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Remember Kids when a Republican wins it's called Gerrymandering, when the Democrat wins, it's called Redistricting.


               
2018 Oct 20, 7:10am   651 views  7 comments

by Tenpoundbass   follow (10)  

https://www.yahoo.com/news/republican-shocked-world-four-years-ago-lose-redistricting-191127808.html

When Dave Brat shocked the political world in 2014, beating the man who was set to become the next speaker of the House in a Republican primary, his congressional district was more favorable to Republicans than it is now.

That political shift, combined with high Democratic intensity, has made a district that should be an easy Republican win into a tossup. The outcome of Brat's contest against Democrat Abigail Spanberger will speak volumes on election night — less than three weeks from now — about the size of a potential Democratic wave.

Brat, an economics professor, easily beat his Democratic opponent in 2014 and had little trouble in 2016. But less noticed was that President Trump's margin of victory in the Seventh Congressional District was far smaller than Mitt Romney's had been in 2012.

Romney won 57 percent to President Obama's 41 percent in the district, which stretches from the west side of Richmond, up through rural central Virginia to the western portion of Fredericksburg and then further up into the exurbs of Washington, D.C.

But Trump beat Hillary Clinton by a margin of only 6 points, 50 percent to 44 percent.

That disparity reflects the changes after the state was forced by the courts to redraw a number of its districts, in a legal battle that went all the way to the Supreme Court. After the new maps took effect in 2016, Brat's district was without Hanover County, which went 70 percent for Brat in 2014. If the current district lines had been in place in 2012, Romney's advantage would have been 11 points, rather than 16, according to a New York Times analysis.

The district “became less Republican,” John Findlay, executive director of the Republican Party of Virginia, told Yahoo News. It remains “a fundamentally Republican district,” he said.

But Findlay also allowed that the contest “is going to be close, for sure.”

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1   MolotovCocktail   2025 Jul 31, 5:15pm  





Grok: ## Conclusion
No, Gavin Newsom cannot legally call a special election in November 2025 to approve a new congressional map under current California law. The CCRC holds exclusive authority over redistricting, and mid-decade changes are prohibited absent a constitutional amendment, which requires legislative and voter approval—processes not indicated as underway by on July 31, 2025. Any attempt to proceed would likely be deemed illegal and face immediate court challenges, aligning with Jeremiah Watson's assertion. For Newsom to succeed, he would need to initiate an amendment process now, a complex and time-sensitive endeavor unlikely to align with a November 2025 election timeline.
3   Patrick   2025 Sep 12, 10:36am  

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/risk-tolerance-friday-september-12


Remember Gavin Newsom’s fierce plan to cobble together a heroic group of Blue States who’d wipe out their last remaining GOP districts to punish everyone for Texas’s gerrymandering? It’s not happening. ...

But the real political migraine turned out to be the unavoidable mathematics that, whenever you steal a handful of Democrat-voting neighborhoods from this side to water down a GOP district over there, you leave the first area blushing a bit redder— and suddenly its serenely safe incumbent starts sensing incipient myocarditis.

In other words, Democrats have a serious volunteer shortage. Nobody’s lining up to donate chunks of their safely blue turf for “the greater good.” ...

It turns out that when it comes to sharing the pain, Democrats suddenly become more defensive than a fat kid with the thickest slice of birthday cake.
4   MolotovCocktail   2025 Sep 12, 10:53am  

Patrick says


Remember Gavin Newsom’s fierce plan to cobble together a heroic group of Blue States who’d wipe out their last remaining GOP districts to punish everyone for Texas’s gerrymandering? It’s not happening. ...


Was wondering why this showed up on my phone yesterday:



Nobody polls me, so I got suspicious. My guess is that they need this poll for helping Gavin save face on not being able to deliver this gerrymandering anymore than he can for the HST.

"After extensive polling [rigged], we have determined that the voters [Dem party hacks with ultra safe seats already] do not support redistricting [gerrymandering] at this time..."

Or, they hoax it all up as Trump stopping it.

Either way, Newsom the Idiot said emphatically that this was happening! Now he's got to eat his own shit sandwich.
5   Patrick   2025 Sep 20, 3:15pm  

https://slaynews.com/news/george-soros-pumps-10-million-gavin-newsoms-anti-trump-redistricting-effort-california/


Leftist billionaire George Soros has pumped $10 million into Democrat Gov. Gavin Newsom’s controversial ballot initiative to redraw California’s congressional maps.

The donation, the single largest contribution to the effort, comes as Newsom pushes Proposition 50, The New York Times reported Friday.

The anti-Trump measure that would overhaul California’s congressional lines in response to Republican-led redistricting in Texas and other states.

Two sources with direct knowledge confirmed Soros’s contribution to the Times.
7   Patrick   2025 Oct 12, 1:59pm  

https://slaynews.com/news/democrats-doomed-supreme-court-poised-deal-fatal-blow-flawed-voting-rights-act/


The conservative justices on the Supreme Court appear poised to deal a fatal blow to the Voting Rights Act of 1965, a law marred by significant flaws.

Such a move could spell doom for the Democrats, tipping the U.S. House heavily in favor of Republicans.

The Supreme Court is set to hear oral arguments on Wednesday in Louisiana v. Callais.

It appears that the court is leaning towards striking down Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, which bans “racial gerrymandering when it dilutes minority voting power.”

Gerrymandering is a frowned-upon but legal act except in this one specific exception, thanks to the Voting Rights Act.

It essentially creates a requirement that certain Congressional districts favor minority voters to “ensure representation.”

While the Left has framed this court battle as the Supreme Court ending minority representation, this is actually an opportunity for the Supreme Court to end a law that has overtly written racial preferences into American law.

Of course, the GOP has a lot to gain as this case could lead to significant redistricting efforts that could net Republicans over a dozen House seats.

Without Section 2, it’s estimated that 30% of the Congressional Black Caucus and 11% of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus’s seats could be wiped out.

Of course, the only reason these seats exist is because of an arbitrary and racist requirement that Congressional maps specifically carve out districts that would advantage minority candidates.

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