2019 Mar 2, 4:08pm
1,672 views 17 comments
This article is nothing but pseudo intellectual garbage. I have an advaneed degree in statistics and can tell you this is just nonsense jibberish intentionally written to confuse and sound 'intelligent'. I can assure you that the concept of probability is far more concrete than what this author believes. Clearly he needs to spend more time learning about probability; the only person confused about this topic is him.
"The page you were looking for could not be found (404)." Now, what's the likelihood of that?
I have an advaneed degree in statistics and can tell you this is just nonsense jibberish intentionally written to confuse and sound 'intelligent'. I can assure you that the concept of probability is far more concrete than what this author believes
This article is nothing but pseudo intellectual garbage
The probability that the coin landed heads the first time is 75 per cent
Sleeping Beauty volunteers to undergo the following experiment and is told all of the following details: On Sunday she will be put to sleep.Once or twice, during the experiment, Beauty will be awakened, interviewed, and put back to sleep with an amnesia-inducing drug that makes her forget that awakening. A fair coin will be tossed to determine which experimental procedure to undertake:If the coin comes up heads, Beauty will be awakened and interviewed on Monday only.If the coin comes up tails, she will be awakened and interviewed on Monday and Tuesday.In either case, she will be awakened on Wednesday without interview and the experiment ends.Any time Sleeping Beauty is awakened and interviewed she will not be able to tell which day it is or whether she has been awakened before. During the interview Beauty is asked: "What is your credence now for the proposition that the coin landed heads?"
Is it more likely from SBs pov that it's Monday rather than Tuesday ?
And if so, does that make it less likely to be tails,rather than heads ?
The author sounds like a liberal arts grad who is still paying off his school loan at 42 years old.