying $1mil for a shoebox apartment in the sillycon valley when 1/3 that price can get a house in the location an hour or two away with a yard, to be mowed by a self-driving robot lawn mower.
136   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 5:00pm  

Reality says
Strategist says
Car on auto pilot. Hot chick in the back seat. Dark windows. What more can you want?
Look at all the money that can be saved by not renting at Motel 666.


And the leveling of home prices. A commute of 1-2 hrs each way from Sillycon Valley to Inland Empire would be nothing when one can eat, work out, and sleep in the car during the commute. How then would one justify paying $1mil for a shoebox apartment in the sillycon valley when 1/3 that price can get a house in the location an hour or two away with a yard, to be mowed by a self-driving robot lawn mower.


Pretty good point. Some people could just live in a large RV, and let the Auto Pilot find parking in the outskirts of SF. In the morning while you are getting ready for work, the RV will be heading to your office and drop you off just in time.
Further in the future people can live in large drones. You will have a wonderful 360 view, and the drone will take you anywhere you want for the weekend while you were sleeping.
137   Strategist   2018 Dec 31, 5:23pm  

Rin says
Guys, what you think my current lifestyle is like, with free livery service? I basically get driven from my home to wherever I want, whenever I want. I listen to a lecture and before I know it, I'd traversed from Boston to Ipswich and I'm nibbling on some fried clams while my driver is then take me to down to Danvers for a slice of Beef Wellington. By the time I'm back home, I had two North Shore specialties while listening to a few lectures and sipping on some gin. If that's not freedom then I don't know what is.


No whore?
138   Rin   2018 Dec 31, 5:23pm  

Strategist says
Reality says
Strategist says
Car on auto pilot. Hot chick in the back seat. Dark windows. What more can you want?
Look at all the money that can be saved by not renting at Motel 666.


And the leveling of home prices. A commute of 1-2 hrs each way from Sillycon Valley to Inland Empire would be nothing when one can eat, work out, and sleep in the car during the commute. How then would one justify paying $1mil for a shoebox apartment in the sillycon valley when 1/3 that price can get a house in the location an hour or two away with a yard, to be mowed by a self-driving robot lawn mower.


Pretty good point. Some people could just live in a large RV, and let the Auto Pilot find parking in the outskirts of SF. In the morning while you are getting ready for work, the RV will be heading to your office and drop...


Guys, what you think my current lifestyle is like, with free livery service? I basically get driven from my home to wherever I want to be, whenever I want. I listen to a lecture and before I know it, I'd traversed from Boston to Ipswich and I'm nibbling on some fried clams while my driver is then taking me to down to Danvers for a slice of Beef Wellington. By the time I'm back home, I had two North Shore specialties while listening to a few lectures and sipping on some gin. If that's not freedom then I don't know what is.

In fact, that last time I'd driven myself around the greater Boston area, I was very annoyed with the drivers, traffic stops, etc. I wanted to ditch my automotive freedom, just to be free of wasting time in traffic.

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