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Stanfurd Santa Clara results are in....


 invite response                
2020 Apr 17, 12:51pm   1,410 views  8 comments

by EBGuy   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

As I've been telling you this past week, patience grasshopper, the serology tests will tell all. Looks like positive news.
These prevalence estimates represent a range between 48,000 and 81,000 people infected in Santa Clara County by early April, 50-85-fold more than the number of confirmed cases. Conclusions The population prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in Santa Clara County implies that the infection is much more widespread than indicated by the number of confirmed cases. Population prevalence estimates can now be used to calibrate epidemic and mortality projections.

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1   EBGuy   2020 Apr 17, 12:55pm  

If the deaths are at 66 and the true infected population is 48K then the fatality rate is .14% !!

If the range is at the upper end and 81K people were infected then the fatality rate is not even .1%— Justin Hart (@justin_hart)
April 17, 2020



EDIT: Here's the actual study results: A hundred deaths out of 48,000-81,000 infections corresponds to an infection fatality rate of 0.12-0.2%.
2   Ceffer   2020 Apr 17, 12:56pm  

There you go again. Trying to ruin a perfectly good Panic Pandemic. Now, the engines of fake news are just going to have to work that much harder. I think there is a nice gulag straw mattress with your name on it.
3   WookieMan   2020 Apr 17, 1:08pm  

Ceffer says
There you go again. Trying to ruin a perfectly good Panic Pandemic. Now, the engines of fake news are just going to have to work that much harder. I think there is a nice gulag straw mattress with your name on it.

A ton of people here and elsewhere are going to have to chew their own turds on this one. We'll see who the honest ones are.
4   Ceffer   2020 Apr 17, 1:10pm  

You know the Panic Pandemic is bad when Prince Harry shelters in place and winds up looking like Curley Joe.
5   Y   2020 Apr 17, 1:20pm  

Looks like they are getting a double bang for the buck with the AIDS drugs...

EBGuy says
These prevalence estimates represent a range between 48,000 and 81,000 people infected in Santa Clara County by early April, 50-85-fold more than the number of confirmed cases
6   EBGuy   2020 Apr 17, 2:06pm  

To be fair, the study did have some limitations: our sampling strategy selected for members of Santa Clara County with access to Facebook and a car to attend drive-through testing sites. This resulted in an over-representation of white women between the ages of 19 and 64... Who knew?
7   Ceffer   2020 Apr 17, 2:13pm  

EBGuy says
his resulted in an over-representation of white women between the ages of 19 and 64.

Does this prove that yoga pants cures Coronavirus?
8   Patrick   2020 Apr 17, 6:19pm  

Mmmm yoga pants.

They do look hot on well-proportioned women.

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