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New Home Construction coming to a halt


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2022 Jul 25, 5:30pm   7,347 views  46 comments

by MAGA   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

I drove past a new housing subdivision this morning. Lot's of empty lots and half-completed homes. Just a few workers on the site. The builder hired Mexican laborers to drive around the area, watching out for crooks. The most popular thing to steal? Uninstalled drywall.

Move Sooner. Live Better. Why Wait?



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26   HeadSet   2022 Nov 18, 8:23pm  

EBGuy says

you use it to run a heat pump in your home to get 3 times energy that you put into it.

How does that work?

EBGuy says

Use it in an electric resistance heater and you're producing almost twice as much CO2.

Heat pumps rely on electrical resistance heat when it gets too cold. That may not be an issue in CA, but it is in CO where they also banned natural gas heating.
27   EBGuy   2022 Nov 18, 8:57pm  

HeadSet says

How does that work?

Like and air conditioner, in reverse. In fact I have this Frigidaire unit from home depot that I'm using for heating right now.
28   AD   2022 Nov 18, 9:47pm  

Patrick says

What? They just did away with wood fireplaces, and now gas fireplaces too?


I hope the Feds don't ban electric radiators or radiant heaters. They are very efficient. We use a couple in our house in the Florida panhandle as we are under frost warning.

We don't need to rely on putting our air condition system in its heat pump cycle or mode.
29   WookieMan   2022 Nov 19, 4:49am  

Y’all need to move out of your moronic states. IL is dumb as fuck but they ain’t taking any gas appliances or restricting them.

Also to the OP. New builds are still happening here in rural IL. With out migration out the state you would think it would be bad. I’m guessing most here live in urban areas with 20k+ populations. People are building in rural areas here.

There’s no need to live in a city anymore. So if you live in a bigger suburb/city your anecdotal evidence might look bad. Prices are lower rural so it’s not going to move the national home price much.

In Costa Mujeres right now and they’re building like crazy. Obviously resorts/businesses but I don’t think the economy is being portrayed well in coastal areas of the states. Things are booming in states and even other countries. I’m at at RIU. I’m on the roof currently. Not room. Looking at probably a 700 room resort being built.

I think any housing decline is going to be a tale of 2 “cities” so to speak. That $800k home is looking bad with interest rates. The $250k home with work from home looks like the best thing going. Interest rates don’t matter if your income didn’t change. You also get away from the homeless, trash, needles, etc.
30   just_passing_through   2022 Nov 19, 8:19am  

EBGuy says

Okay, I'll bite. Why do you think this is a bad thing?


There is still nothing better than a gas stove top for cooking.

Also, when snowmadegon happened in Texas a few years ago and the electric went down state wide for DAYS the natural gas lines still worked. Those with back up generators didn't freeze their nutz off.
31   HeadSet   2022 Nov 19, 11:17am  

EBGuy says

HeadSet says


How does that work?

Like and air conditioner, in reverse. In fact I have this Frigidaire unit from home depot that I'm using for heating right now.
I know the mechanics. What I want to know is how you "get 3 times energy that you put into it."
32   richwicks   2022 Nov 19, 12:22pm  

EBGuy says

Shaman says


3) you lose 25% of the power in transmission line resistance.


The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that annual electricity transmission and distribution (T&D) losses averaged about 5% of the electricity transmitted and distributed in the United States in 2017 through 2021.


Just an FYI - this is total bullshit. There's lies, damned lies, statistics, government lies, then government statistics. They're always fucking lying.

Transmission losses are closer to 50% than 25%. And 5%? Ludicrous.
33   richwicks   2022 Nov 19, 12:45pm  

HeadSet says

EBGuy says


HeadSet says



How does that work?

Like and air conditioner, in reverse. In fact I have this Frigidaire unit from home depot that I'm using for heating right now.

I know the mechanics. What I want to know is how you "get 3 times energy that you put into it."


Without talking about the exact numbers, this is a heat pump. It's basically refrigerating the atmosphere to heat your home.

Electrical heating, heating a coil that is, is 100% efficient. Every single bit of energy is turned into heat. Your television does this, your light bulbs do this. All electrical devices, over time, produce heat in the end. Actually light bulbs maybe not, their energy can escape your home going through a window in the form of light.

But when you are pulling energy out of the atmosphere, you can increase it beyond 100% efficiency.

As a CHILD, I used to wonder why furnaces weren't used to generate electricity, reasoning that because it produced heat in the end, it was better than just burning diesel, wood, or natural gas. As an adult, I realized that the complexity of such a system requires energy to produce it, and you very well not regain the energy cost of manufacture over time.

Going into engineering has destroyed almost all my youthful ideas.
34   Onvacation   2022 Nov 19, 3:30pm  

richwicks says

Going into engineering has destroyed almost all my youthful ideas.

Me too. Fucking gravity.
35   HeadSet   2022 Nov 19, 6:23pm  

richwicks says

But when you are pulling energy out of the atmosphere, you can increase it beyond 100% efficiency.

There is no such thing as a negative work heat pump. Basic thermodynamics. A heat pump does not pull "energy out of the atmosphere," it requires energy in order to move heat from a cold outside to a warmer inside. If all one has is electricity, then a heat pump is more efficient than conventional electric that uses joule (resistance) heating. Even then, a household heat pump switches to heating strips when it gets too cold for the heat pump method to work. Around here, the only reason a house has a heat pump is that they cannot get service for natural gas.
36   EBGuy   2022 Nov 21, 2:10pm  

richwicks says


As a CHILD, I used to wonder why furnaces weren't used to generate electricity, reasoning that because it produced heat in the end, it was better than just burning diesel, wood, or natural gas. As an adult, I realized that the complexity of such a system requires energy to produce it, and you very well not regain the energy cost of manufacture over time.

And yet it wasn't a bad intuition. Note that there are fuel cells that also use their waste heat for heating water. Also, the 45% efficiency gas turbine that I noted above is a CHP (combined heat and power) model.

I'll certainly give the devil his due and, quite frankly, I wouldn't want to live in Colorado relying only on a heat pump. That said, looking to the future, ground source models will only continue to grow in prominence as costs come down as they don't have to operate at such low temperatures as they use the earth as a heat source. The best investment I ever made in yea olden times (post 2008 bubble) was LXU as they had a ground source heat pump business. Of course they ended up selling it, and the stock collapsed... sigh...
37   HeadSet   2022 Nov 21, 2:22pm  

EBGuy says

That said, looking to the future, ground source models will only continue to grow in prominence as costs come down as they don't have to operate at such low temperatures as they use the earth as a heat source.

"Heat pump" and geothermal are not the same thing.
38   EBGuy   2022 Nov 21, 2:39pm  

HeadSet says

"Heat pump" and geothermal are not the same thing.

Headset, what is up man. You are very skeptical these days.
Geothermal heat pumps (GHPs), sometimes referred to as GeoExchange, earth-coupled, ground-source, or water-source heat pumps, have been in use since the late 1940s. They use the relatively constant temperature of the earth as the exchange medium instead of the outside air temperature.
https://www.energy.gov/energysaver/geothermal-heat-pumps
I believe NYCBB is in this business.

This is different from geothermal energy which is heat that is generated within the Earth. It is a renewable resource that can be harvested for human use.
39   EBGuy   2022 Nov 21, 3:20pm  

Just to be clear, it looks like the Klamath projects use "hots wells" which brings heat from thermal features deep underground to the surface. This is traditionally the domain of "geothermal" solutions, though "geothermal" seems to be catch all for everything ground source these days.

The Whisper Valley project relies on the constant temperature of the earth and uses heat pumps to extract/dump thermal energy from/to the ground loop. Thanks for bringing this to our attention cT. I had not heard of this project.
The geogrid at Whisper Valley was designed and built by EcoSmart Solution, which has several other neighborhood-scale geothermal energy grids in development across the U.S. The system is made up of wells bored below ground that tap the constant temperature found deep below the Earth’s surface. Using closed loops buried dozens or hundreds of feet below, these systems circulate liquid down and then back up into the home to create a baseline level of warmth, about 60 degrees. Electric heat pumps are then used to heat a home in winter or cool it in summer. Geothermal systems are notably efficient, requiring 70% less energy than a conventional heating system and 50% less than a typical air conditioner.
40   EBGuy   2022 Nov 21, 4:40pm  

I was a bit puzzled why geothermal loops in the Whisper Valley project in Austin were interconnected. Looks like they are augmented for peak loads on extremely hot days. My guess is the centralized cooling tower is more efficient than upsizing the systems at the individual homes.
Homes and buildings are located next to access roads and on top of the integrated geothermal district loop that will significantly reduce energy costs for homeowners. Those lots are sold to homebuilders with specifications for sustainable construction including hooking up to the loop. The end result will be highly energy efficient Net-Zero Ready homes with very low energy costs.

To use the earth’s relatively constant temperature (45 to 75°F in this location) for heating and cooling, the design incorporates boreholes up to 335 feet (102 m) deep drilled on each lot, into which the REHAU pipe loops were inserted. Boreholes were grouted after pipe insertion. As with all geothermal systems, fluid circulates through the pipes, exchanging heat to and from the earth for cooling or heating operation, respectively.

Each PEX vertical pipe loop connects to a system of horizontal pipes. This larger integrated ‘geo loop’ is augmented by two 250-ton cooling towers for meeting peak cooling loads during periods of high ambient temperatures.
41   HeadSet   2022 Nov 21, 5:21pm  

EBGuy says

Headset, what is up man. You are very skeptical these days.

Fellows, you were talking about residential heat pumps, which as Rickwicks said, are like reverse air conditioners. The common heat pump has the ability to move heat from a colder environment to a warmer one. Otherwise, it would not be a "pump," and it takes energy to do so. I have also toured homes that have "geothermal" for heating and cooling, where buried pipes circulating fluid take advantage of underground constant temperature to heat/cool that fluid before it goes through coils in a forced air blower. Nobody calls that geothermal system a "heat pump," as no heat is pumped. The only pump in a geothermal system is the pump that circulates the fluid. In fact, I had planned to have geothermal installed in the house I bought in 2014 but was denied by covenants.
42   EBGuy   2022 Nov 21, 6:58pm  

HeadSet says

I have also toured homes that have "geothermal" for heating and cooling, where buried pipes circulating fluid take advantage of underground constant temperature to heat/cool that fluid before it goes through coils in a forced air blower.

You may be able to get away with that for cooling (average earth temp is 57 degrees), but you most definitely need a heat pump for the heating function (unless you're going for the living underground feel...)
43   HeadSet   2022 Nov 22, 6:26am  

EBGuy says

You may be able to get away with that for cooling (average earth temp is 57 degrees), but you most definitely need a heat pump for the heating function (unless you're going for the living underground feel...)

Good point. I am going to look again and see how the heat part works.
44   Tenpoundbass   2022 Nov 22, 7:38am  

I don't have a heat pump, but one thing I have always done in South Florida when the weather gets frigid.
In bedrooms with a window unit, or a mini split, I put the AC on about 72 and crank it on high fan speed. The next morning, the room will be comfortable enough that I it's not too cold to get out of bed. Between 67 to 70, even if it is in the low 30's outside the bedroom door. I think it's due to the negative pressure that AC units like that creates, and air is an excellent insulator.
I haven't tried it with the central Air conditioner unit, as they always have a heat setting on them.
45   rocketjoe79   2022 Nov 22, 2:04pm  

Some heating can come from sun, but that works best in the West. There is an example of a completely passively heated and cooled home but it takes ground-up design and $$$. Even then, without insolation in the winter 55 degrees is pretty cold.
46   ForcedTQ   2022 Nov 22, 2:34pm  

HeadSet says

EBGuy says


Headset, what is up man. You are very skeptical these days.

Fellows, you were talking about residential heat pumps, which as Rickwicks said, are like reverse air conditioners. The common heat pump has the ability to move heat from a colder environment to a warmer one. Otherwise, it would not be a "pump," and it takes energy to do so. I have also toured homes that have "geothermal" for heating and cooling, where buried pipes circulating fluid take advantage of underground constant temperature to heat/cool that fluid before it goes through coils in a forced air blower. Nobody calls that geothermal system a "heat pump," as no heat is pumped. The only pump in a geothermal system is the pump that circulates the fluid. In fact, I had planned to have geothermal installed in the house I bought in 2014 but was denied by covenants.


There are Heatpumps that have water condenser loops (Ground Source Heat Pump.) The condenser loop of the compressor connects to the geothermal wells via a heat/energy exchanger. What it's actually doing in heat pump mode (heating) is grabbing the heat available out of the ground wells, as there is typically more heat energy available down there than in the surrounding ambient air above ground. In air conditioning mode (cooling) it is rejecting the heat absorbed from the evaporator into the ground wells, as there is a lower temperature for the heat to be absorbed by compared to the above ground ambient air, making it more efficient.

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