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Deutsche Bank’s Culture of Risk


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2009 May 10, 5:41am   7,608 views  13 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (55)   💰tip   ignore  

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Originally published in the NY Times. Reposted on patrick.net with permission of the author Deepak Moorjani.

Deepak Moorjani, an employee and shareholder of Deutsche Bank, offers his views on his firm's risk-taking and the reward structure that he says helped encourage it. Mr. Moorjani is currently involved in litigation with a unit of Deutsche Bank; the views he expresses are his own and do not necessarily represent the views of Deutsche Bank.

When speaking about the banking sector, many people mention a "subprime crisis" or a "financial crisis" as if recent write-downs and losses are caused by external events. Where some see coincidence, I see consequence. At Deutsche Bank, I consider our poor results to be a "management debacle," a natural outcome of unfettered risk-taking, poor incentive structures and the lack of a system of checks and balances.

In my opinion, we took too much risk, failed to manage this risk and broke too many laws and regulations.

For more than two years, I have been working internally to improve the inadequate governance structures and lax internal controls within Deutsche Bank. I joined the firm in 2006 in one of its foreign subsidiaries, and my due diligence revealed management failures as well as inconsistencies between our internal actions and our external statements.

Beginning in late 2006, my conclusions were disseminated internally on a number of occasions, and while not always eloquently stated, my concerns were honest. Unfortunately, raising concerns internally is like trying to clap with one hand. The firm retaliated, and this raises the question: Is it possible to question management's performance without being marginalized, even when this marginalization might be a violation of law? Two years later, our mounting losses are gaining attention, and I offer my experiences and my thoughts in the hopes of contributing to the shareholder and public policy debate.

Background

Born and raised in Toledo, Ohio, I was infused with Midwestern values of hard work, individual responsibility, honesty, quiet integrity and fiscal prudence. After careers in New York City and Menlo Park, Calif., I moved to Tokyo in 2005 to pursue investments in corporate restructurings and distressed assets. At the time, the Japanese market offered unique opportunities.

I joined Deutsche Bank in 2006 to build an investment business within its commercial real estate lending operation, and I was generally surprised by the aggressive sales culture within our firm. While many people consider the banking sector's problems to be caused by residential lending, I witnessed multibillion-dollar loan proposals for commercial property. With funds provided at more than 90 percent loan-to-value, these loans were "priced to perfection" and assumed that property prices and rental rates would continue to rise. For perspective, a single billion-dollar commercial real estate loan is equivalent to 2,000 residential loans of $500,000.

In general, my colleagues are hard-working, decent people, but the system of incentives encourages people to take risks. I have seen honest, high-integrity people lose themselves in this cowboy culture, because more risk-taking generally means better pay. Bizarrely, this risk comes with virtually no liability, and this system of O.P.M. (Other People's Money) insures that the firm absorbs any losses from bad trades.

As these losses have grown, taxpayers are being forced to absorb these losses. As an example, my firm recently received nearly $12 billion from American International Group (which has effectively been nationalized with $180 billion in taxpayer funds). Essentially, every American household sent my firm a check for $105. The reason for this payment: my firm bought credit default swaps from A.I.G. In plain-speak, we bought unregulated "insurance" from A.I.G. to cover losses from bad trades. What did taxpayers get in return? Nothing. Taxpayers simply paid an I.O.U. triggered by our gambling losses. (Note: This $12 billion payment was more than 50 percent of our market capitalization at the time of its disclosure).

Solution

While shareholders (and taxpayers) are becoming angry, I think they should be furious. Our management has eviscerated the concept of moral hazard by systematically adopting pay schemes that reward excessive risk-taking despite its long-term implications. If governments have decided to socialize our losses, governments are implicitly saying that the banking industry is fundamentally sound. In effect, governments would be voting in favor of the status quo. In my opinion, the status quo does not work, and we need to address the core issues of structure and compensation. Capping executive compensation is a first step, but as a solution, it is insufficient.

While I am on the "inside" at Deutsche Bank, much of my career has been within partnership structures, and I continue to advocate a partnership-like structure for our firm. With collective liability, partnerships provide a proper alignment of incentives between management and its stakeholders. In a partnership, bonuses are paid from co-investments and profits, not revenues. Losses are shared, and these losses introduce an appropriate penalty for excessive risk-taking. If profits are overstated in one-year, the already-paid bonuses are clawed-back (returned to the partnership).

Conclusion

Our asymmetric incentive structure is fundamental to our problems. The question remains: Do we maintain the status quo and naively hope for better results, or do we begin to implement structural reforms in order to align the incentives? If taxpayers are forced to pay for the losses from bad trades, this socialization of risk adds to the moral hazard problem. This socialization of risk actually encourages more aggressive behavior in the future.

The call-option bonus structure has led to the ascendency of sales over risk management. Maintaining the status quo is not a smart bet, and we cannot afford to ignore the fundamental issues of structure and compensation. We need to introduce personal responsibility into the system, because accountability is glaringly absent. The collective liability aspect of partnerships achieves this goal; collective liability is the most powerful way to align incentives and encourage rational risk-taking.

As an employee and as a shareholder, I am doing my part to build a better firm. Unfortunately, the political landscape within our firm finds it difficult to assimilate any criticism of management's leadership. To my fellow employees, I ask that you resist the incentives that reward groupthink. To my fellow shareholders, I ask that you implement the changes needed to address our asymmetric incentive structures.

#housing

Comments 1 - 13 of 13        Search these comments

1   Patrick   2009 May 10, 5:46am  

Deepak sent this to me and said I could post it.

2   HeadSet   2009 May 10, 1:02pm  

Deepak is implying that Deutsche Bank's management believes that future bad bets will be covered by the US taxpayer.

I would (maybe naively) presume that CDS and taxpayer bailouts are no longer available to cover any new misadventures. In that case, it seems Deutsche Bank would already be putting risk mitigation into place, especially in any compensation plan.

Maybe they can do what Credit Suisse does, and pay bonuses from thier collection of on-hand illiquid toxic assets. Bonusees shouldn't complain, though. After all, they have been mouthing off the Geithneresque bologna about how the market is "temporarilly undervaluing these assets." Good, when the market wises up, they will all be made well off.

3   empty houses   2009 May 10, 2:12pm  

More fires in Santa barbara and it's jpb security for fire fighters. They should let those fires run their course.

And regarding housing, I have met so many real estate agents lately that are flat broke. They drank the Kool Aid and got a double whammy, underwater and no income. Many are optimistic but out of touch with reality. I read somewhere that the average age in this country is over 50 years old. These geezers are not buying houses ever again and the young Starbucks workers dont have the bucks. Real Estate is done. Stick a fork in it. It aint coming back. It will take another step down when the next wave of foreclosures hit the market.

4   justme   2009 May 10, 11:53pm  

Headset,

That was a great idea. I'll expand on it: Anyone who got a cash bonus should have to exchange it for the worst illiquid toxic assets, but at *face value*.

One would have to create a safeguard so that the asset buyers did not somehow game the system and buy the *best* instead of the *worst* assets. Perhaps that would not be easy to ensure.

On the other hand, why give them any bonus at all. Just claw it all back, one way or the other.

5   sa   2009 May 11, 12:40am  

It's almost like they are waiting for another Bubble to put in some decent regulations. Oh No, we can't do it now, that would kill our economy. It's never a good time to set things right.

6   justme   2009 May 11, 5:59am  

sa.

no kidding, It is "Never a Good Time to Regulate the Market (TM)"

7   justme   2009 May 11, 6:01am  

New terminology that might get popular:

Medical-Industrial Complex.

Quoted today by Paul Krugman, and he had gotten it from the Obama administration. It may also be older than that.

8   justme   2009 May 11, 6:02am  

Or maybe it should be called the MHIC: Medical-Healthcare Industrial Complex.

9   Patrick   2009 May 11, 6:42am  

Deepak is implying that Deutsche Bank’s management believes that future bad bets will be covered by the US taxpayer.

I think Deepak is saying that Deutsche Bank already got its bad bets covered, via the bailout of AIG. AIG was the insurer for a lot of things that should have been uninsurable. And we the people are handing AIG cash to pay out on those policies, and the cash is going to Deutsche bank.

Let me know if I've got it wrong.

10   DinOR   2009 May 11, 7:03am  

I definitely appreciate Deepak's candor. A little late... but I appreciate it. Personally I don't believe DB was unique in any way and that culture was not only widespread but widely accepted.

Where I differ is that he also seems to imply that it was this very culture that would have gotten them into 'some' kind of peril sooner or later, if I understood him correctly. The truth is, it *wasn't later and it *wasn't some vague yet to be defined debacle. It-Was-Real-Estate-Loans!

There just isn't any other single commodity they could have chosen to be making rogue bets on that would have wrought such disasterous results. Simply because of the sheer amount of leverage -already- baked into RE transactions. Pure and simple. We can only 'wish' they'd have loaded up on Gold CDS's or... whatever.

11   justme   2009 May 11, 9:01am  

Patrick,

I think you got it exactly right.

12   justme   2009 May 12, 5:43am  

Thomhall,

how about we get rid of Goldman Sachs as well? They seem erually tainted.

13   justme   2009 May 12, 6:03am  

The final (?) word on the now thoroughly de-bunked "price war" in SF this spring:

http://www.socketsite.com/archives/2009/05/555_edinburgh_sells_for_24_over_asking_the_neighborhood.html

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