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The scandal of excess deaths at home


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2020 Aug 4, 4:48pm   379 views  0 comments

by Eric Holder   ➕follow (5)   💰tip   ignore  

How does one measure health in the midst of the extraordinary times we live in? The usual markers: visits to doctors, waiting lists, and number of people in hospital, have all changed beyond recognition and there is mounting concern that amidst the justifiable concern over coronavirus, other diseases are being forgotten. Trying to determine what exactly is going on is not easy but thanks to the Centre of Evidence Based Medicine (CEBM) at Oxford University and its publishing of an estimate of non-Covid-19 related death figures over the last five weeks, we have been given a dramatic insight into an unseen and largely unreported rise in deaths occurring at home which appear to now outnumber fatalities due to the virus itself.

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Looking at the daily figures, registered deaths in England and Wales have currently fallen below the five-year average for the last five weeks. This is almost incredible, if you consider the output of the broadcast news. However, over this same period there have been over 700 excess deaths per week, or 3,799 fatalities in total, occurring at home. Significantly, only 179 of those deaths have Covid-19 mentioned on their certificate. As the CEBM put it, ‘It is not clear why there is such excess in the home. What is clear is that this represents a huge number of unexplained – and potentially avoidable deaths – particularly if they represent individuals deterred from visiting hospitals.’ There is one final bombshell: this tragic death toll (3,799) is almost 50 per cent higher than the number of people who have sadly lost their lives (2,582) to coronavirus in any setting over the same period.
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This really should be big news. Effectively this suggests that it is possible that more people are dying from direct or indirect effects of Covid-19 prevention rather than the virus itself. If so, then something has gone seriously wrong.

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The original reason for lockdown back in March was to allow the NHS to build capacity to cope with a coming epidemic. The situation has moved on greatly since then, but the health strategy has not done so at a similar pace. If the so-called ‘second wave’ does not materialise then even this rather thin justification for ongoing restriction disappears.

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-scandal-of-excess-deaths-at-home
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