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What will be the Next Bubble?


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2013 Sep 20, 4:25am   17,477 views  26 comments

by freak80   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

1999: tech bubble (it's the New Economy!)
2006: housing bubble (buy now or be priced out forever!!)
2011: gold & silver bubble (oh no, hyperinflation!!!)

What will be the next bubble?

There are billions of dollars sloshing around desperately chasing yield since interest rates are so low. Some of that money went into bonds, but then the "taper" talk freaked out the bond market. The Fed probably won't raise rates or reduce QE until the "real" economy gets better. This money has to go somewhere, right?

Stocks seem to have the momentum. Even with all the taper-talk, stocks have been going up.

What's your guess on the next bubble, if there is one?

#housing

Comments 1 - 26 of 26        Search these comments

1   Heraclitusstudent   2013 Sep 20, 4:29am  

How about the billions start being actually spent, inflation goes up, the feds start to break and we fall into stagflation?

2   freak80   2013 Sep 20, 4:54am  

Heraclitusstudent says

How about the billions start being actually spent,

I'm talking about investors. Investors aren't looking to spend, they're looking to invest.

3   MisdemeanorRebel   2013 Sep 20, 5:26am  

I'm curious as to what is universally regarded as garbage (not inc. commodities) right now.

Is there any region or country that is radioactive and lost a great deal of it's former value?

4   freak80   2013 Sep 20, 5:58am  

thunderlips11 says

I'm curious as to what is universally regarded as garbage (not inc. commodities) right now.

Bonds.

5   Heraclitusstudent   2013 Sep 20, 6:01am  

freak80 says

I'm talking about investors. Investors aren't looking to spend, they're looking to invest.

That's my point: Maybe there won't be a bubble....
Though it doesn't look like the more probable case.

But for example: gold is down because apparently people think there will be growth and less money for bubbles.

I don't think that makes sense: only with a lot of inflation will growth happen (and inflation is good for gold). And no growth means continued money for bubbles (including gold). We are way past the goldilocks era.

6   freak80   2013 Sep 21, 11:47am  

A case for a stock market bubble:

jobless recovery --> continued fed stimulus --> continued bull market in stocks --> stock wealth doesn't "trickle down" --> jobless recovery

lather, rinse, repeat...

7   dunnross   2013 Sep 21, 11:32pm  

Next bubble will be gold and silver. 2011 wasn't a bubble in gold, it was just a local maximum.

8   freak80   2013 Sep 22, 10:53pm  

dunnross says

Next bubble will be gold and silver. 2011 wasn't a bubble in gold, it was just a local maximum.

Good luck with that strategy. Go "all in" and use lots of leverage.

9   freak80   2013 Sep 22, 10:56pm  

freak80 says

A case for a stock market bubble:


jobless recovery --> continued fed stimulus --> continued bull market in stocks --> stock wealth doesn't "trickle down" --> jobless recovery

lather, rinse, repeat...

Someone else is thinking the same thing:

/?p=1229693

10   dunnross   2013 Sep 23, 2:16pm  

egads101 says

Jeez, dunross, I hope you used protection!!!!

The only protection we need around here, is against lying ducks, and dumb 3rd rate professors who don't even read their own posts.

11   dunnross   2013 Sep 23, 3:01pm  

Perhaps, instead of being an ass*hole that you really are, and miring in your own Schändlichkeit, you might still want to tell us why you lied about inventory going up.

12   freak80   2013 Sep 23, 10:33pm  

As Jim Cramer would say, Dumbross is in "The House of Pain!"

13   indigenous   2013 Sep 24, 5:36am  

Did any of yous predict the 2008 crash in real estate?

14   indigenous   2013 Sep 24, 5:59am  

egads101 says

indigenous says

Did any of yous predict the 2008 crash in real estate?

the oracle did, of course!

I'm surprised. What did he base that on?

15   FortWayne   2013 Sep 24, 6:09am  

indigenous says

Did any of yous predict the 2008 crash in real estate?

Actually many people predicted the 2006 crash, they just didn't know the exact date... but they knew it was coming to the end sooner or later. I remember looking online and seeing patrick.net (which was talking about these problems).

I was not in real estate, but economy was very odd so we all paid attention to what was going on. And myself I sort of felt that too. I knew our condo was "appraised" at about 500,000 since local realtors kept on spamming us with their flyers to "sell". Which just made no sense, because at half a million no soul in the world will be able to borrow and pay that kind of money for a small condo in our neighborhood. And like any system, when there are no buyers (or suckers in this case) to buy into the system... the system collapses. It was only a matter of time. A lot of people knew that.

I just hope that never happens again. Our nation, and the world, are still recovering.

16   indigenous   2013 Sep 24, 6:17am  

ok now the only ones buying are investors. Doesn't that raise a red flag?

17   indigenous   2013 Sep 24, 6:42am  

sbh says

How far back and to which part of the planet would you go in order to find a normal economy as defined by the Anarcho-Austrians? I'm being serious, indiginous, I'm curious

1912

18   everything   2013 Sep 24, 8:00am  

Maybe a combination of all three, equities are at all time highs, gold and silver also .. near recent highs, RE .. looking great.

Who knows, maybe debt bubbles will be the next big thing.

19   dunnross   2013 Sep 29, 3:17am  

egads101 says

you are of course a boldface liar. I remember that Rob guy, he posted links of all of his property deals. You? I don't recall it, post a link to it.

LOL. How can you even talk about somebody being a liar in the very same post that you are lying about your own identity. Or, might you be a dual-personality psychopath!

20   dunnross   2013 Sep 29, 3:22am  

indigenous says

Can you tell me how the gold market can be manipulated by naked short selling?

Because COMEX doesn't require physical delivery and the short seller can simply extend his contract or the long side can agree to a cash payment. In fact, if it wasn't for the futures market, gold would be $5000 today.

21   mell   2013 Sep 29, 3:26am  

dunnross says

indigenous says

Can you tell me how the gold market can be manipulated by naked short selling?

Because COMEX doesn't require physical delivery and the short seller can simply extend his contract or the long side can agree to a cash payment. In fact, if it wasn't for the futures market, gold would be $5000 today.

We don't know the extent but there is certainly truth to this. Physical carries a premium around the world.

22   indigenous   2013 Sep 29, 3:36am  

dunnross says

Of course it is. In fact, they are not even being too secretive about it. Otherwise, how would you explain JP Morgan short-selling 500 tons in a span of 30 minutes, when they know that people in China are standing in lines to buy physical.

I know nothing about this. How can they do this, it seems like there would be no way the gold would go down?

23   freak80   2013 Sep 29, 10:18am  

So what will be the next bubble?

24   Facebooksux   2013 Sep 29, 3:03pm  

The goddamn treasury bubble is the next bubble. Why OP even axed this question is beyond me.

25   FortWayne   2013 Oct 1, 12:33am  

Facebooksux says

The goddamn treasury bubble is the next bubble. Why OP even axed this question is beyond me.

I'm betting on healthcare, because that's where government is throwing all the money.

26   JH   2013 Oct 1, 1:02am  

freak80 says

So what will be the next bubble?

Commodities. Look at the historical charts.

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