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What Lies Ahead? The Grand Solar Minimum


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2021 Mar 3, 5:42pm   567 views  21 comments

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https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/what-lies-ahead-grand-solar-minimum

But but leftoid globull warming!! Manbearpig! Manbearpig! Those freezing to death in the coming harsh winters may haunt the globull warmers in their afterlife. Stick a fork into globull warming, it's done.

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Submitted by Luke Eastwood

We are all aware of the environnmental crisis that humanity (and all life on Earth) faces, characterised by the term ‘climate change’. Much of the current thinking in the scientific community is promoting the idea that our planet is rapidly warming due to excess CO2 (carbon dioxide) gas produced by humans in the last few centuries, and the last 70 years in particular.

While there is a very strong and hard to deny case to suggest that human activity is the main cause of environmental destruction, the premise that it is due primarily to CO2 emissions is beginning to look somewhat flawed. I am well aware that the previous sentence is likely to draw a lot of negative attention and criticism, with accusations of ‘climate denier’ being thrown at me. However, the situation is not that simple as to be a case of ‘global warming’ being the main influence or no influence at all.


The reality of the situation is complex. In my opinion the main drivers of the environmental crisis are many, but put in simple terms – destruction of wild habitats, pollution due to industrialisation, over-use of soils, over-population, erosion of soils leading to desertification or barren, infertile landscapes, monoculture agriculture and climate fluctuations. Notice that I did not use the term ‘climate change’ which in the current scientific norm implies warming.

While the planet has undoubtedly warmed up, in part due to human activity and CO2 production, the current popular thinking completely ignores historical CO2 levels beyond the last millennium and also the primary input on temperatures on this planet and all eight of the planets in this solar system. That input, although largely ignored at the moment, is of course our sun, which on average generates 3.8 x 1026 Joules (energy) per second. Human energy usage per year is around 5 x 1020 Joules, which is about 1 million times less than the Sun produces during 1 second! In fact, in the whole of human history we have used less energy that the Sun produces in that 1 second.

So, given the above, it stand to reason that the energy of the Sun must have a significant effect on the energy available on this planet and the heat energy (temperature) that is captured by it, as it rotates around the Sun. If we look at the history of Earth, particularly through the use of ice-core samples, we can see that the temperatures on our planet follow a very distinct pattern. On a macro level this can be observed as a huge cycle of glacials (ice-ages) and interglacials, with the ice ages lasting many times longer than the interglacial (warm) periods. We are currently in an interglacial, which began approximately 11,500 years ago and it is estimated that it will end some time within the next 50,000 years.

On a micro level, the Sun undergoes cycles of around 11 years known as the solar magnetic activity cycle, which has been studied and recorded by humans for approximately 400 years. During each cycle the number of sunspots peaks and falls in a recognisable pattern. However, this pattern of approx. 11 years is itself part of a much longer solar pattern of solar minimums and solar maximums. For instance the Medieval maximum (grand solar maximum) lasted from 1100-1250 (warm period) and the famous Maunder Minimum (grand solar minimum) lasted from 1645-1715 (cold period). The later was known as a mini ice age due the particularly drastic drop in global temperatures that affected crop-growth and led to bitter winters for a period of 70 years.



Scientists that study the sun are well aware of these periodic cycles both on the 11 year scale and on the larger scale of 70–100 years, known as the Gleissberg cycle. We have just finished a solar maximum cycle of around 70 years and are now heading into a both a new 11 year cycle and a new grand solar minimum cycle that will reach its lowest (coldest) point some time between 2030 and 2040. You don’t need to take my word for it – this has been confirmed by NASA and by the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration (NOAA). NOAA predictions of sunspot and radio flux appears to show a ‘full-blown’ grand solar minimum (GSM) which will last from the late-2020s to at least the 2040s.

This means that the coming solar minimum is going to be not only a grand solar minimum, but perhaps the worst one since the Maunder Minimum in the 1600s. One would expert this to have been front-page news, but outside of the scientific community this information is virtually unheard of and little understood. One must ask – why is this the case? The simple answer to this question is that the solar predictions destroy the current scientific and cultural narrative of ‘Climate Change’ in the form of warming.


There will indeed be climate change in the coming decades, but for the next 10 to 40 years it is going to get colder, not warmer! The same thing will happen on the 7 other planets in this solar system, because the main factor affecting planetary temperatures is the activity of the Sun. Given that so much time, effort and money has been invested in ‘global warming’ as a premise for change in how human society is run, it is very much an “inconvenient truth” that is beginning to arrive just at the time when we are beginning to take more affirmative action on environmental issues.

The controversial news that the Earth (and all 7 other planets) will cool down in the next 10-40 years is politically highly inconvenient and that is why it is being kept quiet. Getting rid of fossil fuels, caring for our environment, lowering industrial output, ending industrial farming and reducing livestock, plus a gradual reduction in the human population are all excellent goals. Unfortunately the rationale for doing this, that has been sold to the public, is most likely entirely misguided. The net effect of this false premise may well be that environmentalists and main-stream public scientists will look like fools by the end of this decade. The cooling of planet Earth may well be seen as justification to abandon environmental concerns and reform of our economic systems, which would be a terrible tragedy.

In order to avoid this highly likely total embarrassment, world governments and the scientific community need to admit that the coming dip in solar energy output is going to lead to the cooling of our planet for at least 2 decades, possibly 4 or 5 or even 7 decades! This is not conspiracy, this is not mis-information or propaganda – this is proven, verifiable fact which can be validated by current solar observation, previous observation of sun cycles for 400 years and ice-core samples stretching back millions of years.

As someone who has been involved in the environmental movement since I was 16, when I joined a conservation group at college, I am very concerned about how this plays out. If the public feels that they have been lied to it may lead to a backlash and a disinterest in environmental issues. The reasons I outlined at the beginning of this article are more than sufficient for humanity to change its modus operandi. One does not need to concoct highly improbable narratives about the world ‘burning up’ within decades to justify environmental activism. In fact the coming GSM is likely to produce similar negative effects to predicted ‘global warming’, such as habitat loss, loss of farming land, a drop in food availability, migration, social unrest and possibly other problems too.

It is time that the whole ‘climate change’ theory was re-assessed and the known solar activity cycle as observed by NOAA and NASA taken into account. To fail to do so is total folly and only creates another problem, that will come back to haunt us if the grand solar minimum is ignored. We do need to take better care of our world and learn to live far more harmoniously within it, but we need to base our actions on good science and not on misleading or inaccurate information.
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Comments 1 - 21 of 21        Search these comments

1   Patrick   2021 Mar 3, 6:15pm  

Maybe we should aggressively increase C02 output. Seriously.
2   Ceffer   2021 Mar 3, 7:27pm  

Volcanos going off all over the world in Indonesia, Iceland, Sicily, Central America. The stuff in the atmosphere is going to cause cooling for a few years.
4   just_passing_through   2021 Mar 3, 8:58pm  

Sure was fucking cold in TX a couple of weeks ago.
5   HeadSet   2021 Mar 4, 6:21am  

The net effect of this false premise may well be that environmentalists and main-stream public scientists will look like fools by the end of this decade.

Political types, whether they be office holders or "scientists" or "journalists," do not care if their lies are discovered after they are elected or have cashed the checks. They just expect forgiveness and move on to the next lie.
6   clambo   2021 Mar 4, 1:13pm  

At CERN they proved that cosmic rays can cause cloud formation.
This was huge, clouds of course vastly affect earth temperatures, as you have no doubt experienced at the beach.
The significance is that cosmic rays emitted by the sun vary.
People always think that the sun is like a giant lightbulb with a constant energy output.
But, it’s not.
I have an old National Geographic from the 70’s about the Northern Hemisphere Cooling which caused drought in the Southern Hemisphere, and grain harvest failure and potential world starvation.

Interesting that nobody talks about the potential huge grain harvests from Canada and Russia if the earth ever warms up. Today vast areas of earth are too cold to farm.
7   HeadSet   2021 Mar 4, 3:17pm  

clambo says
Interesting that nobody talks about the potential huge grain harvests from Canada and Russia is the earth ever warms up. Today vast areas of earth are too cold to farm.

Greenland, too. Greenland was arable during the Medieval Warm Period when the Vikings settled the coasts. This was before cooling glaciered the land and drove them out.
8   MisdemeanorRebel   2021 Mar 4, 4:04pm  

HunterTits says
The previous sun cycles caused 'global warming' on Mars and Jupiter's moons also. And temps are dropping there also. But there aren't any SUVs on Mars to blame, so the Greenies ignored that. Can't admit that AGW is total bullshit.

They also saw this writing on the wall and so changed their tune to 'climate change', which can mean anything. Guy pissed out of his window in downtown SF and you get the spray down on the sidewalk, that is technically climate change too!


Green was COVID 1.0 - an excuse to justify massive changes to empower centralized control over people's lives. Scratch the surface and I think most will realize the Green/COVID shit is an excuse for the control, which is really what they want.
9   Patrick   2021 Mar 4, 7:27pm  

clambo says
Interesting that nobody talks about the potential huge grain harvests from Canada and Russia is the earth ever warms up. Today vast areas of earth are too cold to farm.



You hear it mentioned in passing sometimes, when someone objects that not all effects of global warming are bad.

It's also interesting that both countries have a lot of oil, and so a motive to sell that oil and get not only money, but a more hospitable climate for themselves.
10   HeadSet   2021 Mar 4, 9:11pm  

Patrick says
It's also interesting that both countries have a lot of oil, and so a motive to sell that oil and get not only money, but a more hospitable climate for themselves.

That sounds like the theme to a James Bond movie. Some evil Polar Alliance conspires to build oil-fired power plants to supply electricity for mandated electric cars, as a back end way to carbonize the atmosphere and warm the planet for a sinister northern land speculation scheme.
11   Patrick   2021 Mar 4, 9:16pm  

Canadian real estate might actually be a good idea long term. They have vast amounts of water and land. Just too cold.
12   Misc   2021 Mar 4, 10:10pm  

Patrick says
Canadian real estate might actually be a good idea long term. They have vast amounts of water and land. Just too cold.


Rin says there are more important things about Canada.
13   Patrick   2021 Mar 4, 10:19pm  

Kind of a hard life to a be a prostitute in a cold climate.

14   RWSGFY   2021 Mar 5, 9:55am  

Patrick says
Kind of a hard life to a be a prostitute in a cold climate.



Do the street walkers really still walk the streets? I thought they all moved to advertising their services on the net.
15   RWSGFY   2021 Mar 5, 7:12pm  

HunterTits says
Canadians Are FUCKED...by Global COOLING


So we'll have caravans of illegals storming our Northern border too?
16   HeadSet   2021 Mar 6, 7:33am  

FuckCCP89 says
HunterTits says
Canadians Are FUCKED...by Global COOLING


So we'll have caravans of illegals storming our Northern border too?

Good joke, but first world countries do not breed like rabbits so they can better manage the situation.
17   PeopleUnited   2021 Mar 6, 8:04am  

HeadSet says
FuckCCP89 says
HunterTits says
Canadians Are FUCKED...by Global COOLING


So we'll have caravans of illegals storming our Northern border too?

Good joke, but FEMINIST countries do not breed like rabbits so they can better manage the situation.


Fixed it for you.
18   WookieMan   2021 Mar 6, 9:30am  

PeopleUnited says
HeadSet says
FuckCCP89 says
HunterTits says
Canadians Are FUCKED...by Global COOLING


So we'll have caravans of illegals storming our Northern border too?

Good joke, but FEMINIST countries do not breed like rabbits so they can better manage the situation.


Fixed it for you.

Have to be fair. Both are good jokes. Use the strikethrough or del tag if you edit a quote though, in my opinion. You did all caps so it was obvious, but one word can change the meaning of what someone says and they may not agree with the change. It has been happening recently...
19   Shaman   2021 Mar 6, 6:27pm  

HunterTits says
Canadians won't be able to handle this. Already 90% of their population lives within 100 miles of the southern border with the US. Where are they going to go?

Snow will cover houses and not melt much in the 'summer'. Roofs will collapse. Agriculture will collapse.

They have will have like 40 million ppl to relocate. Where?


Nah, there’s no way it gets as bad as Alaska, and even that place is livable. And arable! For some crops. Potatoes and cabbages do best, because of all the nonstop daylight in the summer. Forget your corn, not gonna get much yield. Barley might work. Wheat is going to be a hard pass. Vegetables can be grown with good yields provided you don’t miss the planting window.

And animals can be raised in places that are even harsher!

But you’ll want insulation in your house.
20   Patrick   2021 Mar 6, 6:32pm  

Shaman says
Wheat is going to be a hard pass.


You can grow soft wheat way north, as in Ireland, which has a latitude about mid-Canada.

Then you get crumbly bread, like Irish soda bread, but it's just as nutritious.
21   just_passing_through   2021 Mar 6, 8:30pm  

PLANT! YAMS!

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