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How the Next Decade’s Technological Tsunami Will Change Life as We Know It


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2020 Jan 6, 5:47pm   3,151 views  23 comments

by Heraclitusstudent   ➕follow (8)   💰tip   ignore  

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2019/12/new-technology-2020-will-change-life-as-we-know-it
This time a decade ago, there was no such thing as an iPad. There were no food delivery meal kits. You didn’t speak to a machine called Alexa or Siri, or get laid with an app called Tinder. You stayed in hotels, not Airbnbs. You telephoned a cab company, rather than pressing a button and waiting for an Uber or a Lyft. You didn’t waste hours of your day on Instagram, scrolling from one box to the next like a gerbil running on a wheel as an algorithm watches and takes notes. Jobs that are now performed by hundreds of thousands of people—Uber driver, gif-maker, social media influencer—didn’t exist. You likely read the newspaper in the morning, watched the news at night, and consumed a trickle of information in between by going to Yahoo News or through the RSS feed you’d painstakingly constructed, rather than drinking from the fire hose that is Twitter. Things felt slower. Now, this whirlwind of a past decade could be just a taste of what’s to come.

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3   Rin   2020 Jan 6, 6:11pm  

Heraclitusstudent says
You likely read the newspaper in the morning, watched the news at night, and consumed a trickle of information in between by going to Yahoo News


For me, things really haven't changed as I only have a LinkedIn profile for business and little else on social media.

The fact that PatNet is so low tech makes it a better site for general smack talk about life and society than in having to doctor a fake profile to talk trash on social media, just so my clients don't find out about me and cancel our contracts.

And I have a driver so Uber/Lyft isn't for me.

I do, however, use rentafriend to avoid having to pretend to date women in society to go to high end restaurants in Boston.
4   Rin   2020 Jan 6, 6:43pm  

APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostikovitch says
Sex dolls will be walking around 140 per person on every street with credit card slots in their asses


The price will be $15K so I think many men will have one at home.
5   HeadSet   2020 Jan 7, 7:06am  

You stayed in hotels, not Airbnbs. You telephoned a cab company, rather than pressing a button and waiting for an Uber or a Lyft.

Neither Air BnB nor Lyft/Uber are tech advances, as one could long order a taxi or hotel room by app or on-line. The advantage of Air BnB and Lyft/Uber is they found a way to evade the regulations that other Inns and Taxis were bound to follow.
6   porkchopXpress   2020 Jan 7, 7:34am  

I believe the future of local, public transportation won't be buses, but self-driving electric cars where you pay a monthly fee to get access to them whenever you want. Because the cost to operate will be so low, owning cars will slowly decline.
7   HeadSet   2020 Jan 7, 8:48am  

porkchopexpress says
I believe the future of local, public transportation won't be buses, but self-driving electric cars where you pay a monthly fee to get access to them whenever you want. Because the cost to operate will be so low, owning cars will slowly decline.


I used to think this as well, but now I believe the general population will see self-driving buses and other shared ride vehicles that people will need to work their schedules to fit. Only the politicians and the connected elite will have on-demand private rides.
8   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Jan 7, 9:06am  

A decade ago, it was all about Google Glasses.

A decade ago (and 7 decades ago), self-driving cars were gonna transform the world.

A decade ago, we were on the verge of a Solar Power Revolution.

A decade ago, AI Robots were going to replace humans, starting with Fast Food Restaurants.

A decade ago, Business Articles were all about how your company would be made or broken by millenial social influencers on Tweeter and Facebook.

A decade ago, the Arctic was going to be Ice Free.

A decade ago, Manufacturing Jobs were never coming back.

A decade ago, mass immigration continued unopposed and the Red-Green Alliance basked in the fact that demographics would crush the West.

A decade ago, the world wave of nationalist populism was inconceivable.

A decade ago, the great Lactation or SIngularity or was going to make cyber humans.

And so forth.

The only one I can see coming in a decade is decent (not great) sex robots, since nothing drives humanity like libido.
10   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Jan 7, 10:31am  

NoCoupForYou says
And so forth.

The only one I can see coming in a decade is decent (not great) sex robots, since nothing drives humanity like libido.

How about 2 decades ago?
No FB, no social media, no Google, no smartphones, Apple was an irrelevant corner of the computer industry, China was a developing nation, etc, etc....
11   Rin   2020 Jan 7, 12:33pm  

NoCoupForYou says
The only one I can see coming in a decade is decent (not great) sex robots, since nothing drives humanity like libido.


You means the emergence of Rin Wah Law!
12   NuttBoxer   2020 Jan 7, 12:54pm  

The only thing I can relate to in that list is Airbnb. The rest of the things I've never done, used, or had a need for. So much for big changes...
13   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Jan 7, 3:07pm  

Heraclitusstudent says
No FB, no social media, no Google, no smartphones, Apple was an irrelevant corner of the computer industry, China was a developing nation, etc, etc....


The internet was there. There was MySpace.

China was a developing nation, that grew very powerful because Neoliberals aggressively transferred jobs and technology there, in the greatest rip off of America in History.

Here's one thing you can count on for the next decade:

The number of atheists and unaffiliated continues to decline worldwide, as it has been for several years.
14   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Jan 7, 3:50pm  

NoCoupForYou says
The number of atheists and unaffiliated continues to decline worldwide, as it has been for several years.


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-48703377
15   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Jan 7, 3:51pm  

NoCoupForYou says
China was a developing nation, that grew very powerful because Neoliberals aggressively transferred jobs and technology there


16   marcus   2020 Jan 7, 3:59pm  

NoCoupForYou says
China was a developing nation, that grew very powerful because Neoliberals aggressively transferred jobs and technology there


"Neoliberals"

Nice narrative if you can sell it.

We fought wars against communism for decades, arguing that global capitalism was what would be best for everyone. Before Trump, republicans for the most part were very much in support of free markets and global trade. It's basic economics, that if the markets are global and items can be produced elsewhere for much less that they will be.

To a great extent it's just a further globalized version of the global capitalism that made the U.S. so strong and powerful in the first place.
17   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Jan 7, 4:04pm  

marcus says
Nice narrative if you can sell it.


Yeah, there's only a book dedicated to it by Oxford University Press.

https://global.oup.com/academic/product/a-brief-history-of-neoliberalism-9780199283279?cc=us&lang=en&
18   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Jan 7, 4:06pm  

marcus says
It's basic economics, that if the markets are global and items can be produced elsewhere for much less that they will be.

Basic economics? Adam Smith argued for countries to specialize, but he couldn't foresee countries would transfer their know how and technologies and capital to other nations to make them produce stuff "cheaper". Especially to a hostile nation capable of becoming the next super power.
This kind of shit never happened before in the history of the world.
That we think it's "basic economics" is a bizarre heresy that's been instilled into us by people who happen to profit from it.
19   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Jan 7, 4:07pm  

Heraclitusstudent says
That we think it's "basic economics" is a bizarre heresy that's been instilled into us by people who happen to profit from it.


Yep, Ricardo's examples were ALL agricultural. Neither he nor Smith conceived - or would have welcomed - Manchester Textile Mills moving to India or Portugal.

I have no problem importing Chinese cotton and hides to use in Providence, RI factories.

Just not the factories moving to China.
21   HeadSet   2020 Jan 7, 4:08pm  

Neither he nor Smith conceived - or would have welcomed - Manchester Textile Mills moving to India or Portugal.

Nor USA production to China, where China's only "comparative advantage" is slave labor and lax pollution laws.
23   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Jan 7, 4:17pm  

To be clear, the total number of religiously unaffiliated people (which includes atheists, agnostics and those who do not identify with any religion in particular) is expected to rise in absolute terms, from 1.17 billion in 2015 to 1.20 billion in 2060. But this growth is projected to occur at the same time that other religious groups – and the global population overall – are growing even faster.

These projections, which take into account demographic factors such as fertility, age composition and life expectancy, forecast that people with no religion will make up about 13% of the world’s population in 2060, down from roughly 16% as of 2015.

This relative decline is largely attributable to the fact that religious “nones” are, on average, older and have fewer children than people who are affiliated with a religion. In 2015, for instance, the median age of people who belong to any of the world’s religions was 29, compared with 36 among the unaffiliated. And between 2010 and 2015, adherents of religions are estimated to have given birth to an average of 2.45 children per woman, compared with an average of 1.65 children among the unaffiliated.

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/04/07/why-people-with-no-religion-are-projected-to-decline-as-a-share-of-the-worlds-population/

The Philosophies of Barren people bear little fruit.

The Trend is your friend - until it ends.

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