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for every one of these stories, there are 10 stating that some super predictor with XX years of nailing the results picked Hillary.
Remember, there were two candidates with any real chance of winning. Two choices. Thus it's not so surprising when some predictors got it right lol
for every one of these stories, there are 10 stating that some super predictor with XX years of nailing the results picked Hillary.
Remember, there were two candidates with any real chance of winning. Two choices. Thus it's not so surprising when some predictors got it right lol
None of them have been 100% correct since 96, none of them can be back tested to 1900 with 100% accuracy save one election in 1960.
You might want to actually read the article...
This guy did come out way earlier in the election with his prediction. CNN just decided to report Nate Silver and only Nate Silver as the indisputed King of Poll phish hooks.
BTW 1960 is when Kennedy bought the election. Maybe dead people don't vote in primaries?
http://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/article113638628.html
Like CIC he did not use the polls.