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Oversampling Push Polls


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2018 Sep 16, 11:53am   929 views  1 comment

by MisdemeanorRebel   ➕follow (12)   💰tip   ignore  

Ipsos/Reuters:
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between September 11, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 2,250 Americans, including 1,226 likely voters, 574 likely voter Democrats, 520 likely voter Republicans, and 108 likely voter Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online


What's the percentage difference between 574 and 520?

Likely voters report that they are more likely to vote for a Democrat (49%) than a Republican (41%) if the election for Congress were held today – giving Democrats an 8-point advantage over Republicans this week. Similar sentiments are seen among the general public, with 40% reporting they would vote for a Democrat, compared to the 31% who would vote for a Republican

https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/reuters-ipsos-data-core-political-2018-09-12

Oh.

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1   MisdemeanorRebel   2018 Sep 16, 11:56am  

SSRS for CNN:
A total of 1,003 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell
phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 34% described themselves
as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or
members of another party.


Well, if you ask more 9% more Democrats...


The Democratic Party's candidate 52%
The RepublicanParty's candidate 42%

https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/09/13/rel8d.-.2018.elections.pdf

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