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Latest Election Polls 2012


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2012 Sep 6, 3:19am   17,963 views  50 comments

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12   edvard2   2012 Sep 11, 1:42am  

Call it Crazy says

If Romney wins, will you, Edvard, Marcus, et al change your user names?

I guess the bigger question is how much will it affect me? I make an income that places me above the middle class, I don't have kids and thus don't use public schools, and I don't receive Medicare. If Romney wins, I'm not in the middle class so I shouldn't care if he's elected.

Theoretically I should be cheering for Romney because his platform is all about favoring people who make money like me and selling those who don't the plan he has is "good for them" because it'll all work out for them.... someday - he promises. Yes- somehow someway trickle-down economics will work even though that plan was tried 30+ years ago and it failed then. But even though the world economy changes non-stop and the US economy isn't the same as it was 30 years ago, again he's gonna' sell us all on Reaganomics 2.0 as if the economy is in some sort of suspended animation and what didn't work 30 years ago will surely work now. Even though ideologically based economic plans are so far removed from any sort of tangible reality, we're going to try an antiquated piece of the 80's again, dusting it off from the closet. Yes- pure genius.

So to answer the question- no. Secondly, I am willing to bet that if Romney wins, those on the right will have about 5 minutes of sheer bliss before going right back to where they were before: and that is to continue blaming all of the country's problems on those durn' Liberals with the same level of bitterness. It won't make one bit of difference.

14   Waitingtobuy   2012 Sep 11, 1:50am  

If you loved Bush's economic policies, Cheney's foreign policies, and Santorum's social policies, then you will love the Romney-Ryan ticket!!!

15   anonymous   2012 Sep 11, 1:58am  

marcus says

Call it Crazy says

If Romney wins, will you, Edvard, Marcus, et al change your user names?

I don't make silly assertions about Obama winning. But I sometimes state opinions about how bad Romney's policies are.

And I regularly observe the significant lead Obama has as reflected by those putting up money to bet on the outcome.

marcus says

Romney hit a new low today on IEM.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres12_quotes.html

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres12_WTA.cfm

Those putting up money to wager on the outcome, aren't using iowa electronic market. They have a 500 max. The real money that sets the market (people dropping 5-6 figures) does continue to move towards obama. Romney bettors can now get +200

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/ContestCategory/Politics/300~2A~+U~2E~S~2E~+2012+Presidential+Election/Winning+Party/Lines.aspx

16   CL   2012 Sep 11, 2:46am  

Remember, Romney is the candidate that even REPUBLICANS didn't want. They tried to run with anyone, ANYONE, other than him but their slate was filled with losers. He couldn't get over 25% in his own contests.

If I were a Republican, I'd wonder...how the hell did we get stuck with this guy as our candidate?

Still, thank you GOP voters. You've made our lives less stressful.

17   CL   2012 Sep 11, 4:06am  

Ruki says

And most voters see it that way, too.

If most voters see it that way, they aren't voting that way. Why the disconnect?

They resoundingly rejected Sanctimonious, et al. until they were stuck with Romney-bot.

18   edvard2   2012 Sep 11, 4:14am  

Ruki says

Unemployment wasn't hovering over 8%, the economy roared during most of Bush's term.

That's like saying the Titanic was going full speed ahead until it hit an iceberg.

19   leo707   2012 Sep 11, 4:18am  

Ruki says

Who is this Shrek, dude?

Shrek is short for Shrekgrinch. Remember back when you were calling yourself MarsAttacks!, perhaps this will help refresh your memory...

Ruki says

...Shrekgrinch was the one who got me to start reading Patrick.net.

20   Politicofact   2012 Sep 11, 4:23am  

Obama up again from previous avg
RCP Average 8/23 - 9/10 -- -- 49.0 45.7 Obama +3.3

RCP Average 8/22 - 9/9 -- -- 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9

23   bdrasin   2012 Sep 11, 4:38am  

Ruki says

Who is this Shrek, dude?

What's the matter, don't you have a mirror?

24   Politicofact   2012 Sep 11, 4:51am  

President Obama Job Approval

25   Politicofact   2012 Sep 11, 4:57am  

Latest Election Polls

26   Politicofact   2012 Sep 11, 6:49am  

Poll: More Trust Obama than Romney on Jobs

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/poll-more-trust-obama-romney-jobs_652176.html

Slightly more Americans trust Barack Obama than Mitt Romney on the issue of job creation, a new poll from Rasmussen shows. Forty-seven percent of those polled said they trust Obama more on job creation, compared to 45 percent who say they trust Romney more.

That can't be comforting news to the Romney campaign, which has made job creation and Obama's bad record on the economy the central focus of the Massachusetts Republican's run for the White House. Consider a recent Romney advertisement airing in Florida, a critical swing-state. The ad hammers President Obama for Florida's 8.6 percent unemployment and reminds viewers that foreclosures in the Sunshine State are at record highs.

27   Politicofact   2012 Sep 11, 8:02am  

CNN ORC Poll 9/11

Among Obama supporters what motivates vote.
For Obama 74%
Against Romney 23%

Among Romney supporter what motivates vote.
For Romney 48%
Against Obama 47%

28   Honest Abe   2012 Sep 11, 8:04am  

Don't reelect an American failure, don't repeat the same mistake.

"History repeats itself, first as tradegy, second as FARCE" Karl Marx (emphasis added).

Honest Abe.

29   CL   2012 Sep 11, 8:05am  

Dear Politifact,

Quit posting facts. They don't fit the conservative talking points.

Thank you

30   Politicofact   2012 Sep 11, 8:07am  

WP/ABC Poll Sept 2012

Who would you like over for dinner?

Obama 53%
Romney 33%

31   dublin hillz   2012 Sep 11, 9:04am  

Ruki says

the economy roared during most of Bush's term

This "roaring" was all fake - people were taking money out of their homes on that so called bubble equity and were spending it at shopping malls, vacations and various consumer goods. We all saw what happened in the end.

32   Honest Abe   2012 Sep 11, 9:11am  

obama in the lead? I better go buy a hammer and sickle before the government steals whats left of my money, then get ready to lower my standard of living to the party approved level.

Big Brother Is Watching.

33   dublin hillz   2012 Sep 11, 9:16am  

Honest Abe says

obama in the lead? I better go buy a hammer and sickle before the government steals whats left of my money, then get ready to lower my standard of living to the party approved level.


Big Brother Is Watching.

No, the Koch brothers are watching!

34   Politicofact   2012 Sep 11, 9:19am  

Weeks Before Election Day, Early Voting Kicks Off

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/wireStory/weeks-election-day-early-voting-kicks-off-17146024#.UE_GBZT4-6M

Idaho and South Dakota can begin early voting on Sept. 21, followed later in the month by Vermont, Iowa and Wyoming. Contested states such as Ohio begin early voting Oct. 2 and Florida on Oct. 27. Most states also allow voting by absentee ballot, provided voters offer an excuse, and those ballots become available beginning this month.

Seems as though the earliest voting begins Sept 21

10 days

37   Politicofact   2012 Sep 14, 4:05am  

Obama has a 3.1pt avg lead and Fox has him with a 5pt lead

38   Politicofact   2012 Sep 14, 4:41am  

Rasmussen has Florida for Obama by a slim margin.

39   Politicofact   2012 Sep 15, 3:25am  

Obama with a 3.1pt avg lead

Fox Poll has Obama +5
CNN has Obama +6
Rasmussen has Romney +2

42   marcus   2012 Sep 18, 11:59pm  

That ad is the most pathetic stretch I've seen yet. Obviously intended for the lie seeking base, or otherwise ignorant voters who don't know:

What's worse ?

The kind of politicians that gets you into an economic crisis and the worst economic state we've seen in 70 years, and then obstructs some of the solutions to the crisis because that might make an opposing politician successful ?

or

THe type of politician who doesn't get us out (fast enough) of a financial crisis caused by a deflating secular credit and real estate bubble, and who has no cooperation and only obstruction from the most far right and crazy right wing congress we've ever seen.

43   marcus   2012 Sep 19, 12:02am  

Yes, yes, I know. There were several weeks back in '09 when Obama actually had control of the house and senate.

44   marcus   2012 Sep 19, 12:05am  

By the way....on the thread topic, a snapshot of what the money thinks of Romney's chances. See the red graph.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres12_WTA.cfm

The winners price will be 100.

45   Politicofact   2012 Sep 19, 3:08am  

It seems as though every Republican who runs for office has the same mantra: If you elect Republicans, they will cut government spending and increase private sector jobs. The problem is that it just isn’t true. A few days ago, I provided the evidence which proves that Republicans are much bigger government spenders than Democrats. (see: http://www.politicalmontana.com/?p=309 ).

The same is true for private sector jobs. Many more private sector jobs are created when Democrats are in power. http://www.businessinsider.com/the-data-show-democrats-are-better-at-creating-private-sector-jobs-2012-8. This article explains that the Bureau of Labor Statistics compiles these historical numbers and the data clearly shows Democrats are better for private job creation. An illustrative graph is below:

47   Politicofact   2012 Sep 19, 3:12am  

Private-sector jobs grew far more under Democratic than Republican presidents, 1961-2012

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/05/08/1089785/-Private-sector-jobs-grew-far-more-under-Democratic-than-Republican-presidents-1961-2012

The presidents who averaged the most jobs created per month were Bill Clinton, at 217,000; Jimmy Carter, at 188,000; and Ronald Reagan, at 153,000. That's right. Jimmy Carter beat Ronald Reagan. The only president to preside over a cumulative loss of private-sector jobs was, of course, George W. Bush.

48   Politicofact   2012 Sep 20, 5:32am  

Obama leads Wisconsin

49   Politicofact   2012 Sep 29, 7:57am  

Obama extends lead to 4.3pts Avg!

Fox shows a 5pt lead!

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