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Why Romney is winning and why he will win

By CaptainShuddup   Follow   Thu, 19 Jul 2012, 12:18pm   13,765 views   225 comments
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http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/226943-poll-romney-opens-up-big-lead-nationally

Mitt Romney has opened up 7 percent lead over President Obama nationally, according to the latest survey from conservative polling outlet Rasmussen.

Romney took 50 percent of the vote against Obama’s 43. It’s the first time Romney has hit 50 percent in the poll and is his largest lead over the president to date.

The disappointing jobs data released last week could be weighing the president down. Rasmussen found that only 38 percent of those polled said they approved of the president’s handling of the economy, versus 48 that disapproved.

Still, the poll could be an outlier, as most polls show a considerably tighter race. According to Gallup’s daily tracking poll, Romney holds only a 1 percent lead over Obama, while the president holds a one-point lead over Romney in the Real Clear Politics average of polls.

The RCP average includes Romney’s seven-point Rasmussen lead, as well as a few other potential outliers, including an Associated Press poll that shows Obama up by eight and a Reuters poll that shows Obama up by seven — both of which were released this week.

The Rasmussen daily tracking poll of 500 likely voters has a 3 percent margin of error.

Him draw bad card...

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1. Buster Follow Befriend (7) 22 threads 325 comments

   66   1:57pm Sat 21 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Ruki says iwog says My insurance premiums go up every year by double digits and have for over a decade. Every......single......year. And they'll go up even more so...every...single....year. Because of ObamaCare. Give HRHMedia access to patrick.net...and he'll masturbate with it. My insurance just went up 19.6% and I have NEVER filed a single claim. In addition, I don't believe "Obamacare" has taken effect yet.

2. ATK Follow Befriend 4 threads 29 comments ATK's website

   67   3:18pm Sat 21 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)   HRHMedia, Point #1: when Obama took office I felt he had a chance to show leadership but all he did was blame Bush. as the leader of the free world you do not blame your former or current government anyone for anything.You simply address the problems and deal with it. Blaming is NOT leadership. Point #2: we had more pressing problems in the country and all it seemed like Obama forced healthcare in Congress in 2000+ page bill that nobody read. As the leader of the free world it is more important to tackle the nations problems at hand above your agenda.. Point #3: the national debt almost doubled under Obama in 4 years than Bush ran it up in 8.

3. ATK Follow Befriend 4 threads 29 comments ATK's website

   68   4:17pm Sat 21 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)   #1 HRH Media says: Who wouldn't , the whole word did. Will you blame Obama for killin Bin Laden or blame bush for not killing him? How about ending the Iraq war. - the USS Cole was attacked under Clintons watch ... we had a wide open shot at him. Neither president got Bin laden, our Navy SEALS did. #2 HRH Media says: Healthcare is very pressing, a family of four is paying as much as $20k a year. For the past 80yrs they have been trying to fix it. To place blame on Obama for trying to fix a problem bankrupting millions of Americans is stupid. - There was a lot more in that bill then simple healthcare reform. It doesn't take 2000 pages to mandate insurance companies to accept pre-existing conditions or force them not to raise rates effective immediately not in 2014. Unfortunately ObamaCare is a TAX... we will be paying for it one way or another. #3 HRH Media says: $5 Trillion unfunded by BUSH, 2 wars, healthcare, tax cuts and much much more. - gratefully we have not been attacked again and it seemed like any additional plots after 9/11 have thus far been foiled. regardless of who is president, you should not blame

4. ATK Follow Befriend 4 threads 29 comments ATK's website

   69   4:48pm Sat 21 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike (3)   both parties deserve a failing grade...

5. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich Follow Befriend (28) 169 threads 4,153 comments Premium

   70   7:29pm Sat 21 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   Protected   If Obama wants my vote, he needs to indict the first three levels of management of the 10 largest banks in the US, convict them and send them to supermax prisons in wedding dresses for multi-decade sentences.

6. marcus Follow Befriend (5) 168 threads 5,058 comments

   71   1:08am Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   CaptainDB you can get great odds on Romney. Way better than even money. So if you really believe he will win you should put your money where your mouth is.

7. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

   72   6:10am Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (3)   Dislike (1)   Obama's point is well taken. But the way he phrased it is a direct insult to everyone who's ever taken the risks involved in starting up a successful business. So the bigger question is, why did he insult small business owners? He's intelligent enough to know exactly what he was saying. One likely answer: To demean them in the eyes of the public, making it easier to garner support to increase the tax burden on them. "likely" due to his well established proclivity to raising taxes. bdrasin says How anyone can say this is an insult to anyone is totally beyond me

8. bdrasin Follow Befriend 6 threads 489 comments Alameda, CA

   73   8:11am Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike (2)   xrpb11a says Obama's point is well taken. But the way he phrased it is a direct insult to everyone who's ever taken the risks involved in starting up a successful business. So the bigger question is, why did he insult small business owners? He's intelligent enough to know exactly what he was saying. You find it insulting when someone says: "The point is, is that when we succeed, we succeed because of our individual initiative, but also because we do things together"? I think that's either great arrogance on your part, or a sincere desire to find something to be offended about.

9. zzyzzx Follow Befriend (9) 410 threads 4,107 comments Baltimore, MD

   74   1:15pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (3)   Dislike (1)   HRHMedia says How is Obama the worst president? He's just the worst one in a long time, FDR was worse.

10. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    75   6:07pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   So what part of "Obama's point is well taken" is it that you don't understand? bdrasin says xrpb11a says Obama's point is well taken. But the way he phrased it is a direct insult to everyone who's ever taken the risks involved in starting up a successful business. So the bigger question is, why did he insult small business owners? He's intelligent enough to know exactly what he was saying. You find it insulting when someone says: "The point is, is that when we succeed, we succeed because of our individual initiative, but also because we do things together"? I think that's either great arrogance on your part, or a sincere desire to find something to be offended about.

11. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    76   6:47pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (3)   Dislike   No. I find it insulting to insert a Business Owner Demeaning sentence in the middle of a normal stump speech, just to jazz up his base. bdrasin says You find it insulting when someone says: "The point is, is that when we succeed, we succeed because of our individual initiative, but also because we do things together"?

12. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    77   7:00pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)   Protected   xrpb11a says No. I find it insulting to insert a Business Owner Demeaning sentence in the middle of a normal stump speech, just to jazz up his base. It wasn't the least bit business owner demeaning. A business is a cooperative effort. No business owner who has employees does it all himself/herself.

13. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    78   7:23pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   the complete sentence in his stump speech is: "If you've got a business, you didn't build that." Taken in context with the whole paragraph, it is understood that a business is a cooperative effort between labor and management. As a single sentence, it is highly inflammatory to business owners. When I started my business, I did do it all by myself. It took 2-3 years before I was able to hire employees as my business expanded. Sure, they then helped expand it, but not in the beginning, when the risk was the highest. OB could have phrased it differently. But he did not. Why? Occam Razer suggests he intentionally stated it that way to jazz up the blue collar workers whose support he is trying to lock down. plain and simple. By insulting small business owners. iwog says xrpb11a says No. I find it insulting to insert a Business Owner Demeaning sentence in the middle of a normal stump speech, just to jazz up his base. It wasn't the least bit business owner demeaning. A business is a cooperative effort. No business owner who has employees does it all himself/herself.

14. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    79   7:28pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)   Protected   xrpb11a says OB could have phrased it differently. But he did not. Why? Because he probably thought it was stupid to parse his words carefully enough to make sure you were not offended.

15. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    80   7:39pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   Well, it was stupid for him ( or his speech writer ) to not parse his words carefully enough. Just look at the media storm he created by not parsing his words. A president's words have consequences. They should be considered carefully before spoken. iwog says xrpb11a says OB could have phrased it differently. But he did not. Why? Because he probably thought it was stupid to parse his words carefully enough to make sure you were not offended.

16. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    81   8:05pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)   Protected   xrpb11a says Well, it was stupid for him ( or his speech writer ) to not parse his words carefully enough. Just look at the media storm he created by not parsing his words. You have got to be kidding. Media storm? You mean the fake outrage on ClusterFox and ClearChannel?

17. marcus Follow Befriend (5) 168 threads 5,058 comments

    82   8:50pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)   What OBama said made sense, in fact it's something everyone knows roto be true, but there are a lot of extremely stupid people on the right that are more than willing to gobble up the most ridiculous ways that NewsCorp spins things.

18. thomaswong.1986 Follow Befriend 14 threads 2,829 comments

    83   9:24pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   xrpb11a says OB could have phrased it differently. But he did not. Why? Because in he sees the world through the eyes of an elite university professor... Thats his world.. certainly not from the view point of the small, med or large business owner.

19. thomaswong.1986 Follow Befriend 14 threads 2,829 comments

    84   9:26pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   xrpb11a says When I started my business You like many business owners owe the government your fortunes...

20. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    85   9:32pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   No. I mean the real outrage on the highest rated cable news program for 12 years running.... Guess who that is? iwog says xrpb11a says Well, it was stupid for him ( or his speech writer ) to not parse his words carefully enough. Just look at the media storm he created by not parsing his words. You have got to be kidding. Media storm? You mean the fake outrage on ClusterFox and ClearChannel?

21. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    86   9:34pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   You've missed the boat completely. OB said that directly to me, without any other media outlet's help. marcus says What OBama said made sense, in fact it's something everyone knows roto be true, but there are a lot of extremely stupid people on the right that are more than willing to gobble up the most ridiculous ways that NewsCorp spins things.

22. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    87   9:34pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   don't worry. It looks like the government is coming to collect.... thomaswong.1986 says xrpb11a says When I started my business You like many business owners owe the government your fortunes...

23. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    88   9:34pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)   Protected   xrpb11a says o. I mean the real outrage on the highest rated cable news program for 12 years running.... Guess who that is? The Daily Show? I don't really care. I think what Obama said was fine. The only people who are going to feign mock outrage aren't voting for him anyway.

24. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    89   9:36pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   Just because left wing extremists Maddow and O'Donnell refuse to report it doesn't make it less newsworthy. They are just protecting their horse... iwog says You have got to be kidding. Media storm? You mean the fake outrage on ClusterFox and ClearChannel?

25. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    90   9:40pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   Well, Occam s Razer suggests that the only reason you don't care is because you really are not a small business owner....So it would not mean much to you. I've yet to see the tax returns...This is all starting to look very damning for your fictitious real estate empire... iwog says xrpb11a says o. I mean the real outrage on the highest rated cable news program for 12 years running.... Guess who that is? The Daily Show? I don't really care. I think what Obama said was fine. The only people who are going to feign mock outrage aren't voting for him anyway.

26. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    91   9:43pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)   Protected   xrpb11a says Just because left wing extremists Maddow and O'Donnell refuse to report it doesn't make it less newsworthy. Again I don't really care. Opinions are NEVER newsworthy under any circumstances and the ONLY reason opinion is presented as news is because Americans have gotten too stupid and lazy to think for themselves. Don't you think it's odd that you're trying to sell me on someone else's opinion? That you're invoking a cable news channel to try and PROVE that outrage is justified? I think it's idiotic. I know exactly what Obama said and he's dead on accurate. If you are offended then go be offended.

27. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    92   9:46pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected   xrpb11a says Well, Occam s Razer suggests that the only reason you don't care is because you really are not a small business owner. LOL.....way to totally misrepresent Occam's razor! (razer?) Also kudos for yet again running away from any rational discussion in a desperate attempt to make it about me personally. What are you afraid of?

28. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    93   9:50pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Oh? Who did Pierre Omidyar cooperate with when he started Auction Web, the precursor to Ebay, as a sole proprietor? His left hand?? How about Paul Orfelea who started and still operates Kinko's as a sole proprietorship..? ( he forms partnerships with each individual Kinko's outlet ) Not all businesses are cooperative efforts....but you knew that already, didn't you..... iwog says A business is a cooperative effort.

29. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    94   9:52pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Running away? Nice dodge!! Still waiting for the 10 yrs of tax returns.......tick...tick...tick... iwog says xrpb11a says Well, Occam s Razer suggests that the only reason you don't care is because you really are not a small business owner. LOL.....way to totally misrepresent Occam's razor! (razer?) Also kudos for yet again running away from any rational discussion in a desperate attempt to make it about me personally. What are you afraid of?

30. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    95   9:52pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected   xrpb11a says Oh? Who did Pierre Omidyar cooperate with when he started Auction Web, the precursor to Ebay, as a sole proprietor? His left hand?? Vendors, contractors, service providers. I don't have a specific list, but if you think he simply minted money you're out of your mind. He depended on hundreds if not thousands of people. xrpb11a says How about Paul Orfelea who started and still operates Kinko's as a sole proprietorship..? ( he forms partnerships with each individual Kinko's outlet ) Ditto.

31. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    96   9:53pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Everyone's allowed one typo per hour.... iwog says LOL.....way to totally misrepresent Occam's razor! (razer?)

32. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    97   9:55pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected   xrpb11a says Everyone's allowed one typo per hour.... Complete and utter ignorance of Occam's razor isn't a typo. Translation: "It is impossible for anyone who owns a business to not be offended by Obama's comments or else it violates Occam's razor." You really believe this? Seriously??????

33. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    98   9:57pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Well, I'm not really offended. I would say the sentence in question was mildly annoying... But it was still a poor ( or calculated ) choice of words on the presidents part... I believe it was calculated... iwog says If you are offended then go be offended.

34. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    99   10:05pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Occam's razor is about what is the most likely cause of an event. It's not an "all or nothing" principle. Your use of the word "impossible" is a clear indication you have an at best rudimentary understanding of the principle. iwog says Translation: "It is impossible for anyone who owns a business to not be offended by Obama's comments or else it violates Occam's razor."

35. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    100   10:08pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected   xrpb11a says Occam's razor is about what is the most likely cause of an event. It's not an "all or nothing" principle. Yes that's true. "You don't have a business" is an all or nothing principle. It's a 1 or a 0. It's true or it's false. So how come you used it to try an prove an all or nothing principle?

36. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    101   10:12pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Definition of BUILD transitive verb 1 : to form by ordering and uniting materials by gradual means into a composite whole : construct 2 : to cause to be constructed 3 : to develop according to a systematic plan, by a definite process, or on a particular base Is it becoming clear to you now?? iwog says xrpb11a says Oh? Who did Pierre Omidyar cooperate with when he started Auction Web, the precursor to Ebay, as a sole proprietor? His left hand?? Vendors, contractors, service providers. I don't have a specific list, but if you think he simply minted money you're out of your mind. He depended on hundreds if not thousands of people. xrpb11a says How about Paul Orfelea who started and still operates Kinko's as a sole proprietorship..? ( he forms partnerships with each individual Kinko's outlet ) Ditto.

37. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    102   10:17pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Here is what you said: iwog says Translation: "It is impossible for anyone who owns a business to not be offended by Obama's comments or else it violates Occam's razor." I am referencing Occam's Razor to the bolded section, not the word "business". iwog says xrpb11a says Occam's razor is about what is the most likely cause of an event. It's not an "all or nothing" principle. Yes that's true. "You don't have a business" is an all or nothing principle. It's a 1 or a 0. It's true or it's false. So how come you used it to try an prove an all or nothing principle?

38. iwog Follow Befriend (48) 272 threads 12,462 comments 47 male Lafayette, CA Premium

    103   10:18pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected   xrpb11a says Is it becoming clear to you now?? Wow, you're trying to win an argument by exploring the semantics of "build"? Now that's funny! It's often said that Reagan rebuilt our military. I can build a house for myself even if I never hammer a nail. We call someone who works on a ship a "ship builder" not a hull builder or a deck builder. Everyone, and I do mean EVERYONE on planet earth understands that in every single case I mentioned and others as well, the term "build" does NOT in fact refer to a single person putting something together without any help. However if you want to pretend some silly nonsense, go ahead. Again.....LOL

39. xrpb11a Follow Befriend (4) 2 threads 787 comments

    104   10:24pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)   to refresh: the complete sentence in his stump speech is: "If you've got a business, you didn't BUILD that." Ms Websters definition of the word "BUILD" http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/build It has nothing to do with semantics....everything to do with proper usage of the english language... According to the dictionary, business owners actually can BUILD their own businesses, regardless of vendors, employees, staples, et al... Now, after all that if you still have a problem with it, take it up with Ms Merriam/Webster.... iwog says xrpb11a says Is it becoming clear to you now?? Wow, you're trying to win an argument by exploring the semantics of "build"? Now that's funny! It's often said that Reagan rebuilt our military. I can build a house for myself even if I never hammer a nail. We call someone who works on a ship a "ship builder" not a hull builder or a deck builder. Everyone, and I do mean EVERYONE on planet earth understands that in every single case I mentioned and others as well, the term "build" does NOT in fact refer to a single person putting something together without any help. However if you want to pretend some silly nonsense, go ahead. Again.....LOL

40. orthofrancis Follow Befriend (1) 4 comments Pacific Palisades, CA

    105   10:25pm Sun 22 Jul 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   I'm not sure where you found this poll, but from what I''ve seen Obama is well ahead of Romney in the polls - even from the highly respected Fox "News" Pollster Dates Pop. Obama Romney Undecided Margin Rasmussen 7/17 - 7/19 1,500 LV 47 46 - Obama +1 Gallup 7/13 - 7/19 3,000 RV 48 44 - Obama +4 FOX 7/15 - 7/17 901 RV 45 41 11 Obama +4 Rasmussen 7/14 - 7/16 1,500 LV 44 47 - Romney +3 YouGov/Economist 7/14 - 7/16 742 RV 47 44 5 Obama +3 CBS/Times 7/11 - 7/16 942 RV 46 47 5 Romney +1 DailyKos/SEIU/PPP (D) 7/12 - 7/15 1,000 RV 48 46 7 Obama +2 Rasmussen 7/11 - 7/13 1,500 LV 46 45 - Obama +1 NPR 7/9 - 7/12 1,000 LV 47 45 5 Obama +2 Gallup 7/6 - 7/12 3,000 RV 46 46 - -

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