patrick.net

I meant to add, what do other people observe in their areas - i.e. houses for sale vs. houses for rent - numbers increasing /decreasing?

One problem we may all have to look out for - which I didn't realize is (but you may all know already) that in order to view a house that is occupied by a renter, you have to put an offer in first. Or so someone told me.

Is that why a lot of people get kicked out of their rental before it is sold?

One problem we may all have to look out for - which I didn’t realize is (but you may all know already) that in order to view a house that is occupied by a renter, you have to put an offer in first. Or so someone told me.

Is that why a lot of people get kicked out of their rental before it is sold?

I would imagine its up to the landlord/seller. The reality is that it's easier to sell a empty (staged) house than one with "lowly" renters - at least that's what I would iamgine.

OT - has anyone else noticed there is a thin picking of houses to rent in Mountain View/Los Altos?

Tell me about it. Apartments are back to being pretty pricey as well. :(

Man... that CNN link leads to so many other hillarious links... like this one:

http://money.cnn.com/popups/2006/moneymag/25_rules/3.html

25 Rules to Grow Rich By
3. Spend no more than 2 1/2 times your income on a home.

The median income in Santa Clara is around $97k - that means you should only spend $242,000 on a home?

You've got to be kidding me. Even when I was a kid this 2.5x rule was impossible.

It's a good intent, but they might as well have said "Spend no more than 50cents per gallon for gas."

You’ve got to be kidding me. Even when I was a kid this 2.5x rule was impossible.

Perhaps it meant:

Spend no more than 2 1/2 times your monthly income on a home mortgage.

Be creative. Just not too creative. Otherwise it would be destructive.

2.5? Maybe that textbook was (c) 1947. After the Depression and War that number may have held, but at least the data I can see is more like 5.5.

SFWoman,

I think the main problems are paper paper everywhere and the kids are toy hoarders. Plus, like yourself I am a book hoarder, but mainly the kids books.

Oh, and because of rats, we cannot store anything in the garage - so Costco shopping is really challenging - what to do with the 6 million toilet rolls, straws, napkins etc that seemed such a bargain at the time. Let alone the water we keep onhand.

I think Peak Oil is about the only thing that will kill our appetite for McMansions. BTW, half of "The End of Suburbia" is now on YouTube and it provides some good background on the "birth of the McMansion".
FRIFY, good to see some else long on oil. No idea how these "investments" will perform when oil peaks, but those dividends are nice in the mean time. I also like the prospects for natural gas. BTW, my "down payment" is already in my house.... any ideas on how to defend my "paper gains" (which may soon disappear). Time to refi and buy CME housing options? Or something more sensible like buy some neighborhood real estate to boost local comps :-)

If you have a real rat problem they would probably eat through the plastic to get at food, but maybe not at toilet paper?

Get a Maine Coon.

Otto,

Well, you're in luck, weil ich deutsch sprechen kann. I'll see if I can find the article online.

I'll take your bet if you make it 1EUR, or better yet 1.5CHF lol.

I would point out that I take Der Spiegel with a grain of salt. Remember their "Der naechste Krieg?" articles? Reflective of much German sentiment, that magazine likes to come up with some imaginative ends of US dominance. Maybe they've got some lingering resentment from der Infationszeit.

Yep, the rats have eaten through several plastic containers.

Even the landlord "joked" and said we should get a cat - and then he realized what he had said - we are not allowed to have a cat.

http://www.cde.ca.gov/ta/ac/ap/

dan l. - showing my ignorance - not sure where Belmont is - but for CA you can use the above link to get API scores

Although I'm not sure all areas are covered

What I'd like to see more of are nooks and cranny storage spaces and organized closet spaces. That was the really great feature of Japanese houses OO linked to a couple month's back.

And DS, by the way, if there ever were hyperinflation, then fixed rate mortgage debt would be among the most valuable instruments one could hold. Remember that inflation increases the value to fixed rate debt holders and punishes savers.

hmm, that was my point. maybe it was too oblique. you would have to have fixed rate interest, yes, otherwise your interest payments would skyrocket too, as in brazil, where mortgages are something like 5% a month. the well off in brazil just don't take out mortgages. but my point was that with a rapidly devaluing dollar, your original principal amount would also devalue rapidly, making it extremely easy to pay off. savers would be punished, yes. in slow motion, that is the effect that we get anyway -- over 20 years, even 'low' inflation of say 2-4% makes it easier for people to pay off their mortgages -- in fact, some of the property-selling 'gurus' use this artifact as an enticement to get people to buy multiple properties to hold forever, as inflation will take its natural course, rents will go up, and you will be a comfortable landlord in, hmm, maybe 25 years...

why do people read the opposite of what i say? they seem to misunderstand when i say america is doomed and contains the seeds of its own destruction too, and read all sorts of dire things into it :P

SP,

Absolutely. There's no guarantee on the speedy recovery of cash from the FDIC. A year would certainly not be unusual-pretty terrible in a high inflation environment.

It always helps to keep some gold (coins or simple 24K jewelry) on hand for emergency bartering purposes.

I've got it all liquid some in CD's some in a MM acct alot of gold I'm a jeweler. I don't trust the stock market anymore since 2000. I don't think we have even seen the broader indications of the HB breakdown. Next year will be the landmark year. The prediction of recession, stagflation, depression all likely. Laugh all you want about the money under your mattress scenario. I think if massive job losses occur nationwide and that is also likely if the HB slays the economy cash will be king. Most of where not even born when the great depression happened. We may well be tested as a country those of us who have lived lean and mean and rented may do better than most of the faux on paper affluent debtors.

I'm going LONG on canned food and shotgun shells :-)

Just kidding. Depends on your time horizon. I bought into the stock market in 2002 and 2003 during the long slide. Now, many of those purchases have a decent return. But I have a long view, generally speaking.

As someone else said if you interest is 6-months to 1-year then CD's, bonds, mutual funds are the way to go. Even NetBank had a pretty decent interest rate on their money-market account last time I looked. I got fed up with them due to their inability to bank-link my BankofAmerica account though.

If your time-frame is short, then even Index Funds and ETF's I would not consider safe. QQQQ for example if you bought it a year ago like a friend did you'd still be waiting for it to change from red to green.